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Related papers: Large Portfolio Asymptotics for Loss From Default

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We establish a Large Deviations Principle for stochastic processes with Lipschitz continuous oblique reflections on regular domains. The rate functional is given as the value function of a control problem and is proved to be good. The proof…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-14 Magdalena Kobylanski

We study large and moderate deviations for a life insurance portfolio, without assuming identically distributed losses. The crucial assumption is that losses are bounded, and that variances are bounded below. From a standard large…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-04 Stefan Gerhold

We consider the probabilistic numerical scheme for fully nonlinear PDEs suggested in \cite{cstv}, and show that it can be introduced naturally as a combination of Monte Carlo and finite differences scheme without appealing to the theory of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-26 Arash Fahim , Nizar Touzi , Xavier Warin

We study a large deviation principle for a system of stochastic reaction--diffusion equations (SRDEs) with a separation of fast and slow components and small noise in the slow component. The derivation of the large deviation principle is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-02 Wenqing Hu , Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We introduce a model for the loss distribution of a credit portfolio considering a contagion mechanism for the default of names which is the result of two independent components: an infection attempt generated by defaulting entities and a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-22 Gabriele Torri , Rosella Giacometti , Gianluca Farina

Default risk calculus plays a crucial role in portfolio optimization when the risky asset is under threat of bankruptcy. However, traditional stochastic control techniques are not applicable in this scenario, and additional assumptions are…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-10 José A. Salmerón , Giulia Di Nunno , Bernardo D'Auria

We investigate large deviations for a family of conservative stochastic PDEs (conservation laws) in the asymptotic of jointly vanishing noise and viscosity. We obtain a first large deviations principle in a space of Young measures. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-06 Mauro Mariani

In this paper, we propose a method for bounding the probability that a stochastic differential equation (SDE) system violates a safety specification over the infinite time horizon. SDEs are mathematical models of stochastic processes that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-06-04 Shenghua Feng , Mingshuai Chen , Bai Xue , Sriram Sankaranarayanan , Naijun Zhan

This paper investigates the finite horizon risk-sensitive portfolio optimization in a regime-switching credit market with physical and information-induced default contagion. It is assumed that the underlying regime-switching process has…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-28 Lijun Bo , Huafu Liao , Xiang Yu

This paper addresses the portfolio selection problem for nonlinear law-dependent preferences in continuous time, which inherently exhibit time inconsistency. Employing the method of stochastic maximum principle, we establish verification…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-15 Zongxia Liang , Jianming Xia , Fengyi Yuan

We establish the well-posedness of stationary solutions for a class of SPDEs with locally monotone coefficients, and prove the Freidlin--Wentzell large deviation principle (LDP) for these stationary solutions. The LDP for the associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Yong Liu , Bin Tang , Rangrang Zhang

The probability minimizing problem of large losses of portfolio in discrete and continuous time models is studied. This gives a generalization of quantile hedging presented in [3].

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-14 Michał Barski

Motivated by the statistical description of turbulence, we study statistical conservation laws in the form of kinetic-type PDEs for joint probability density functions (PDFs) and cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) associated with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Qian Huang , Christian Rohde

The stability of the financial system is associated with systemic risk factors such as the concurrent default of numerous small obligors. Hence it is of utmost importance to study the mutual dependence of losses for different creditors in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-30 Andreas Mühlbacher , Thomas Guhr

We prove results on bounded solutions to backward stochastic equations driven by random measures. Those bounded BSDE solutions are then applied to solve different stochastic optimization problems with exponential utility in models where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Dirk Becherer

We study large deviations and rare default clustering events in a dynamic large heterogeneous portfolio of interconnected components. Defaults come as Poisson events and the default intensities of the different components in the system…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Richard B. Sowers

This study proposes a stochastic model for loss-given-default (LGD) which provides the LGD distribution based on credit market and company-specific financial conditions. The model utilizes last passage time of a linear diffusion…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-04 Masahiko Egami , Rusudan Kevkhishvili

We study the large deviations principle (LDP) for stationary solutions of a class of stochastic differential equations (SDE) in infinite time intervals by the weak convergence approach, and then establish the LDP for the invariant measures…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Peipei Gao , Yong Liu , Yue Sun , Zuohuan Zheng

We consider on-line density estimation with a parameterized density from the exponential family. The on-line algorithm receives one example at a time and maintains a parameter that is essentially an average of the past examples. After…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Katy S. Azoury , Manfred K. Warmuth

In this paper, we study the large deviation principle of invariant measures of stochastic reaction-diffusion lattice systems driven by multiplicative noise. We first show that any limit of a sequence of invariant measures of the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Bixiang Wang