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A notoriously difficult challenge in extreme value theory is the choice of the number $k\ll n$, where $n$ is the total sample size, of extreme data points to consider for inference of tail quantities. Existing theoretical guarantees for…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-05-30 Johannes Lederer , Anne Sabourin , Mahsa Taheri

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

Let $X=\{X_n: n\in\mathbb{N}\}$ be the linear process defined by $X_n=\sum^{\infty}_{j=1} a_j\varepsilon_{n-j}$, where the coefficients $a_j=j^{-\beta}\ell(j)$ are constants with $\beta>0$ and $\ell$ a slowly varying function, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Yudan Xiong , Fangjun Xu , Jinjiong Yu

For any branching process, we demonstrate that the typical total number $r_{\rm mp}(\nu \tau)$ of events triggered over all generations within any sufficiently large time window $\tau$ exhibits, at criticality, a super-linear dependence…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-15 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

We study the small deviation problem $\log\mathbb{P}(\sup_{t\in[0,1]}|X_t|\leq\varepsilon)$, as $\varepsilon\to0$, for general L\'{e}vy processes $X$. The techniques enable us to determine the asymptotic rate for general real-valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-25 Frank Aurzada , Steffen Dereich

A variety of estimators for the parameters of the Generalized Pareto distribution, the approximating distribution for excesses over a high threshold, have been proposed, always assuming the underlying data to be independent. We recently…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-26 Lukas Martig , Jürg Hüsler

We study the effect of approximation errors in assessing the extreme behavior of heavy-tailed random objects. We give conditions for the approximation error such that the standard asymptotic results hold for the classical Hill estimator and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-18 Jaakko Pere , Benny Avelin , Valentin Garino , Pauliina Ilmonen , Lauri Viitasaari

The results of a series of theoretical studies are reported, examining the convergence rate for different approximate representations of $\alpha$-stable distributions. Although they play a key role in modelling random processes with jumps…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Marina Riabiz , Tohid Ardeshiri , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Simon Godsill

This note displays an interesting phenomenon for percentiles of independent but non-identical random variables. Let $X_1,\cdots,X_n$ be independent random variables obeying non-identical continuous distributions and $X^{(1)}\geq \cdots\geq…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Dong Xia

In this paper we show that the continuous version of the self normalised process $Y_{n,p}(t)= S_n(t)/V_{n,p}+(nt-[nt])X_{[nt]+1}/V_{n,p}$ where $S_n(t)=\sum_{i=1}^{[nt]} X_i$ and $V_{(n,p)}= \sum_{i=1}^{n}|X_i|^p)^{\frac{1}{p}}$ and $X_i$…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-03 G K Basak , Arunangshu Biswas

Let $\{Y_i,-\infty<i<\infty\}$ be a doubly infinite sequence of identically distributed, negatively dependent random variables under sub-linear expectations, $\{a_i,-\infty<i<\infty\}$ be an absolutely summable sequence of real numbers. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Mingzhou Xu , Kun Cheng , Wangke Yu

Let $X_0$ be a non-constant random variable with finite variance. Given an integer $k\ge2$, define a sequence $\{X_n\}_{n=1}^\infty$ of approximately linear recursions with small perturbations $\{\Delta_n\}_{n=0}^\infty$ by $$X_{n+1} =…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Mongkhon Tuntapthai

Consider a sequence X_k=\sum_{j=0}^{\infty}c_j\xi_{k-j}, k\geq 1, where c_j, j\geq 0, is a sequence of constants and \xi_j, -\infty <j<\infty, is a sequence of independent identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables (r.v.s) belonging…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. Jeganathan

In this work, we deal with extreme value theory in the context of continued fractions using techniques from probability theory, ergodic theory and real analysis. We give an upper bound for the rate of convergence in the Doeblin-Iosifescu…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Anish Ghosh , Maxim Kirsebom , Parthanil Roy

Let $(Y_i,Z_i)_{i\geq 1}$ be a sequence of independent, identically distributed (i.i.d.) random vectors taking values in $\RRR^k\times\RRR^d$, for some integers $k$ and $d$. Given $z\in \RRR^d$, we provide a nonstandard functional limit law…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-27 Davit Varron , Myriam Maumy

Motivated by some common-change point tests, we investigate the asymptotic distribution of the U-statistic process $U_n(t)=\sum_{i=1}^{[nt]}\sum_{j=[nt]+1}^n h(X_i,X_j)$, $0\leq t\leq 1$, when the underlying data are long-range dependent.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-03 Herold Dehling , Aeneas Rooch , Martin Wendler

In time series analysis, statistics based on collections of estimators computed from sub-samples play a crucial role in an increasing variety of important applications. Proving results about the joint asymptotic distribution of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-27 Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao

We consider three models (elliptic, flat and hyperbolic) of Gaussian random analytic functions distinguished by invariance of their zeroes distribution. Asymptotic normality is proven for smooth functionals (linear statistics) of the set of…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mikhail Sodin , Boris Tsirelson

Let $X_1,X_2,...$ be independent variables, each having a normal distribution with negative mean $-\beta<0$ and variance 1. We consider the partial sums $S_n=X_1+...+X_n$, with $S_0=0$, and refer to the process $\{S_n:n\geq0\}$ as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. J. E. M. Janssen , J. S. H. van Leeuwaarden

A weighted Gaussian approximation to tail product-limit process for Pareto-like distributions of randomly right-truncated data is provided and a new consistent and asymptotically normal estimator of the extreme value index is derived. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Souad Benchaira , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir