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We obtain sharp sufficient conditions for exponentially integrable stochastic processes $X=\{X(t)\!\!: t\in [0,1]\}$, to have sample paths with bounded $\Phi$-variation. When $X$ is moreover Gaussian, we also provide a bound of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Michel Weber

This paper deals with inference in a class of stable but nearly-unstable processes. Autoregressive processes are considered, in which the bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-18 Marie Badreau , Frédéric Proïa

We study a generalization of the Brownian bridge as a stochastic process that models the position and velocity of inertial particles between the two end-points of a time interval. The particles experience random acceleration and are assumed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-15 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou

We study a point process describing the asymptotic behavior of sizes of the largest components of the random graph G(n,p) in the critical window p=n^{-1}+lambda n^{-4/3}. In particular, we show that this point process has a surprising…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Svante Janson , Joel Spencer

For $X_i(t), i=1,\ldots, n, t\in [0,T]$ centered Gaussian processes, the chi-square process $\sum_{i=1}^{n}X_i^2(t)$ appears naturally as limiting processes in various statistical models. In this paper, we are concerned with the exact tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Long Bai

The empirical copula process plays a central role in the asymptotic analysis of many statistical procedures which are based on copulas or ranks. Among other applications, results regarding its weak convergence can be used to develop…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-24 Axel Bücher , Betina Berghaus , Stanislav Volgushev

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In this paper we consider two such likelihood ratios. The first one is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-04-05 Serguei Dachian

We study the empirical measure associated to a sample of size $n$ and modified by $N$ iterations of the raking-ratio method. This empirical measure is adjusted to match the true probability of sets in a finite partition which changes each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-10 Mickael Albertus , Philippe Berthet

Consider a Markov chain $\{X_n\}_{n\ge 0}$ with an ergodic probability measure $\pi$. Let $\Psi$ a function on the state space of the chain, with $\alpha$-tails with respect to $\pi$, $\alpha\in (0,2)$. We find sufficient conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-15 Milton Jara , Tomasz Komorowski , Stefano Olla

Let $\mathcal{P}_{\lambda}:=\mathcal{P}_{\lambda\kappa}$ denote a Poisson point process of intensity $\lambda\kappa$ on $[0,1]^d,d\geq2$, with $\kappa$ a bounded density on $[0,1]^d$ and $\lambda\in(0,\infty)$. Given a closed subset…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-02 J. E. Yukich

In a network of reinforced stochastic processes, for certain values of the parameters, all the agents' inclinations synchronize and converge almost surely toward a certain random variable. The present work aims at clarifying when the agents…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-11 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi , Andrea Ghiglietti

We consider a discrete-time version of a Hawkes process defined as a Poisson auto-regressive process whose parameters depend on the past of the trajectory. We allow these parameters to take on negative values, modelling inhibition. More…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-19 Manon Costa , Pascal Maillard , Anthony Muraro

The paper is concerned with the equilibrium distribution $\Pi_n$ of the $n$-th element in a sequence of continuous-time density dependent Markov processes on the integers. Under a $(2+\a)$-th moment condition on the jump distributions, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-06 Sanda N. Socoll , A. D. Barbour

Let $(X_i)_{i\geq 1}$ be a stationary mean-zero Gaussian process with covariances $\rho(k)=\PE(X_{1}X_{k+1})$ satisfying: $\rho(0)=1$ and $\rho(k)=k^{-D} L(k)$ where $D$ is in $(0,1)$ and $L$ is slowly varying at infinity. Consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-08 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Hélène Boistard , Eric Moulines , Murad S. Taqqu , Valderio A. Reisen

We consider the rate of piecewise constant approximation to a locally stationary process $X(t),t\in [0,1]$, having a variable smoothness index $\alpha(t)$. Assuming that $\alpha(\cdot)$ attains its unique minimum at zero and satisfies the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-19 Enkelejd Hashorva , Mikhail Lifshits , Oleg Seleznjev

Stochastic differential equations provide a powerful tool for modelling dynamic phenomena affected by random noise. In case of repeated observations of time series for several experimental units, it is often the case that some of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-06 Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a semi-linear slow-fast stochastic partial differential equation with singular coefficients. Using the Poisson equation in Hilbert space, we first establish the strong convergence in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Michael Röckner , Longjie Xie , Li Yang

For each $n$, let $U_n$ be Haar distributed on the group of $n\times n$ unitary matrices. Let $\bfx_{n,1},\ldots,\bfx_{n,m} $ denote orthogonal nonrandom unit vectors in ${\Bbb C}^n$ and let $\text{\bf…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Jack W. Silverstein

Regularly varying stochastic processes model extreme dependence between process values at different locations and/or time points. For such processes we propose a two-step parameter estimation of the extremogram, when some part of the domain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

The probabilistic satisfiability of a logical expression is a fundamental concept known as the partition function in statistical physics and field theory, an evaluation of a related graph's Tutte polynomial in mathematics, and the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Stephen Eubank , Madhurima Nath , Yihui Ren , Abhijin Adiga