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Estimating the ratio of two probability densities from a finite number of observations is a central machine learning problem. A common approach is to construct estimators using binary classifiers that distinguish observations from the two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Werner Zellinger

This paper determines the range of feasible values of standard error exponents for binary-input memoryless symmetric channels of fixed capacity $C$ and shows that extremes are attained by the binary symmetric and the binary erasure channel.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-12-06 Albert Guillen i Fabregas , Ingmar Land , Alfonso Martinez

In this article a special class of nonlinear optimal control problems involving a bilinear term in the boundary condition is studied. These kind of problems arise for instance in the identification of an unknown space-dependent Robin…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Max Winkler

We study the performance of empirical risk minimization on the $p$-norm linear regression problem for $p \in (1, \infty)$. We show that, in the realizable case, under no moment assumptions, and up to a distribution-dependent constant,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Ayoub El Hanchi , Murat A. Erdogdu

When the competing classes in a classification problem are not of comparable size, many popular classifiers exhibit a bias towards larger classes, and the nearest neighbor classifier is no exception. To take care of this problem, we develop…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-02 Anvit Garg , Anil K. Ghosh , Soham Sarkar

When performing regression or classification, we are interested in the conditional probability distribution for an outcome or class variable Y given a set of explanatoryor input variables X. We consider Bayesian models for this task. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-08 David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

In this paper, our aim is to analyse the generalization capabilities of first-order methods for statistical learning in multiple, different yet related, scenarios including supervised learning, transfer learning, robust learning and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Kevin Scaman , Mathieu Even , Batiste Le Bars , Laurent Massoulié

Many binary classification problems minimize misclassification above (or below) a threshold. We show that instances of ranking problems, accuracy at the top or hypothesis testing may be written in this form. We propose a general framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Lukáš Adam , Václav Mácha , Václav Šmídl , Tomáš Pevný

We study high-dimensional asymptotic performance limits of binary supervised classification problems where the class conditional densities are Gaussian with unknown means and covariances and the number of signal dimensions scales faster…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-17 Mohammad Hossein Rohban , Prakash Ishwar , Birant Orten , William C. Karl , Venkatesh Saligrama

Uncertainty quantification is a central challenge in reliable and trustworthy machine learning. Naive measures such as last-layer scores are well-known to yield overconfident estimates in the context of overparametrized neural networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

We consider the problem of choosing design parameters to minimize the probability of an undesired rare event that is described through the average of $n$ iid random variables. Since the probability of interest for near optimal design…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-22 Amarjit Budhiraja , Shu Lu , Yang Yu , Quoc Tran-Dinh

We analyze the practices of reservoir computing in the framework of statistical learning theory. In particular, we derive finite sample upper bounds for the generalization error committed by specific families of reservoir computing systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Lukas Gonon , Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Juan-Pablo Ortega

We study the problem of estimating a distribution over a finite alphabet from an i.i.d. sample, with accuracy measured in relative entropy (Kullback-Leibler divergence). While optimal bounds on the expected risk are known, high-probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Jaouad Mourtada

In the binary hypothesis testing problem, it is well known that sequentiality in taking samples eradicates the trade-off between two error exponents, yet implementing the optimal test requires the knowledge of the underlying distributions,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Ching-Fang Li , I-Hsiang Wang

Maximum entropy models are increasingly being used to describe the collective activity of neural populations with measured mean neural activities and pairwise correlations, but the full space of probability distributions consistent with…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-08-22 Badr F. Albanna , Christopher Hillar , Jascha Sohl-Dickstein , Michael R. DeWeese

This paper describes three methods for carrying out non-asymptotic inference on partially identified parameters that are solutions to a class of optimization problems. Applications in which the optimization problems arise include estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Joel L. Horowitz , Sokbae Lee

The maximum utility estimation proposed by Elliott and Lieli (2013) can be viewed as cost-sensitive binary classification; thus, its in-sample overfitting issue is similar to that of perceptron learning. A utility-maximizing prediction rule…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-29 Jiun-Hua Su

Cross-validation under sample selection bias can, in principle, be done by importance-weighting the empirical risk. However, the importance-weighted risk estimator produces sub-optimal hyperparameter estimates in problem settings where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-28 Wouter M. Kouw , Jesse H. Krijthe , Marco Loog

The problem of identifying the most discriminating features when performing supervised learning has been extensively investigated. In particular, several methods for variable selection in model-based classification have been proposed.…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-16 Andrea Cappozzo , Francesca Greselin , Thomas Brendan Murphy

The task of the binary classification problem is to determine which of two distributions has generated a length-$n$ test sequence. The two distributions are unknown; two training sequences of length $N$, one from each distribution, are…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-18 Dayu Huang , Sean Meyn
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