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Computer simulations of differential equations require a time discretization, which inhibits to identify the exact solution with certainty. Probabilistic simulations take this into account via uncertainty quantification. The construction of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Philipp Frank , Torsten A. Enßlin

Particle filters are a widely used Monte Carlo based data assimilation technique that estimates the probability distribution of a system's state conditioned on observations through a collection of weights and particles. A known problem for…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-29 Shay Gilpin , Michael Herty

Sequential Bayesian Filtering aims to estimate the current state distribution of a Hidden Markov Model, given the past observations. The problem is well-known to be intractable for most application domains, except in notable cases such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-16 Théophile Cantelobre , Carlo Ciliberto , Benjamin Guedj , Alessandro Rudi

Particle filters are key algorithms for object tracking under non-linear, non-Gaussian dynamics. The high computational cost of particle filters, however, hampers their applicability in cases where the likelihood model is costly to…

Computation · Statistics 2014-04-07 Ömer Demirel , Ihor Smal , Wiro J. Niessen , Erik Meijering , Ivo F. Sbalzarini

Recent works on deep non-linear spatially selective filters demonstrate exceptional enhancement performance with computationally lightweight architectures for stationary speakers of known directions. However, to maintain this performance in…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-08 Jakob Kienegger , Alina Mannanova , Huajian Fang , Timo Gerkmann

Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo (PMCMC) is a general computational approach to Bayesian inference for general state space models. Our article scales up PMCMC in terms of the number of observations and parameters by generating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-04 David Gunawan , Chris Carter , Robert Kohn

In nonlinear state-space models, sequential learning about the hidden state can proceed by particle filtering when the density of the observation conditional on the state is available analytically (e.g. Gordon et al., 1993). This condition…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-24 Laurent E. Calvet , Veronika Czellar

In the following article we develop a particle filter for approximating Feynman-Kac models with indicator potentials. Examples of such models include approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) posteriors associated with hidden Markov models…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-02 Ajay Jasra , Anthony Lee , Christopher Yau , Xiaole Zhang

In this work, we develop tracking and estimation techniques relevant to underwater targets. Particularly, we explore particle filtering techniques for target tracking. It is a numerical approximation method for implementing a recursive…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-11 T M Feroz Ali

Variational inference for state space models (SSMs) is known to be hard in general. Recent works focus on deriving variational objectives for SSMs from unbiased sequential Monte Carlo estimators. We reveal that the marginal particle filter…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-16 Jinlin Lai , Justin Domke , Daniel Sheldon

In this paper, we present a sparse grid-based Monte Carlo method for solving high-dimensional semi-linear nonlocal diffusion equations with volume constraints. The nonlocal model is governed by a class of semi-linear partial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Changtao Sheng , Bihao Su , Chenglong Xu

The convolution of a Gaussian and a Cauchy distribution, known as the Voigt distribution, is widely used in spectroscopy and provides a natural framework for modeling heavy-tailed measurement noise. We derive analytical expressions for its…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-29 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Chen Tong

This paper concerns numerical assessment of Monte Carlo error in particle filters. We show that by keeping track of certain key features of the genealogical structure arising from resampling operations, it is possible to estimate variances…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-29 Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley

Bayesian filtering is a well-known problem that aims to estimate plausible states of a dynamical system from observations. Among existing approaches to solve this problem, particle filters are theoretically exact for non-linear dynamics and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Thomas Savary , François Rozet , Gilles Louppe

This work leverages recent advances in probabilistic machine learning to discover conservation laws expressed by parametric linear equations. Such equations involve, but are not limited to, ordinary and partial differential,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-13 Maziar Raissi , George Em. Karniadakis

Particle discretizations of partial differential equations are advantageous for high-dimensional kinetic models in phase space due to their better scalability than continuum approaches with respect to dimension. Complex processes…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2025-12-23 Mark F. Adams , Daniel S. Finn , Matthew G. Knepley , Joseph V. Pusztay

We introduce a new version of particle filter in which the number of "children" of a particle at a given time has a Poisson distribution. As a result, the number of particles is random and varies with time. An advantage of this scheme is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-05 Tomasz Cąkała , Błażej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro

Exact inference for hidden Markov models requires the evaluation of all distributions of interest - filtering, prediction, smoothing and likelihood - with a finite computational effort. This article provides sufficient conditions for exact…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-11 Guillaume Kon Kam King , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero

A common approach to approximating Gaussian log-likelihoods at scale exploits the fact that precision matrices can be well-approximated by sparse matrices in some circumstances. This strategy is motivated by the \emph{screening effect},…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-20 Christopher J. Geoga , Michael L. Stein

Data assimilation algorithms integrate prior information from numerical model simulations with observed data. Ensemble-based filters, regarded as state-of-the-art, are widely employed for large-scale estimation tasks in disciplines such as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Iris Rammelmüller , Gottfried Hastermann , Jana de Wiljes
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