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This paper describes a data reduction technique in case of a markov chain of specified order. Instead of observing all the transitions in a markov chain we record only a few of them and treat the remaining part as missing. The decision…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Atanu Kumar Ghosh , Arnab Chakraborty

The paper develops a new class of financial market models. These models are based on generalized telegraph processes: Markov random flows with alternating velocities and jumps occurring when the velocities are switching. While such markets…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-29 Nikita Ratanov , Alexander Melnikov

We extend the general stochastic matching model on graphs introduced in (Mairesse and Moyal, 2016), to matching models on multigraphs, that is, graphs with self-loops. The evolution of the model can be described by a discrete time Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-11 Jocelyn Begeot , Irène Marcovici , Pascal Moyal , Youssef Rahme

Given a set-valued stochastic process $(V_t)_{t=0}^T$, we say that the martingale selection problem is solvable if there exists an adapted sequence of selectors $\xi_t\in V_t$, admitting an equivalent martingale measure. The aim of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Dmitry B. Rokhlin

This paper studies an equity market of stochastic dimension, where the number of assets fluctuates over time. In such a market, we develop the fundamental theorem of asset pricing, which provides the equivalence of the following statements:…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Erhan Bayraktar , Donghan Kim , Abhishek Tilva

In the framework of an incomplete financial market where the stock price dynamics are modeled by a continuous semimartingale (not necessarily Markovian) an explicit second-order expansion formula for the power investor's value function -…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-11 Kasper Larsen , Oleksii Mostovyi , Gordan Žitković

One approach to the analysis of stochastic fluctuations in market prices is to model characteristics of investor behaviour and the complex interactions between market participants, with the aim of extracting consequences in the aggregate.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ulrich Horst , Ronnie Sircar

We consider a stochastic process which is (a) described by a continuous-time Markov chain on only short time-scales and (b) constrained to conserve a number of hidden quantities on long time-scales. We assume that the transition matrix of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-27 Vitaly Vanchurin

We consider a continuous-time financial market with an asset whose price is modeled by a linear stochastic differential equation with drift and volatility switching driven by a uniformly ergodic jump Markov process with a countable state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Vitaliy Golomoziy , Kamil Kladivko , Yuliya Mishura

We study optimal investment strategies that maximize expected utility from consumption and terminal wealth in a pure-jump asset price model with Markov-modulated (regime switching) jump-size distributions. We give sufficient conditions for…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-13 Oscar Lopez , Rafael Serrano

First-passage times are often the most relevant aspect of a complex Markovian network, because they signify when information processing has resulted in a definite decision. Previous studies have shown that for kinetic proofreading networks…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-25 Julian B. Voits , Ulrich S. Schwarz

The distribution of the "mixing time" or the "time to stationarity" in a discrete time irreducible Markov chain, starting in state i, can be defined as the number of trials to reach a state sampled from the stationary distribution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Jeffrey J. Hunter

The master equation and, more generally, Markov processes are routinely used as models for stochastic processes. They are often justified on the basis of randomization and coarse-graining assumptions. Here instead, we derive n-th order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-09-27 Julian Lee , Steve Pressé

A public decision-making problem consists of a set of issues, each with multiple possible alternatives, and a set of competing agents, each with a preferred alternative for each issue. We study adaptations of market economies to this…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Nikhil Garg , Ashish Goel , Benjamin Plaut

This paper does not suppose a priori that the evolution of the price of a financial asset is a semimartingale. Since possible strategies of investors are self-financing, previous prices are forced to be finite quadratic variation processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rosanna Coviello , Francesco Russo

Consider a filtering process associated to a hidden Markov model with densities for which both the state space and the observation space are complete, separable, metric spaces. If the underlying, hidden Markov chain is strongly ergodic and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-03 Thomas Kaijser

We consider the diffusion process and its approximation by Markov chain with nonlinear increasing trends. The usual parametrix method is not appliable because these models have unbounded trends. We describe a procedure that allows to…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-02 V. Konakov , A. Markova

In this note we introduce a new kind of augmentation of filtrations along a sequence of stopping times. This augmentation is suitable for the construction of new probability measures associated to a positive strict local martingale as done…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-29 Doerte Kreher , Ashkan Nikeghbali

We present a version of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing (FTAP) for continuous time large financial markets with two filtrations in an $L^p$-setting for $ 1 \leq p < \infty$. This extends the results of Yuri Kabanov and Christophe…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-08 Christa Cuchiero , Irene Klein , Josef Teichmann

A new branch based on Markov processes is developing in the recent literature of financial time series modeling. In this paper, an Indexed Markov Chain has been used to model high frequency price returns of quoted firms. The peculiarity of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-06 Guglielmo D'Amico , Ada Lika , Filippo Petroni