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We consider the distribution of the duration time, the time elapsed since it began, of a diffusion process given its present position, under the assumption that the process began at the origin. For unbiased diffusion, the distribution does…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-11-28 Hernán Larralde

What is the productivity of Science? Can we measure an evolution of the production of mathematicians over history? Can we predict the waiting time till the proof of a challenging conjecture such as the P-versus-NP problem? Motivated by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-26 Ryohei Hisano , Didier Sornette

An analytical study of the return time distribution of extreme events for stochastic processes with power-law correlation has been carried on. The calculation is based on an epsilon-expansion in the correlation exponent:…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Piero Olla

The first part of our work is connected with the analysis of typical random variables for the specific human-initiated process. We study the data characterizing editorial work with received manuscripts in several scientific journals. In…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2010-10-29 Olesya Mryglod , Yurij Holovatch , Ihor Mryglod

In a recent letter, Barabasi claims that the dynamics of a number of human activities are scale-free [1]. He specifically reports that the probability distribution of time intervals tau between consecutive e-mails sent by a single user and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Daniel B. Stouffer , R. Dean Malmgren , Luis A. N. Amaral

Power-law distributions occur in many situations of scientific interest and have significant consequences for our understanding of natural and man-made phenomena. Unfortunately, the detection and characterization of power laws is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-12 Aaron Clauset , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , M. E. J. Newman

Processes involving bursts of activity separated by quiescent periods occur across diverse systems and scales. In human dynamics, these phenomena have been described by power-law inter-event time distributions, $P(t)\sim t^{-\alpha}$, with…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-04-17 Morten Møller , Philipp Rahe , Sadegh Ghaderzadeh , Elena Besley , Philip Moriarty

Extracting temporal relations (before, after, overlapping, etc.) is a key aspect of understanding events described in natural language. We argue that this task would gain from the availability of a resource that provides prior knowledge in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-04-18 Qiang Ning , Hao Wu , Haoruo Peng , Dan Roth

Hysteresis loops and the associated avalanche statistics of spin systems, such as the random-field Ising and Edwards-Anderson spin-glass models, have been extensively studied. A particular focus has been on self-organized criticality,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-01-11 John Ferre , Amin Barzegar , Helmut G. Katzgraber , Richard Scalettar

This paper studies the evolution of the distribution of opinions in a population of individuals in which there exist two distinct subgroups of highly-committed, well-connected opinion leaders endowed with a strong convincing power. Each…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-13 Nino Boccara

In many complex systems studied in statistical physics, inter-arrival times between events such as solar flares, trades and neuron voltages follow a heavy-tailed distribution. The set of event times is fractal-like, being dense in some time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-16 Katharina Hees , Smarak Nayak , Peter Straka

For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Rafael Weißbach , Dominik Wied

Many dynamical processes on real world networks display complex temporal patterns as, for instance, a fat-tailed distribution of inter-events times, leading to heterogeneous waiting times between events. In this work, we focus on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-25 Sarah De Nigris , Anthony Hastir , Renaud Lambiotte

Human interactions can be either positive or negative, giving rise to different complex social or anti-social phenomena. The dynamics of these interactions often lead to certain spatio-temporal patterns and complex networks, which can be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-03-18 Syed Shariq Husain , Kiran Sharma

To make informed decisions in natural environments that change over time, humans must update their beliefs as new observations are gathered. Studies exploring human inference as a dynamical process that unfolds in time have focused on…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-03 Arthur Prat-Carrabin , Robert C. Wilson , Jonathan D. Cohen , Rava Azeredo da Silveira

We replicate a renewal process at random times, which is equivalent to nesting two renewal processes, or considering a renewal process subject to stochastic resetting. We investigate the consequences on the statistical properties of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-31 Claude Godrèche , Jean-Marc Luck

There has been a long history of research into the structure and evolution of mankind's scientific endeavor. However, recent progress in applying the tools of science to understand science itself has been unprecedented because only recently…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Katy Börner , Jeegar T. Maru , Robert L. Goldstone

For the study of information propagation, one fundamental problem is uncovering universal laws governing the dynamics of information propagation. This problem, from the microscopic perspective, is formulated as estimating the propagation…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-06-19 Junming Huang , Chao Li , Wen-Qiang Wang , Hua-Wei Shen , Guojie Li , Xue-Qi Cheng

Statistical distributions with heavy tails are ubiquitous in natural and social phenomena. Since the entries in heavy tail have disproportional significance, the knowledge of its exact shape is very important. Citations of scientific papers…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Michael Golosovsky , Sorin Solomon

The recent availability of electronic datasets containing large volumes of communication data has made it possible to study human behavior on a larger scale than ever before. From this, it has been discovered that across a diverse range of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-08 Gordon J Ross , Tim Jones