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A multilevel functional data method is adapted for forecasting age-specific mortality for two or more populations in developed countries with high-quality vital registration systems. It uses multilevel functional principal component…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-30 Han Lin Shang

\noindent The modal age at death is an increasingly used measure for understanding longevity and mortality patterns. However, existing estimation methods focus on point estimates, overlooking the inherent variability and uncertainty in…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-07 Silvio C. Patricio , Paola Vazquez-Castillo

Mortality is an instrument of natural selection. Evolutionary motivated theories imply its irreversibility and life history dependence. This is inconsistent with mortality data for protected populations. Accurate analysis yields mortality…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Mark Ya. Azbel'

A robust multilevel functional data method is proposed to forecast age-specific mortality rate and life expectancy for two or more populations in developed countries with high-quality vital registration systems. It uses a robust multilevel…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-27 Han Lin Shang

The stochastic system approach to causality is applied to situations where the risk of death is not negligible. This approach grounds causality on physical laws, distinguishes system and observation and represents the system by multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-07 Daniel Commenges

Aging is thought to be a consequence of intrinsic breakdowns in how genetic information is processed. But mounting experimental evidence suggests that aging can be slowed. To help resolve this mystery, I derive a mortality equation which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-01 Thomas Fink

We study the dynamics of cause--specific mortality rates among countries by considering them as compositions of functions. We develop a novel framework for such data structure, with particular attention to functional PCA. The application of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-03 Marco Stefanucci , Stefano Mazzuco

Human mortality patterns and trajectories in closely related populations are likely linked together and share similarities. It is always desirable to model them simultaneously while taking their heterogeneity into account. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Ka Kin Lam , Bo Wang

General functions for human survival and mortality may support a possibility of general mechanisms in human ageing. We discovered that the survival and mortality curves could be described very simply and accurately by the Weibull survival…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Byung Mook Weon

Demographic data and recent experiments verify earlier predictions that mortality has short (few percent of the life span) memory of the previous life history, may be significantly decreased, reset to its value at a much younger age, and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Mark Ya. Azbel'

Multivariate functional data that are cross-sectionally compositional data are attracting increasing interest in the statistical modeling literature, a major example being trajectories over time of compositions derived from cause-specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Emanuele Giovanni Depaoli , Marco Stefanucci , Stefano Mazzuco

This paper analyzes mortality cohort effect of birth year and develops an approach to identify and measure cohort effects in mortality data set. The approach is based on differential geometry and leads to an explicit result which can…

Applications · Statistics 2015-04-03 Ning Zhang , Liang Zhao

Aggregated health data such as claims data from health insurances become more and more available for research purposes. Estimates of excess mortality from prevalence and incidence of a chronic condition have only been possible for ages 50…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-13 Ralph Brinks

Mortality is different across countries, states and regions. Several empirical research works however reveal that mortality trends exhibit a common pattern and show similar structures across populations. The key element in analyzing…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-10 Lei Fang , Wolfgang K. Härdle , Juhyun Park

Mortality patterns at a subnational level or across subpopulations are often used to examine the health of a population. In small populations, however, death counts are erratic. To deal with this problem, demographers have proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Esther Denecke , Pavel Grigoriev , Roland Rau

This research explores how total mortality figures relate to age-standardized death rates within the United States, using the complete historical record of national mortality statistics. Through a detailed investigation of both all-cause…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Brandon Dunbar , Paramahansa Pramanik , Haley Kate Robinson

In this work we present a spatial approach to model and investigate mortality data referenced over a Lexis structure. We decompose the force of mortality into two interpretable components: a Markov random field, smooth with respect to time,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-23 Fabio Divino , Denekew Bitew Belay , Nico Keilman , Arnoldo Frigessi

In this paper we summarize the main parts of the first exit time theory developed in connection to the life table data and the resulting theoretical and applied issues. Several new tools arise from the development of this theory and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-09 Christos H. Skiadas

Data on hundreds of variables related to individual consumer finance behavior (such as credit card and loan activity) is routinely collected in many countries and plays an important role in lending decisions. We postulate that the detailed…

General Economics · Economics 2021-11-09 Giacomo De Giorgi , Matthew Harding , Gabriel Vasconcelos

Human mortality data sets can be expressed as multiway data arrays, the dimensions of which correspond to categories by which mortality rates are reported, such as age, sex, country and year. Regression models for such data typically assume…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-15 Bailey K. Fosdick , Peter D. Hoff
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