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This article addresses the problem of efficient Bayesian inference in dynamic systems using particle methods and makes a number of contributions. First, we develop a correlated pseudo-marginal (CPM) approach for Bayesian inference in state…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-22 P. Choppala , D. Gunawan , J. Chen , M. -N. Tran , R. Kohn

The matched filter (MF) is widely used to detect signals hidden within the noise. If the noise is Gaussian, its performances are well-known and describable in an elegant analytical form. The treatment of non-Gaussian noises is often…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-08 Roberto Vio , Paola Andreani

When a hidden Markov model permits the conditional likelihood of an observation given the hidden process to be zero, all particle simulations from one observation time to the next could produce zeros. If so, the filtering distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Chris Sherlock , Andrew Golightly , Anthony Lee

Particle MCMC involves using a particle filter within an MCMC algorithm. For inference of a model which involves an unobserved stochastic process, the standard implementation uses the particle filter to propose new values for the stochastic…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-26 Paul Fearnhead , Loukia Meligkotsidou

Intrusive uncertainty quantification methods for hyperbolic problems exhibit spurious oscillations at shocks, which leads to a significant reduction of the overall approximation quality. Furthermore, a challenging task is to preserve…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Graham Alldredge , Martin Frank , Jonas Kusch , Ryan McClarren

This paper contains the latest installment of the authors' project on developing ensemble based data assimilation methodology for high dimensional fluid dynamics models. The algorithm presented here is a particle filter that combines model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Colin Cotter , Dan Crisan , Darryl Holm , Wei Pan , Igor Shevchenko

Efficient simulation of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDE) on general domains requires noise discretization. This paper employs piecewise linear interpolation of noise in a fully discrete finite element approximation of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Gabriel Lord , Andreas Petersson

Gravitational-wave astronomers often wish to characterize the expected parameter-estimation accuracy of future observations. The Fisher matrix provides a lower bound on the spread of the maximum-likelihood estimator across noise…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2011-11-08 Michele Vallisneri

We present a particle filtering algorithm for stochastic models on infinite dimensional state space, making use of Girsanov perturbations to nudge the ensemble of particles into regions of higher likelihood. We argue that the optimal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Maneesh Kumar Singh , Joshua Hope-Collins , Colin J. Cotter , Dan Crisan

Accurate interpolation of seismic data is crucial for improving the quality of imaging and interpretation. In recent years, deep learning models such as U-Net and generative adversarial networks have been widely applied to seismic data…

Many recent advances in sequential assimilation of data into nonlinear high-dimensional models are modifications to particle filters which employ efficient searches of a high-dimensional state space. In this work, we present a complementary…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-10 John Maclean , Elaine T Spiller

This paper is concerned with the problem of continuous-time nonlinear filtering for stochastic processes on a compact and connected matrix Lie group without boundary, e.g. SO(n) and SE(n), in the presence of real-valued observations. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-10-06 Chi Zhang , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta

Hybrid variational quantum algorithms, which combine a classical optimizer with evaluations on a quantum chip, are the most promising candidates to show quantum advantage on current noisy, intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices. The…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-08-05 Juliane Mueller , Wim Lavrijsen , Costin Iancu , Wibe de Jong

The particle filter (PF), also known as sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), approximates high-dimensional probability distributions and their normalizing constants in the discrete-time setting. To reduce the variance of the Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-05 Jianfeng Lu , Yuliang Wang

Increasing availability of vehicle GPS data has created potentially transformative opportunities for traffic management, route planning and other location-based services. Critical to the utility of the data is their accuracy. Map-matching…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-30 Kira Kempinska , Toby Davies , John Shawe-Taylor

State estimation in multi-layer turbulent flow fields with only a single layer of partial observation remains a challenging yet practically important task. Applications include inferring the state of the deep ocean by exploiting surface…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-30 Zhongrui Wang , Nan Chen , Di Qi

Stochastic filtering is defined as the estimation of a partially observed dynamical system. A massive scientific and computational effort is dedicated to the development of numerical methods for approximating the solution of the filtering…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Dan Crisan , Kai Li

We present a reformulation of stochastic global optimization as a filtering problem. The motivation behind this reformulation comes from the fact that for many optimization problems we cannot evaluate exactly the objective function to be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-12-22 Panagiotis Stinis

We consider a class of high-dimensional spatial filtering problems, where the spatial locations of observations are unknown and driven by the partially observed hidden signal. This problem is exceptionally challenging as not only is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-07 Hamza Ruzayqat , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

In this article, we present the elitist particle filter based on evolutionary strategies (EPFES) as an efficient approach for nonlinear system identification. The EPFES is derived from the frequently-employed state-space model, where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-26 Christian Huemmer , Christian Hofmann , Roland Maas , Walter Kellermann