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This paper concerns the approximation of probability measures on $\mathbf{R}^d$ with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence. Given an admissible target measure, we show the existence of the best approximation, with respect to this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-26 Yulong Lu , Andrew M. Stuart , Hendrik Weber

We consider testing marginal independence versus conditional independence in a trivariate Gaussian setting. The two models are non-nested and their intersection is a union of two marginal independences. We consider two sequences of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-23 F. Richard Guo , Thomas S. Richardson

Early stopping of iterative algorithms is an algorithmic regularization method to avoid over-fitting in estimation and classification. In this paper, we show that early stopping can also be applied to obtain the minimax optimal testing in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Meimei Liu , Guang Cheng

We use the exact finite sample likelihood and statistical decision theory to answer questions of ``why?'' and ``what should you have done?'' using data from randomized experiments and a utility function that prioritizes safety over…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-26 Neil Christy , A. E. Kowalski

Sequential Bayesian experimental design typically assumes that the number of experiments is fixed before data collection begins. In practical campaigns, however, experimentation may need to terminate early because additional measurements…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Chen Cheng , Xun Huan

We study the almost-sure termination problem for probabilistic programs. First, we show that supermartingales with lower bounds on conditional absolute difference provide a sound approach for the almost-sure termination problem. Moreover,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-08-24 Mingzhang Huang , Hongfei Fu , Krishnendu Chatterjee

We propose a Bayesian Sequential procedure to test hypotheses concerning the Relative Risk between two specific treatments based on the binary data obtained from the two-arm clinical trial. Our development is based on the optimal sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-07 Jiayue Wang , Ben Boukai

We study random transformations built from intermittent maps on the unit interval that share a common neutral fixed point. We focus mainly on random selections of Pomeu-Manneville-type maps $T_\alpha$ using the full parameter range $0<…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Wael Bahsoun , Christopher Bose

We study the Stochastic Shortest Path (SSP) problem with a linear mixture transition kernel, where an agent repeatedly interacts with a stochastic environment and seeks to reach certain goal state while minimizing the cumulative cost.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Qiwei Di , Jiafan He , Dongruo Zhou , Quanquan Gu

We consider a multiple hypothesis testing setting where the hypotheses are ordered and one is only permitted to reject an initial contiguous block, H_1,\dots,H_k, of hypotheses. A rejection rule in this setting amounts to a procedure for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-25 Max Grazier G'Sell , Stefan Wager , Alexandra Chouldechova , Robert Tibshirani

We investigate the problem of jointly testing a pair of composite hypotheses and, depending on the test result, estimating a random parameter under distributional uncertainties. Specifically, it is assumed that the distribution of the data…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-27 Dominik Reinhard , Michael Fauß , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

In this paper, we deal with sequential testing of multiple hypotheses. In the general scheme of construction of optimal tests based on the backward induction, we propose a modification which provides a simplified (generally speaking,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-04 Andrey Novikov

We study the adversarial binary hypothesis testing problem in the sequential setting. Associated with each hypothesis is a closed, convex set of distributions. Given the hypothesis, each observation is generated according to a distribution…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Eeshan Modak , Mayank Bakshi , Bikash Kumar Dey , Vinod M. Prabhakaran

We propose an explicit, easily-computable algebraic criterion for approximate null-controllability of a class of general piecewise linear switch systems with multiplicative noise. This gives an answer to the general problem left open in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Dan Goreac , Claudia Grosu , Eduard Rotenstein

We present a sequential testing method to identify a practically significant effect. We build on the existing mixture sequential probability ratio test (mSPRT) that can sequentially test for a non-zero treatment effect by using a truncated…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 Kyu Min Shim

Quantum hypothesis testing is an important tool for quantum information processing. Two main strategies have been widely adopted: in a minimum error discrimination strategy, the average error probability is minimized; while in an…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-11-25 Quntao Zhuang

In adaptive data analysis, the user makes a sequence of queries on the data, where at each step the choice of query may depend on the results in previous steps. The releases are often randomized in order to reduce overfitting for such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-16 Yu-Xiang Wang , Jing Lei , Stephen E. Fienberg

We consider a hypothesis testing problem where a part of data cannot be observed. Our helper observes the missed data and can send us a limited amount of information about them. What kind of this limited information will allow us to make…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-08 Marat V. Burnashev

This paper establishes a formal connection between finite-sample and asymptotically minimax robust hypothesis testing under distributional uncertainty. It is shown that, whenever a finite-sample minimax robust test exists, it coincides with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Gökhan Gül

We extend the Approximate-Proximal Point (aProx) family of model-based methods for solving stochastic convex optimization problems, including stochastic subgradient, proximal point, and bundle methods, to the minibatch and accelerated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-08 Karan Chadha , Gary Cheng , John C. Duchi