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We consider the contact process on the preferential attachment graph. The work of Berger, Borgs, Chayes and Saberi [BBCS1] confirmed physicists predictions that the contact process starting from a typical vertex becomes endemic for an…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-23 Van Hao Can

We present a unified mathematical approach to epidemiological models with parametric heterogeneity, i.e., to the models that describe individuals in the population as having specific parameter (trait) values that vary from one individuals…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-14 Artem S. Novozhilov

We investigate a non-Markovian analogue of the Harris contact process in a finite connected graph G=(V,E): an individual is attached to each site x in V, and it can be infected or healthy; the infection propagates to healthy neighbors just…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Luiz Renato Fontes , Pablo Almeida Gomes , Remy Sanchis

We study the contact process on the configuration model with a power law degree distribution, when the exponent is smaller than or equal to two. We prove that the extinction time grows exponentially fast with the size of the graph and prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-20 Van Hao Can , Bruno Schapira

Epidemic disease spreading is conventionally often modelled and analyzed by means of rate and diffusion equations, following the paradigms of well-controlled chemical reactions and diffusive dynamics in a test tube. Yet, serious worries…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-03 Klaus Kroy

The contact process, or SIS epidemic, is a continuous-time Markov process used to model the spread of infection on a graph. Each vertex is either healthy or infected, and each infected vertex independently infects each of its healthy…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Shirshendu Chatterjee , David Sivakoff , Matthew Wascher

This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible -> exposed (=latent) -> infective -> removed) epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which removed individuals may name some of their infectious…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Frank G Ball , Edward S Knock , Philip D O'Neill

The ability to directly record human face-to-face interactions increasingly enables the development of detailed data-driven models for the spread of directly transmitted infectious diseases at the scale of individuals. Complete coverage of…

We study invariant measures of continuous contact model in small dimensional spaces ($d =1,2$). Under general conditions we prove that in the critical regime this system has the one-parameter set of invariant measures parametrized by the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-11-06 Yuri Kondratiev , Oleksandr Kutoviy , Sergey Pirogov , Elena Zhizhina

In order to understand the cost of a potentially high infectiousness of symptomatic individuals or, on the contrary, the benefit of social distancing, quarantine, etc. in the course of an infectious disease, this paper considers a natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Lamia Belhadji , Nicolas Lanchier , Max Mercer

We study the contact process on random graphs with low infection rate $\lambda$. For random $d$-regular graphs, it is known that the survival time is $O(\log n)$ below the critical $\lambda_c$. By contrast, on the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Oanh Nguyen , Allan Sly

Growth-fragmentation processes model systems of cells that grow continuously over time and then fragment into smaller pieces. Typically, on average, the number of cells in the system exhibits asynchronous exponential growth and, upon…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-08 Emma Horton , Alexander R. Watson

We investigate the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered contagion dynamics in a system of self-propelled particles with polar alignment. Using agent-based simulations, we analyze the outbreak process for different combinations of the spatial…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-06-16 Yinong Zhao , Cristián Huepe , Pawel Romanczuk

We study the local persistence probability during non-stationary time evolutions in disordered contact processes with long-range interactions by a combination of the strong-disorder renormalization group (SDRG) method, a phenomenological…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-19 Róbert Juhász

In this work we study the asymptotic distribution of eigenvalues in one-dimensional open sets. The method of proof is rather elementary, based on the Dirichlet lattice points problem, which enable us to consider sets with infinite measure.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-06-15 J. Fernandez Bonder , J. P. Pinasco , A. M. Salort

This thesis investigates critical phenomena and equilibrium states in various stochastic models through three interconnected studies. In the first chapter, we analyze the Activated Random Walk model on a one-dimensional ring in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Célio Terra

Modeling long-range epidemic spreading in a random environment, we consider a quenched disordered, $d$-dimensional contact process with infection rates decaying with the distance as $1/r^{d+\sigma}$. We study the dynamical behavior of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-04-02 R. Juhász , I. A. Kovács , F. Iglói

We consider the extinction time of the contact process on increasing sequences of finite graphs obtained from a variety of random graph models. Under the assumption that the infection rate is above the critical value for the process on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-13 Bruno Schapira , Daniel Valesin

In the present work the spread of epidemic is studied over complex networks which are characterized by power law degree distribution of links and heterogeneous rate of disease transmission. The random allocation of epidemic transmission…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-19 Vikram Sagar , Yi Zhao

In this paper we are concerned with threshold-one contact processes on lattices. We show that the probability that the origin is infected converges to 0 at an exponential rate I in the subcritical case. Furthermore, we give a limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-27 Xiaofeng Xue