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Continual learning is motivated by the need to adapt to real-world dynamics in tasks and data distribution while mitigating catastrophic forgetting. Despite significant advances in continual learning techniques, the theoretical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-22 Yihan Zhao , Wenqing Su , Ying Yang

Record numbers are basic statistics in random walks, whose deviation principles are not very clear so far. In this paper, the asymptotic probabilities of large and moderate deviations for numbers of weak records in right continuous or left…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Yuqiang Li , Qiang Yao

This is basically a polished presentation for Sections 1,2 of arXiv:0801.1050. The Moderate Deviations Principle (MDP) is well-understood for sums of independent random variables, worse understood for stationary random sequences, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Boris Tsirelson

A variety of estimators for the parameters of the Generalized Pareto distribution, the approximating distribution for excesses over a high threshold, have been proposed, always assuming the underlying data to be independent. We recently…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-26 Lukas Martig , Jürg Hüsler

In this paper, we study precise deviations including precise large deviations and moderate deviations for discrete marked Hawkes processes for large time asymptotics by using mod-$\phi$ convergence theory.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-29 Yingli Wang , Ping He

The deviation principles of record numbers in random walk models have not been completely investigated, especially for the non-nearest neighbor cases. In this paper, we derive the asymptotic probabilities of large and moderate deviations…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-07 Yuqiang Li , Qiang Yao

The theory of large deviations deals with the probabilities of rare events (or fluctuations) that are exponentially small as a function of some parameter, e.g., the number of random components of a system, the time over which a stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-03-01 Hugo Touchette

The term \emph{moderate deviations} is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fill the gap between a convergence in probability to zero (governed by a large deviation principle) and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-15 Rita Giuliano , Claudio Macci

The work of Gantert, Kim, and Ramanan [Large deviations for random projections of $\ell^p$ balls, Ann. Probab. 45 (6B), 2017] has initiated and inspired a new direction of research in the asymptotic theory of geometric functional analysis.…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Joscha Prochno

Asymptotics deviation probabilities of the sum S n = X 1 + $\times$ $\times$ $\times$ + X n of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables have been extensively investigated , in particular when X 1 is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Pierre Petit

This work is a continuation of [7]. We consider a continuous-time birth-and-death process in which the transition rates have an asymptotical power-law dependence upon the position of the process. We establish rough exponential asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 A. V. Logachov , Y. M. Suhov , N. D. Vvedenskaya , A. A. Yambartsev

The aim of this paper is to get asymptotic deviation bounds via a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for cumulative processes also known as compound renewal processes or renewal-reward processes. These processes cumulate independent random…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Patrick Cattiaux , Laetitia Colombani , Manon Costa

In this paper, we obtain some results on precise large deviations for non-random and random sums of widely dependent random variables with common dominatedly varying tail distribution or consistently varying tail distribution on…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

We consider the moderate deviations behaviors for two (co-) volatility estima-tors: generalised bipower variation, Hayashi-Yoshida estimator. The results are obtained by using a new result about the moderate deviations principle for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Hacène Djellout , Arnaud Guillin , Hui Jiang , Yacouba Samoura

We study large deviation probabilities for a sum of dependent random variables from a heavy-tailed factor model, assuming that the components are regularly varying. We identify conditions where both the factor and the idiosyncratic terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-05 Boualem Djehiche , Jens Svensson

We analyze the \textit{Large Deviation Probability (LDP)} of linear factor models generated from non-identically distributed components with \textit{regularly-varying} tails, a large subclass of heavy tailed distributions. An efficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Farzad Pourbabaee , Omid Shams Solari

Asymptotics deviation probabilities of the sum S n = X 1 + $\times$ $\times$ $\times$ + X n of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables have been extensively investigated, in particular when X 1 is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Fabien Brosset , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Pierre Petit

We study large deviation asymptotics for processes defined in terms of continued fraction digits. We use the continued fraction digit sum process to define a stopping time and derive a joint large deviation asymptotic for the upper and…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-19 Marc Kesseböhmer , Mehdi Slassi

In decision making under uncertainty and risk, worst-case risk assessments are often conducted using maxitive monetary risk measures. In this article, we study maxitive monetary risk measures on the space $L^0$ of all random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-16 José Miguel Zapata

Modern risk modelling approaches deal with vectors of multiple components. The components could be, for example, returns of financial instruments or losses within an insurance portfolio concerning different lines of business. One of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Miriam Hägele , Jaakko Lehtomaa