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The utility of a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is, in large part, determined by the size of the spectral gap of the corresponding Markov operator. However, calculating (and even approximating) the spectral gaps of practical Monte Carlo…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-08 Qian Qin , James P. Hobert , Kshitij Khare

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Chain of Thought (CoT) of multi-step benefits from the logical structure of the reasoning steps and task-specific actions, significantly enhancing the mathematical reasoning capabilities of large language models. As the prevalence of long…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Wen Yang , Minpeng Liao , Kai Fan

The approximate uniform sampling of graph realizations with a given degree sequence is an everyday task in several social science, computer science, engineering etc. projects. One approach is using Markov chains. The best available current…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Péter L. Erdős , Tamás Róbert Mezei , István Miklós

We approximate $d$-variate periodic functions in weighted Korobov spaces with general weight parameters using $n$ function values at lattice points. We do not limit $n$ to be a prime number, as in currently available literature, but allow…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Frances Y. Kuo , Weiwen Mo , Dirk Nuyens

We introduce a new class of Monte Carlo methods, which we call exact estimation algorithms. Such algorithms provide unbiased estimators for equilibrium expectations associated with real- valued functionals defined on a Markov chain. We…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-16 Peter W. Glynn , Chang-han Rhee

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

We establish an error estimate for counting lattice points in Euclidean norm balls (associated to an arbitrary irreducible linear representation) for lattices in simple Lie groups of real rank at least two. Our approach utilizes refined…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-31 Alexander Gorodnik , Amos Nevo , Gal Yehoshua

The Markov Blanket Bayesian Classifier is a recently-proposed algorithm for construction of probabilistic classifiers. This paper presents an empirical comparison of the MBBC algorithm with three other Bayesian classifiers: Naive Bayes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Michael G. Madden

Stochastic gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SGMCMC) is considered the gold standard for Bayesian inference in large-scale models, such as Bayesian neural networks. Since practitioners face speed versus accuracy tradeoffs in these models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Antonios Alexos , Alex Boyd , Stephan Mandt

A lattice reduction is an algorithm that transforms the given basis of the lattice to another lattice basis such that problems like finding a shortest vector and closest vector become easier to solve. We define a class of bases called…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Kanav Gupta , Mithilesh Kumar , Håvard Raddum

Markov matrices have an important role in the filed of stochastic processes. In this paper, we will show and prove a series of conclusions on Markov matrices and transformations rather than pay attention to stochastic processes although…

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Chengshen Xu

Labeled continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) describe processes subject to random timing and partial observability. In applications such as runtime monitoring, we must incorporate past observations. The timing of these observations matters…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Thom Badings , Matthias Volk , Sebastian Junges , Marielle Stoelinga , Nils Jansen

Root cause analysis is one of the most crucial operations in software reliability regarding system performance diagnostic. It aims to identify the root causes of system performance anomalies, allowing the resolution or the future prevention…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Andrea Tonon , Meng Zhang , Bora Caglayan , Fei Shen , Tong Gui , MingXue Wang , Rong Zhou

Computational procedures for the stationary probability distribution, the group inverse of the Markovian kernel and the mean first passage times of an irreducible Markov chain, are developed using perturbations. The derivation of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Jeffrey J. Hunter

Statistical modeling of point patterns is an important and common problem in several areas. The Poisson process is the most common process used for this purpose, in particular, its generalization that considers the intensity function to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-26 Flavio B. Gonçalves , Livia M. Dutra , Roger W. C. Silva

Computing the probability of evidence even with known error bounds is NP-hard. In this paper we address this hard problem by settling on an easier problem. We propose an approximation which provides high confidence lower bounds on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Vibhav Gogate , Bozhena Bidyuk , Rina Dechter

Tensor structured Markov chains are part of stochastic models of many practical applications, e.g., in the description of complex production or telephone networks. The most interesting question in Markov chain models is the determination of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-08 Matthias Bolten , Karsten Kahl , Sonja Sokolović

We introduce \textit{Policy Guided Monte Carlo} (PGMC), a computational framework using reinforcement learning to improve Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling. The methodology is generally applicable, unbiased and opens up a new path to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-12-12 Troels Arnfred Bojesen

A survey of a variety of computational procedures for finding the mean first passage times in Markov chains is presented. The author recently developed a new accurate computational technique, an Extended GTH Procedure, Hunter (Special…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-05-11 Jeffrey J Hunter