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We treat the change point problem in ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations. Tonaki et al. (2020) proposed adaptive tests for detecting changes in the diffusion and drift parameters in ergodic diffusion models. When any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Yozo Tonaki , Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

A truncated sequential procedure is constructed for estimating the drift coefficient at a given state point based on discrete data of ergodic diffusion process. A nonasymptotic upper bound is obtained for a pointwise absolute error risk.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 L. I. Galtchouk , S. M. Pergamenshchikov

We study the Bayesian problems of detecting a change in the drift rate of an observable diffusion process with linear and exponential penalty costs for a detection delay. The optimal times of alarms are found as the first times at which the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-08 Pavel V. Gapeev , Albert N. Shiryaev

We construct a novel estimator for the diffusion coefficient of the limiting homogenized equation, when observing the slow dynamics of a multiscale model, in the case when the slow dynamics are of bounded variation. Previous research…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Theodoros Manikas , Anastasia Papavasiliou

Log-normal continuous random cascades form a class of multifractal processes that has already been successfully used in various fields. Several statistical issues related to this model are studied. We first make a quick but extensive review…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 E. Bacry , A. Kozhemyak , J. -F. Muzy

A number of discrete time, finite population size models in genetics describing the dynamics of allele frequencies are known to converge (subject to suitable scaling) to a diffusion process in the infinite population limit, termed the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Jaromir Sant , Paul A. Jenkins , Jere Koskela , Dario Spano

Canonical characterization techniques that rely upon mean squared displacement ($\mathrm{MSD}$) break down for non-ergodic processes, making it challenging to characterize anomalous diffusion from an individual time-series measurement.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-21 Madhur Mangalam , Ralf Metzler , Damian G. Kelty-Stephen

We study parametric estimation of ergodic diffusions observed at high frequency. Different from the previous studies, we suppose that sampling stepsize is unknown, thereby making the conventional Gaussian quasi-likelihood not directly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-01 Shoichi Eguchi , Hiroki Masuda

For an affine two factor model, we study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood and least squares estimators of some appearing parameters in the so-called subcritical (ergodic) case based on continuous time observations. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Matyas Barczy , Leif Doering , Zenghu Li , Gyula Pap

The double Heston model is one of the most popular option pricing models in financial theory. It is applied to several issues such that risk management and volatility surface calibration. This paper deals with the problem of global…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Houssem Dahbi , Hamdi Fathallah

We consider maximum likelihood estimation with data from a bivariate Gaussian process with a separable exponential covariance model under fixed domain asymptotic. We first characterize the equivalence of Gaussian measures under this model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Daira Velandia , François Bachoc , Moreno Bevilacqua , Xavier Gendre , Jean-Michel Loubes

We study the asymptotic behavior of estimators of a two-valued, discontinuous diffusion coefficient in a Stochastic Differential Equation, called an Oscillating Brownian Motion. Using the relation of the latter process with the Skew…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-10 Antoine Lejay , Paolo Pigato

We derive consistency and asymptotic normality results for quasi-maximum likelihood methods for drift parameters of ergodic stochastic processes observed in discrete time in an underlying continuous-time setting. The special feature of our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Teppei Ogihara , Mitja Stadje

We study parametric inference for diffusion processes when observations occur nonsynchronously and are contaminated by market microstructure noise. We construct a quasi-likelihood function and study asymptotic mixed normality of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-29 Teppei Ogihara

In this paper a concentration inequality is proved for the deviation in the ergodic theorem in the case of discrete time observations of diffusion processes. The proof is based on the geometric ergodicity property for diffusion processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-16 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

Inspired by problems in biochemical kinetics, we study statistical properties of an overdamped Langevin process whose friction coefficient depends on the state of a similar, unobserved process. Integrating out the latter, we derive the long…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-08-13 Golan Bel , Ilya Nemenman

We will focus on estimating the integrated covariance of two diffusion processes observed in a nonsynchronous manner. The observation data is contaminated by some noise, which is possibly correlated with the returns of the diffusion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Yuta Koike

We propose a new statistical observation scheme of diffusion processes named convolutional observation, where it is possible to deal with smoother observation than ordinary diffusion processes by considering convolution of diffusion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Shogo H Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

We consider a lognormal diffusion process having a multisigmoidal logistic mean, useful to model the evolution of a population which reaches the maximum level of the growth after many stages. Referring to the problem of statistical…

We study Bayes procedures for the problem of nonparametric drift estimation for one-dimensional, ergodic diffusion models from discrete-time, low-frequency data. We give conditions for posterior consistency and verify these conditions for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-01 Frank van der Meulen , Harry van Zanten