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Accurate real-time tracking of influenza outbreaks helps public health officials make timely and meaningful decisions that could save lives. We propose an influenza tracking model, ARGO (AutoRegression with GOogle search data), that uses…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-17 Shihao Yang , Mauricio Santillana , S. C. Kou

Many questions of fundamental interest in todays science can be formulated as inference problems: Some partial, or noisy, observations are performed over a set of variables and the goal is to recover, or infer, the values of the variables…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-24 Lenka Zdeborová , Florent Krzakala

Respondent-driven sampling is a form of link-tracing network sampling, which is widely used to study hard-to-reach populations, often to estimate population proportions. Previous treatments of this process have used a with-replacement…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-25 Krista J. Gile

A common goal in modern biostatistics is to form a biomarker signature from high dimensional gene expression data that is predictive of some outcome of interest. After learning this biomarker signature, an important question to answer is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-05 Samuel M. Gross , Jonathan Taylor , Robert Tibshirani

New technologies have enabled the investigation of biology and human health at an unprecedented scale and in multiple dimensions. These dimensions include a myriad of properties describing genome, epigenome, transcriptome, microbiome,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-22 Marinka Zitnik , Francis Nguyen , Bo Wang , Jure Leskovec , Anna Goldenberg , Michael M. Hoffman

Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) remains a leading cause of late-stage clinical trial attrition. However, existing computational predictors primarily rely on binary classification, a framing that limits generalization and yields no…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Maciej Wisniewski , Bartosz Topolski , Pawel Dabrowski-Tumanski , Dariusz Plewczynski , Tomasz Jetka

This introduction to Bayesian statistics presents the main concepts as well as the principal reasons advocated in favour of a Bayesian modelling. We cover the various approaches to prior determination as well as the basis asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-02-09 Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

Persistent homology is a vital tool for topological data analysis. Previous work has developed some statistical estimators for characteristics of collections of persistence diagrams. However, tools that provide statistical inference for…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-23 Andrew Robinson , Katharine Turner

Individual-based models of contagious processes are useful for predicting epidemic trajectories and informing intervention strategies. In such models, the incorporation of contact network information can capture the non-randomness and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-09 Maxwell H. Wang , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

The predictions of mean-field electrodynamics can now be probed using direct numerical simulations of random flows and magnetic fields. When modelling astrophysical MHD, it is important to verify that such simulations are in agreement with…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-09-12 Irina Makarenko , Paul Bushby , Andrew Fletcher , Robin Henderson , Nikolay Makarenko , Anvar Shukurov

Millions of measuring instruments are verified each year before being placed on the markets worldwide. In the EU, such initial conformity assessments are regulated by the Measuring Instruments Directive (MID). The MID modules F and F1 on…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-23 Katy Klauenberg , Cord A. Müller , Clemens Elster

Factor analysis is a critical component of high dimensional biological data analysis. However, modern biological data contain two key features that irrevocably corrupt existing methods. First, these data, which include longitudinal,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-24 Chris McKennan

Many disease models focus on characterizing the underlying transmission mechanism but make simple, possibly naive assumptions about how infections are reported. In this note, we use a simple deterministic Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-28 Sang Woo Park , Benjamin M. Bolker

This paper describes a heuristic Bayesian method for computing probability distributions from experimental data, based upon the multivariate normal form of the influence diagram. An example illustrates its use in medical technology…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Ross D. Shachter , David M. Eddy , Vic Hasselblad , Robert Wolpert

Since the publication of our review article Hyperspectral imaging solutions for brain tissue metabolic and hemodynamic monitoring: past, current and future developments in 2018, the technological and applicational landscape of the use of…

Medical Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Luca Giannoni , Frédéric Lange , Ilias Tachtsidis

Causal inference across multiple data sources offers a promising avenue to enhance the generalizability and replicability of scientific findings. However, data integration methods for time-to-event outcomes, common in biomedical research,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-16 Yi Liu , Alexander W. Levis , Ke Zhu , Shu Yang , Peter B. Gilbert , Larry Han

During the past few years the development of experimental techniques has allowed the quantitative analysis of biological systems ranging from neurobiology and molecular biology. This work focuses on the quantitative description of these…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2011-09-19 Carlo Barbieri

This paper considers (partial) identification of a variety of counterfactual parameters in binary response models with possibly endogenous regressors. Our framework allows for nonseparable index functions with multi-dimensional latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-26 Jiaying Gu , Thomas M. Russell

In this paper, we carry out a computational study using the spectral decomposition of the fluctuations of a two-pathogen epidemic model around its deterministic attractor, i.e., steady state or limit cycle, to examine the role of partial…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-01 Yury E. García , Marcos A. Capistrán

This contribution aims to shed light on mathematical epidemic dynamics modelling from the viewpoint of analytical mechanics. To set the stage, it recasts the basic SIR model of mathematical epidemic dynamics in an analytical mechanics…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Paul Steinmann
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