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We study the behavior of error bounds for multiclass classification under suitable margin conditions. For a wide variety of methods we prove that the classification error under a hard-margin condition decreases exponentially fast without…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-04 Stefano Vigogna , Giacomo Meanti , Ernesto De Vito , Lorenzo Rosasco

Selective classification is a powerful tool for automated decision-making in high-risk scenarios, allowing classifiers to act only when confident and abstain when uncertainty is high. Given a target accuracy, our goal is to minimize…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Mohamed Ndaoud , Peter Radchenko , Bradley Rava

We consider the problem of adaptation to the margin in binary classification. We suggest a penalized empirical risk minimization classifier that adaptively attains, up to a logarithmic factor, fast optimal rates of convergence for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 A. B. Tsybakov , S. A. van de Geer

We construct new tests of exponentiality based on Yanev-Chakraborty's characterization of exponential law. We calculate limiting distributions of new tests, local Bahadur efficiency for common alternatives and describe conditions of their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-29 K. Y. Volkova

Probabilistic classifiers are central for making informed decisions under uncertainty. Based on the maximum expected utility principle, optimal decision rules can be derived using the posterior class probabilities and misclassification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Alexandre Perez-Lebel , Gael Varoquaux , Sanmi Koyejo , Matthieu Doutreligne , Marine Le Morvan

The cost-sensitive classification problem plays a crucial role in mission-critical machine learning applications, and differs with traditional classification by taking the misclassification costs into consideration. Although being studied…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Parameswaran Kamalaruban , Robert C. Williamson

Extreme value theory provides an asymptotically justified framework for estimation of exceedance probabilities in regions where few or no observations are available. For multivariate tail estimation, the strength of extremal dependence is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

Despite the enormous success of machine learning models in various applications, most of these models lack resilience to (even small) perturbations in their input data. Hence, new methods to robustify machine learning models seem very…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-30 Fariborz Salehi , Babak Hassibi

We study classification problems using binary estimators where the decision boundary is described by horizon functions and where the data distribution satisfies a geometric margin condition. A key novelty of our work is the derivation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-16 Jonathan García , Philipp Petersen

New goodness-of-fit tests for exponentiality based on a particular property of exponential law are constructed. Test statistics are functionals of U-empirical processes. The first of these statistics is of integral type, the second one is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Ya. Yu. Nikitin , K. Yu. Volkova

We consider the problem of estimating the Optimized Certainty Equivalent (OCE) risk from independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) samples. For the classic sample average approximation (SAA) of OCE, we derive mean-squared error as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Ayon Ghosh , L. A. Prashanth , Krishna Jagannathan

It has been consistently reported that many machine learning models are susceptible to adversarial attacks i.e., small additive adversarial perturbations applied to data points can cause misclassification. Adversarial training using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-15 Hossein Taheri , Ramtin Pedarsani , Christos Thrampoulidis

Error bounds based on worst likely assignments use permutation tests to validate classifiers. Worst likely assignments can produce effective bounds even for data sets with 100 or fewer training examples. This paper introduces a statistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-02 Eric Bax

We consider ensembles of channel codes that are partitioned into bins, and focus on analysis of exact random coding error exponents associated with optimum decoding of the index of the bin to which the transmitted codeword belongs. Two main…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Neri Merhav

This paper considers a distributionally robust chance constraint model with a general ambiguity set. We show that a sample based approximation of this model converges under suitable sufficient conditions. We also show that upper and lower…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Jiaqi Lei , Sanjay Mehrotra

Information divergence functions play a critical role in statistics and information theory. In this paper we show that a non-parametric f-divergence measure can be used to provide improved bounds on the minimum binary classification…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-02-11 Visar Berisha , Alan Wisler , Alfred O. Hero , Andreas Spanias

We study the problem of learning classification functions from noiseless training samples, under the assumption that the decision boundary is of a certain regularity. We establish universal lower bounds for this estimation problem, for…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-28 Philipp Petersen , Felix Voigtlaender

For the binary prevalence quantification problem under prior probability shift, we determine the asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimator. We find that it is a function of the Brier score for the regression of the class label…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-23 Dirk Tasche

Class imbalance poses a significant challenge in classification tasks, where traditional approaches often lead to biased models and unreliable predictions. Undersampling and oversampling techniques have been commonly employed to address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Matt Clifford , Jonathan Erskine , Alexander Hepburn , Raúl Santos-Rodríguez , Dario Garcia-Garcia

This paper provides a general technique for lower bounding the Bayes risk of statistical estimation, applicable to arbitrary loss functions and arbitrary prior distributions. A lower bound on the Bayes risk not only serves as a lower bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-26 Xi Chen , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Yuchen Zhang