English

Quantile Fourier regressions for decision making under uncertainty

Optimization and Control 2024-09-17 v1

Abstract

Weconsider Markov decision processes arising from a Markov model of an underlying natural phenomenon. Such phenomena are usually periodic (e.g. annual) in time, and so the Markov processes modelling them must be time-inhomogeneous, with cyclostationary rather than stationary behaviour. We describe a technique for constructing such processes that allows for periodic variations both in the values taken by the process and in the serial dependence structure. We include two illustrative numerical examples: a hydropower scheduling problem and a model of offshore wind power integration.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2409.10455,
  title  = {Quantile Fourier regressions for decision making under uncertainty},
  author = {Arash Khojaste and Geoffrey Pritchard and Golbon Zakeri},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2409.10455},
  year   = {2024}
}