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We analyse a class of estimators of the generalized diffusion coefficient for fractional Brownian motion $B_t$ of known Hurst index $H$, based on weighted functionals of the single time square displacement. We show that for a certain choice…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Denis Boyer , David S. Dean , Carlos Mejia-Monasterio , Gleb Oshanin

We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-10 Alexandre Lecestre

We consider the problem of the Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion coefficient functions in a stochastic differential equation given discrete observations of a realisation of its solution. We give conditions for the well-posedness and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Jean-Charles Croix , Masoumeh Dashti , Istvàn Zoltàn Kiss

We study statistical inference of the drift parameters for the Volterra Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process on R in the ergodic regime. For continuous-time observations, we derive the corresponding maximum likelihood estimators and show that they…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Martin Friesen , Jonas Kremer

We study some estimators of the Hurst index and the diffusion coefficient of the fractional Gompertz diffusion process and prove that they are strongly consistent and most of them are asymptotically normal. Moreover, we compare the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-13 Kestutis Kubilius , Dmitrij Melichov

We consider a classic two-state switching diffusion model from a single-particle tracking perspective. The mean and the variance of the time-averaged mean square displacement (TAMSD) are computed exactly. When the measurement time (i.e.,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-05 Denis S. Grebenkov

We consider the problem of the construction of the asymptotically distribution free test by the observations of ergodic diffusion process. It is supposedd that under the basic hypothesis the trend coefficient depends on the finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-16 M. Kleptsyna , Yu. A. Kutoyants

We prove the asymptotic normality of the discretized maximum likelihood estimator for the drift parameter in the homogeneous ergodic diffusion model.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Kostiantyn Ralchenko

The nonparametric estimation of the volatility and the drift coefficient of a scalar diffusion is studied when the process is observed at random time points. The constructed estimator generalizes the spectral method by Gobet, Hoffmann and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-12 Jakub Chorowski , Mathias Trabs

This article concerns the estimation of hitting time statistics for potentially non-stationary processes. The main focus is exceedance times of environmental processes. To this end we consider an empirical estimator based on ergodic theory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Åsmund Hausken Sande

The behaviour of many dynamic real phenomena shows different phases, with each one following a sigmoidal type pattern. This requires studying sigmoidal curves with more than one inflection point. In this work, a diffusion process is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Patricia Román-Román , Juan José Serrano-Pérez , Francisco Torres-Ruiz

We study asymptotic behaviors of Bayes type estimators and give sufficient conditions to obtain asymptotic limit distribution of estimation error. We assume polynomial type large deviation inequalities and prove asymptotic equivalence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Teppei Ogihara

We consider the problem of estimating stochastic volatility for a class of second-order parabolic stochastic PDEs. Assuming that the solution is observed at a high temporal frequency, we use limit theorems for multipower variations and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Carsten Chong

We consider a process on $\mathbb{T}^2$, which consists of fast motion along the stream lines of an incompressible periodic vector field perturbed by white noise. It gives rise to a process on the graph naturally associated to the structure…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-20 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Leonid Koralov

This paper obtains asymptotic results for parametric inference using prediction-based estimating functions when the data are high frequency observations of a diffusion process with an infinite time horizon. Specifically, the data are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Jan van Waaij

We provide a general method to analyze the asymptotic properties of a variety of estimators of continuous time diffusion processes when the data are not only discretely sampled in time but the time separating successive observations may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yacine Ait-Sahalia , Per A. Mykland

We consider the question of estimating the drift and the invariant density for a large class of scalar ergodic diffusion processes, based on continuous observations, in $\sup$-norm loss. The unknown drift $b$ is supposed to belong to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Cathrine Aeckerle-Willems , Claudia Strauch

In this paper, we address a model selection problem for ergodic jump diffusion processes based on high-frequency samples. We evaluate the expected genuine log-likelihood function and derive an Akaike-type information criterion based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Yuma Uehara

Single particle tracking has become a standard tool to investigate diffusive properties, especially in small systems such as biological cells. Usually the resulting time series are analyzed in terms of time averages over individual…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 Jae-Hyung Jeon , Ralf Metzler