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With the recent increase in deforestation, forest fires, and regional temperatures, the concerns around the rapid and complete collapse of the Amazon rainforest ecosystem have heightened. The thresholds of deforestation and the temperature…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-04 Adam Giammarese , Jacob Brown , Nishant Malik

Cenozoic temperature, sea level and CO2 co-variations provide insights into climate sensitivity to external forcings and sea level sensitivity to climate change. Climate sensitivity depends on the initial climate state, but potentially can…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-03-05 James Hansen , Makiko Sato , Gary Russell , Pushker Kharecha

We present a method to infer network connectivity from collective dynamics in networks of synchronizing phase oscillators. We study the long-term stationary response to temporally constant driving. For a given driving condition, measuring…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Marc Timme

Errors in applying regression models and wavelet filters used to analyze geophysical signals are discussed: (1) multidecadal natural oscillations (e.g. the quasi 60-year Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), North Atlantic Oscillation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-05-14 Nicola Scafetta

In this paper, we study the periodic fluctuations of connectivity density time series of a wind speed-monitoring network in Switzerland. By using the correlogram-based robust periodogram annual periodic oscillations were found in the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-17 Mohamed Laib , Luciano Telesca , Mikhail Kanevski

Oceanic atmospheric oscillations and climate variability are tightly linked and both exhibit broad band spectral content that ranges, with roughly equal strength, from annual to centennial periodicity. The explanation for variability based…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-23 Ian R. Edmonds

We introduce a new formulation of local clustering coefficient for weighted correlation networks. This new formulation is based upon a definition introduced previously in the neuroscience context and aimed at compensating for spurious…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-29 Mikhail Krivonosov , Olga Vershinina , Anna Pirova , Shraddha Gupta , Oleg Kanakov , Jürgen Kurths

Herein I propose a multi-scale dynamical analysis to facilitate the physical interpretation of tide gauge records. The technique uses graphical diagrams. It is applied to six secular-long tide gauge records representative of the world…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-04-24 Nicola Scafetta

Machine learning weather models trained on observed atmospheric conditions can outperform conventional physics-based models at short- to medium-range (1-14 day) forecast timescales. Here we take the machine learning weather model ACE2,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-01 Chris Kent , Adam A. Scaife , Nick J. Dunstone , Doug Smith , Steven C. Hardiman , Tom Dunstan , Oliver Watt-Meyer

The oscillations of climatic parameters of North Atlantic Ocean play important role in various events in North America and Europe. Several climatic indices are associated with these oscillations. The long term Atlantic temperature anomalies…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-05 Vasil Kolev , Yavor Chapanov

Global climate changes are related to the ocean's store of carbon. We study a carbonate system of the upper ocean, which has metastable and oscillatory regimes, under small random fluctuations. We calculate the most probable transition path…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-15 Wei Wei , Jianyu Hu , Jianyu Chen , Jinqiao Duan

The persistence of the global climate system is critical for assuring the sustainability of the natural ecosystem and the further development of the prosperity of socio-economics. In this paper, we develop a framework and analyze the time…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-27 Ting Qing , Fan Wang , Qiuyue Li , Gaogao Dong , Lixin Tian , Shlomo Havlin

In this work we use the random matrix theory (RMT) to correctly describethe behavior of spectral statistical properties of the sea surface temperatureof oceans. This oceanographic variable plays an important role in theglobalclimate system.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-07 Eucymara F. N. Santosa , Anderson L. R. Barbosa , Paulo J. Duarte-Neto

A comprehensive characterization of internal climate variability and irreducible uncertainty through initial-condition large ensembles of Earth system models across different spatiotemporal scales remains a significant challenge in climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-28 Arnob Ray , Abhirup Banerjee , Rachindra Mawalagedara , Auroop R. Ganguly

This study explores the mechanisms behind anomalous positive and negative rainfall events in the southeastern United States (SEUS), emphasizing the interplay between upper-level large-scale atmospheric teleconnections and the lower-level…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-30 Priyanshi Singhai , Kathy Pegion , Akintomide A. Akinsanola , Bohar Singh , Thierry N. Taguela

Networks of coupled phase oscillators are one of the most studied dynamical systems with numerous applications in physics, chemistry, biology, and engineering. Their behaviour is often characterized by the emergence of various partially…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2026-02-27 Oleh E. Omel'chenko

Tropical cyclones (TCs), driven by heat exchange between the air and sea, pose a substantial risk to many communities around the world. Accurate characterization of the subsurface ocean thermal response to TC passage is crucial for accurate…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-18 Addison J. Hu , Mikael Kuusela , Ann B. Lee , Donata Giglio , Kimberly M. Wood

We examine how coupling functions in the theory of dynamical systems provide a quantitative window into climate dynamics. Previously we have shown that a one-dimensional periodic non-autonomous stochastic dynamical system can simulate the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-11-12 Woosok Moon , John S. Wettlaufer

Predictions on subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) timescales--ranging from two weeks to two month--are crucial for early warning systems but remain challenging owing to chaos in the climate system. Teleconnections, such as the stratospheric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Philine L. Bommer , Marlene Kretschmer , Fiona R. Spuler , Kirill Bykov , Marina M. -C. Höhne

Functional brain networks can change rapidly as a function of stimuli or cognitive shifts. Tracking dynamic functional connectivity is particularly challenging as it requires estimating the structure of the network at each moment as well as…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Wan-Chi Hsin , Uri T. Eden , Emily P. Stephen