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We investigate statistical inference across time scales. We take as toy model the estimation of the intensity of a discretely observed compound Poisson process with symmetric Bernoulli jumps. We have data at different time scales:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-07 Céline Duval , Marc Hoffmann

Human behaviour is heterogeneous and temporally fluctuates. Many studies have focused on inter-event time (IET) fluctuations and have reported that the IET distributions have a long-tailed distribution, which cannot be explained by a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-01 Makoto Takeuchi , Yukie Sano

A discrete-time random process is described which can generate bursty sequences of events. A Bernoulli process, where the probability of an event occurring at time $t$ is given by a fixed probability $x$, is modified to include a memory…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-29 Ewan R. Colman , Danica Vukadinović Greetham

Collaborations and citations within scientific research grow simultaneously and interact dynamically. Modelling the coevolution between them helps to study many phenomena that can be approached only through combining citation and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-29 Zheng Xie , Zonglin Xie , Miao Li , Jianping Li , Dongyun Yi

Spatiotemporal clustering of earthquake events is a generally-established fact, and is important for designing models and assessment techniques in seismicity. Here, we investigate how this behavior can manifest in the statistical…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-08 Rene C. Batac , Holger Kantz

Power-law distributions are essential in computational and statistical investigations of extreme events and complex systems. The usual technique to generate power-law distributed data is to first infer the scale exponent $\alpha$ using the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-06-15 Jack Murdoch Moore , Gang Yan , Eduardo G. Altmann

In this second part of our survey on the social and natural distributions, we investigate some models, which intend to explain the statistical regularity of the natural and social distributions. There is a large variety of models and in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-05 L. Benguigui , M. Marinov

We study the probability distribution of stock returns at mesoscopic time lags (return horizons) ranging from about an hour to about a month. While at shorter microscopic time lags the distribution has power-law tails, for mesoscopic times…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Richard E. Prange , Victor M. Yakovenko

We consider a class of models of opinion formation where the dissemination of individual opinions occurs through the spreading of local consensus and disagreement. We study the emergence of full collective consensus or maximal disagreement…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-12-23 Andrés Chacoma , Damián H. Zanette

In a recent preprint \cite{eck}, the temporal dynamics of an e-mail network has been investigated by J.P. Eckmann, E. Moses and D. Sergi. Specifically, the time period between an e-mail message and its reply were recorded. It will be shown…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Anders Johansen

Using empirical data from a social media site (Twitter) and on trading volumes of financial securities, we analyze the correlated human activity in massive social organizations. The activity, typically excited by real-world events and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-10-29 Joachim Mathiesen , Luiza Angheluta , Peter T. H. Ahlgren , Mogens H. Jensen

Topic sparsity refers to the observation that individual documents usually focus on several salient topics instead of covering a wide variety of topics, and a real topic adopts a narrow range of terms instead of a wide coverage of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Tianyi Lin , Zhiyue Hu , Xin Guo

A mass of traces of human activities show diverse dynamic patterns. In this paper, we comprehensively investigate the dynamic pattern of human attention defined by the quantity of interests on subdisciplines in an online academic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-29 Zhi-Dan Zhao , Ya-Chun Gao , Shi-Min Cai

We study a stochastic model for the diffusion of competing opinions in a population composed of three types of agents: trend-followers, opposers, and indifferent individuals. The decision dynamics are driven by reinforcement mechanisms,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Manuel González-Navarrete

It is shown that the distribution of low variability periods in the activity of human heart rate typically follows a multi-scaling Zipf's law. The presence or failure of a power law, as well as the values of the scaling exponents, are…

Medical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Kalda , M. Sakki , M. Vainu , M. Laan

As a significant factor in urban planning, traffic forecasting and prediction of epidemics, modeling patterns of human mobility draws intensive attention from researchers for decades. Power-law distribution and its variations are observed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-10-28 Xiao Liang , Xudong Zheng , Weifeng Lv , Tongyu Zhu , Ke Xu

The real-time nature of Twitter means that term distributions in tweets and in search queries change rapidly: the most frequent terms in one hour may look very different from those in the next. Informally, we call this phenomenon "churn".…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2012-06-01 Jimmy Lin , Gilad Mishne

We investigate the origin of Zipf's law for words in written texts by means of a stochastic dynamical model for text generation. The model incorporates both features related to the general structure of languages and memory effects inherent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Damián H. Zanette , Marcelo A. Montemurro

Textual patterns (e.g., Country's president Person) are specified and/or generated for extracting factual information from unstructured data. Pattern-based information extraction methods have been recognized for their efficiency and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-06-12 Yang Zhou , Tong Zhao , Meng Jiang

Many recent large-scale studies of interaction networks have focused on networks of accumulated contacts. In this paper we explore social networks of ongoing relationships with an emphasis on dynamical aspects. We find a distribution of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Petter Holme