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In this work we derive the copulas related to Manneville-Pomeau processes. We examine both bidimensional and multidimensional cases and derive some properties for the related copulas. Computational issues, approximations and random variate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-16 Sílvia R. C. Lopes , Guilherme Pumi

An approach to modelling volatile financial return series using stationary d-vine copula processes combined with Lebesgue-measure-preserving transformations known as v-transforms is proposed. By developing a method of stochastically…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Martin Bladt , Alexander J. McNeil

Option written on several foreign exchange rates (FXRs) depends on correlation between the rates. To evaluate the option, historical estimates for correlations can be used but usually they are not stable. More significantly, pricing of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-01 Pavel V. Shevchenko

Weconsider Markov decision processes arising from a Markov model of an underlying natural phenomenon. Such phenomena are usually periodic (e.g. annual) in time, and so the Markov processes modelling them must be time-inhomogeneous, with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Arash Khojaste , Geoffrey Pritchard , Golbon Zakeri

We consider the problem of valuing a European option written on an asset whose dynamics are described by an exponential L\'evy-type model. In our framework, both the volatility and jump-intensity are allowed to vary stochastically in time…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-12 Matthew Lorig , Oriol Lozano-Carbassé

Instance-wise feature selection and ranking methods can achieve a good selection of task-friendly features for each sample in the context of neural networks. However, existing approaches that assume feature subsets to be independent are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Hanyu Peng , Guanhua Fang , Ping Li

In the present paper, we obtain an explicit product formula for products of multiple integrals w.r.t. a random measure associated with a L\'evy process. As a building block, we use a representation formula for products of martingales from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-21 Paolo Di Tella , Christel Geiss , Alexander Steinicke

We develop a general variational inference method that preserves dependency among the latent variables. Our method uses copulas to augment the families of distributions used in mean-field and structured approximations. Copulas model the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-03 Dustin Tran , David M. Blei , Edoardo M. Airoldi

The original development of Shapley values for prediction explanation relied on the assumption that the features being described were independent. If the features in reality are dependent this may lead to incorrect explanations. Hence,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-15 Kjersti Aas , Thomas Nagler , Martin Jullum , Anders Løland

We define a time dependent empirical process based on $n$ independent fractional Brownian motions and describe strong approximations to it by Gaussian processes. They lead to strong approximations and functional laws of the iterated…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Péter Kevei , David M. Mason

Exponential L\'evy processes can be used to model the evolution of various financial variables such as FX rates, stock prices, etc. Considerable efforts have been devoted to pricing derivatives written on underliers governed by such…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-29 Leif Andersen , Alexander Lipton

This paper is concerned with modeling the dependence structure of two (or more) time-series in the presence of a (possible multivariate) covariate which may include past values of the time series. We assume that the covariate influences…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Natalie Neumeyer , Marek Omelka , Sarka Hudecova

We propose the extension of Fr\'{e}chet-Hoeffding copula bounds for circular data. The copula is a powerful tool for describing the dependency of random variables. In two dimensions, the Fr\'{e}chet-Hoeffding upper (lower) bound indicates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-17 Hiroaki Ogata

This article is devoted to some time-changed stochastic models based on multivariate stable processes. The considered models have several advantages in comparison with classical time-changed Brownian motions - for instance, it turns out…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 V. Panov , E. Samarin

Copula models have become one of the most widely used tools in the applied modelling of multivariate data. Similarly, Bayesian methods are increasingly used to obtain efficient likelihood-based inference. However, to date, there has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-13 Michael Stanley Smith

Quantitative studies in many fields involve the analysis of multivariate data of diverse types, including measurements that we may consider binary, ordinal and continuous. One approach to the analysis of such mixed data is to use a copula…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter D. Hoff

Pair-copula constructions are flexible dependence models that use bivariate copulas as building blocks. In this paper, we use generalized additive models to extend them by allowing covariates effects. Borrowing ideas from a traditionally…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-17 Thibault Vatter , Thomas Nagler

We introduce a new method for estimating the parameter of the bivariate Clayton copulas within the framework of Algorithmic Inference. The method consists of a variant of the standard boot-strapping procedure for inferring random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-08 Bruno Apolloni

Fractional processes have gained popularity in financial modeling due to the dependence structure of their increments and the roughness of their sample paths. The non-Markovianity of these processes gives, however, rise to conceptual and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-07 Philipp Harms , David Stefanovits

We consider a new method of the semiparametric statistical estimation for the continuous-time moving average L\'evy processes. We derive the convergence rates of the proposed estimators, and show that these rates are optimal in the minimax…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-10 Denis Belomestny , Tatiana Orlova , Vladimir Panov