Related papers: Subcritical contact processes seen from a typical …
We combine a pedestrian dynamics model with a contact tracing method to simulate the initial spreading of a highly infectious airborne disease in a confined environment. We focus on a medium size population (up to 1000 people) with a small…
The process by which one may take a discrete model of a biophysical process and construct a continuous model based on it is of mathematical interest as well as being of practical use. In this paper, we first study the singular limit of a…
A proof is provided of a strong law of large numbers for a one-dimensional random walk in a dynamic random environment given by a supercritical contact process in equilibrium. The proof is based on a coupling argument that traces the…
We analyze the properties of the contact process with long-range interactions by the use of a kinetic ensemble in which the total number of particles is strictly conserved. In this ensemble, both annihilation and creation processes are…
The primary tool for predicting infectious disease spread and intervention effectiveness is the mass action Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model of Kermack and McKendrick. Its usefulness derives largely from its conceptual and mathematical…
We study the contact process on a dynamic random~$d$-regular graph with an edge-switching mechanism, as well as an interacting particle system that arises from the local description of this process, called the herds process. Both these…
We study the contact process in the regime of small infection rates on finite scale-free networks with stationary dynamics based on simultaneous updating of all connections of a vertex. We allow the update rates of individual vertices to…
The contact process on dynamic edges (CPDE) is a contact process evolving on a dynamic environment given by a dynamical percolation on the edges of Z d\,: each edge updates its state to open or closed with respective rates vp and v(1 -p).…
We study contact epidemic models for the spread of infective diseases in finite populations. The size dependence enters in the infection rate. The dynamics of such models is then analyzed within the deterministic approximation, as well as…
We introduce a model of epidemics among moving particles on any locally finite graph. At any time, each vertex is empty, occupied by a healthy particle, or occupied by an infected particle. Infected particles recover at rate $1$ and…
We study survival and extinction of a long-range infection process on a diluted one-dimensional lattice in discrete time. The infection can spread to distant vertices according to a Pareto distribution, however spreading is also prohibited…
Slowly driven dissipative systems may evolve to a critical state where long periods of apparent equilibrium are punctuated by intermittent avalanches of activity. We present a self-organized critical model of punctuated equilibrium behavior…
An asymmetric variant of the contact process where the activity spreads with different and independent random rates to the left and to the right is introduced. A real space renormalization scheme is formulated for model by means of which it…
Motile organisms can form stable agglomerates such as cities or colonies. In the outbreak of a highly contagious disease, the control of large-scale epidemic spread depends on factors like the number and size of agglomerates, travel rate…
We study a contact process running in a random environment in $\mathbb {Z}^d$ where sites flip, independently of each other, between blocking and nonblocking states, and the contact process is restricted to live in the space given by…
We study the contact process on a random bipartite connection hypergraph generated from two Poisson point processes, with mark-dependent connection thresholds. For asymmetric infection rates and asymmetric power law tail decays of the two…
The contact process is a simple model for the spread of an infection in a structured population. We investigate the case when the underlying structure evolves dynamically as a degree-dependent dynamical percolation model. Starting with a…
We consider a random process on recursive trees, with three types of events. Vertices give birth at a constant rate (growth), each edge may be removed independently (fragmentation of the tree) and clusters (or trees) are frozen with a rate…
Working in the multi-type Galton-Watson branching-process framework we analyse the spread of a pandemic via a general multi-type random contact graph. Our model consists of several communities, and takes, as input, parameters that outline…
Understanding the spread of diseases through complex networks is of great interest where realistic, heterogeneous contact patterns play a crucial role in the spread. Most works have focused on mean-field behavior -- quantifying how contact…