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Several statistics-based detectors, based on unimodal matrix models, for determining the number of sources in a field are designed. A new variance ratio statistic is proposed, and its asymptotic distribution is analyzed. The variance ratio…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-09 Rui Zhang , Junting Chen , Yao Xie , Alexander Shapiro , Urbashi Mitra

We consider sequential hypothesis testing based on observations which are received in groups of random size. The observations are assumed to be independent both within and between the groups. We assume that the group sizes are independent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-11 Andrey Novikov , Xóchitl Itxel Popoca-Jiménez

This paper formulates and solves a sequential detection problem that involves the mutual information (stochastic observability) of a Gaussian process observed in noise with missing measurements. The main result is that the optimal decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-05-30 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Robert Bitmead , Michel Gevers , Erik Miehling

Efficient sampling from constraint manifolds, and thereby generating a diverse set of solutions for feasibility problems, is a fundamental challenge. We consider the case where a problem is factored, that is, the underlying nonlinear…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Joaquim Ortiz-Haro , Valentin N. Hartmann , Ozgur S. Oguz , Marc Toussaint

Consider the following multi-phase project management problem. Each project is divided into several phases. All projects enter the next phase at the same point chosen by the decision maker based on observations up to that point. Within each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Hock Peng Chan , Cheng-Der Fuh , Inchi Hu

We study nonlinear regression of real valued data in an individual sequence manner, where we provide results that are guaranteed to hold without any statistical assumptions. We address the convergence and undertraining issues of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-10-08 N. Denizcan Vanli , Muhammed O. Sayin , Suleyman S. Kozat

Prophet inequalities are a central object of study in optimal stopping theory. A gambler is sent values in an online fashion, sampled from an instance of independent distributions, in an adversarial, random or selected order, depending on…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Giordano Giambartolomei , Frederik Mallmann-Trenn , Raimundo Saona

Assuming that data are collected sequentially from independent streams, we consider the simultaneous testing of multiple binary hypotheses under two general setups; when the number of signals (correct alternatives) is known in advance, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

What advantage do \emph{sequential} procedures provide over batch algorithms for testing properties of unknown distributions? Focusing on the problem of testing whether two distributions $\mathcal{D}_1$ and $\mathcal{D}_2$ on $\{1,\dots,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-05-13 Omar Fawzi , Nicolas Flammarion , Aurélien Garivier , Aadil Oufkir

We consider conditions that allow us to find an optimal strategy for sequential decisions from a given data situation. For the case where all interventions are unconditional (atomic), identifiability has been discussed by Pearl & Robins…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Philip Dawid , Vanessa Didelez

Let $(Y,X_1,...,X_m)$ be a random vector. It is desired to predict $Y$ based on $(X_1,...,X_m)$. Examples of prediction methods are regression, classification using logistic regression or separating hyperplanes, and so on. We consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Eitan Greenshtein

We study the problem of selecting limited features to observe such that models trained on them can perform well simultaneously across multiple subpopulations. This problem has applications in settings where collecting each feature is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Maitreyi Swaroop , Tamar Krishnamurti , Bryan Wilder

It is well known that sequential decision making may lead to information cascades. That is, when agents make decisions based on their private information, as well as observing the actions of those before them, then it might be rational to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-22 Yuval Peres , Miklos Z. Racz , Allan Sly , Izabella Stuhl

Motifs are the most repetitive/frequent patterns of a time-series. The discovery of motifs is crucial for practitioners in order to understand and interpret the phenomena occurring in sequential data. Currently, motifs are searched among…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-05-05 Josif Grabocka , Nicolas Schilling , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Motivated by modern applications such as computerized adaptive testing, sequential rank aggregation, and heterogeneous data source selection, we study the problem of active sequential estimation, which involves adaptively selecting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Xiaoou Li , Hongru Zhao

I study multidimensional sequential screening. A monopolist contracts with a buyer who privately observes information about the distribution of their eventual valuations for multiple goods. After initial private information is reported and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-05 Eric Gao

We register a random sequence which has the following properties: it has three segments being the homogeneous Markov processes. Each segment has his own one step transition probability law and the length of the segment is unknown and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-21 Krzysztof Szajowski

We consider the problem of sequential signal detection in a multichannel system where the number and location of signals is a priori unknown. We assume that the data in each channel are sequentially observed and follow a general non-i.i.d.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-14 Georgios Fellouris , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We consider the problem of learning a discrete distribution in the presence of an $\epsilon$ fraction of malicious data sources. Specifically, we consider the setting where there is some underlying distribution, $p$, and each data source…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-23 Mingda Qiao , Gregory Valiant

Monotone inclusions have a wide range of applications, including minimization, saddle-point, and equilibria problems. We introduce new stochastic algorithms, with or without variance reduction, to estimate a root of the expectation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Abdurakhmon Sadiev , Laurent Condat , Peter Richtárik