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We derive a Markov basis consisting of moves of degree at most three for two-state toric homogeneous Markov chain model of arbitrary length without parameters for initial states. Our basis consists of moves of degree three and degree one,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Hisayuki Hara , Akimichi Takemura

We consider the three-state toric homogeneous Markov chain model (THMC) without loops and initial parameters. At time $T$, the size of the design matrix is $6 \times 3\cdot 2^{T-1}$ and the convex hull of its columns is the model polytope.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-19 David Haws , Abraham Martín del Campo , Akimichi Takemura , Ruriko Yoshida

Markov chain models are used in various fields, such behavioral sciences or econometrics. Although the goodness of fit of the model is usually assessed by large sample approximation, it is desirable to use conditional tests if the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-11 Akimichi Takemura , Hisayuki Hara

We prove that the three-state toric homogenous Markov chain model has Markov degree two. In algebraic terminology this means, that a certain class of toric ideals are generated by quadratic binomials. This was conjectured by Haws, Martin…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-04 Patrik Norén

We consider a series of configurations defined by fibers of a given base configuration. We prove that Markov degree of the configurations is bounded from above by the Markov complexity of the base configuration. As important examples of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-07-28 Takayuki Koyama , Mitsunori Ogawa , Akimichi Takemura

We study inhomogeneous continuous-time weakly ergodic Markov chains with a finite state space. We introduce the notion of a Markov chain with the regular structure of an infinitesimal matrix and study the sharp upper bounds on the rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-17 A. I. Zeifman , Y. A. Satin , K. M. Kiseleva

This paper is concerned with the topological invariant of a graph given by the maximum degree of a Markov basis element for the corresponding graph model for binary contingency tables. We describe a degree four Markov basis for the model…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Mike Develin , Seth Sullivant

We study discrete-time, discrete-state multistate Markov models from the perspective of algebraic statistics. These models are widely studied in event history analysis, and are characterized by the state space, the initial distribution and…

Improved rates of convergence for ergodic homogeneous Markov chains are studied. In comparison to the earlier papers the setting is also generalised to the case without a unique dominated measure. Examples are provided where the new bound…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Alexander Veretennikov , Maria Veretennikova

In the paper, we study a new rate of convergence estimate for homogeneous discrete-time nonlinear Markov chains based on the Markov-Dobrushin condition. This result generalizes the convergence estimates for any positive number of transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Aleksandr A. Shchegolev

In this study, we consider sequences drawn from time-homogeneous Markov chains and introduce a novel approach for estimating first hitting-time distributions to specified terminal states. Our method- ology is based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Mikael Escobar-Bach , Alexandre Popier , Malo Sahin

Consideration is given to the three different analytical methods for the computation of upper bounds for the rate of convergence to the limiting regime of one specific class of (in)homogeneous continuous-time Markov chains. This class is…

This paper is a survey of various proofs of the so called {\em fundamental theorem of Markov chains}: every ergodic Markov chain has a unique positive stationary distribution and the chain attains this distribution in the limit independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Somenath Biswas

The partial sum of the states of a Markov chain or more generally a Markov source is asymptotically normally distributed under suitable conditions. One of these conditions is that the variance is unbounded. A simple combinatorial…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Sara Kropf

In this paper, we give quantitative bounds on the $f$-total variation distance from convergence of an Harris recurrent Markov chain on an arbitrary under drift and minorisation conditions implying ergodicity at a sub-geometric rate. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Philippe Soulier

A method of constructing Markov chains on finite state spaces is provided. The chain is specified by three constraints: stationarity, dependence and marginal distributions. The generalized Pythagorean theorem in information geometry plays a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Tomonari Sei

It is known that state-dependent, multi-step Lyapunov bounds lead to greatly simplified verification theorems for stability for large classes of Markov chain models. This is one component of the "fluid model" approach to stability of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-05-18 Serdar Yüksel , Sean P. Meyn

We present and explore a general method for deriving a Lie-Markov model from a finite semigroup. If the degree of the semigroup is $k$, the resulting model is a continuous-time Markov chain on $k$ states and, as a consequence of the product…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Jeremy G. Sumner , Michael D. Woodhams

We investigate absorption, i.e., almost sure convergence to an absorbing state, in time-varying (non-homogeneous) discrete-time Markov chains with finite state space. We consider systems that can switch among a finite set of transition…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-18 Yasin Yazicioglu

A state on a tripartite quantum system $\mathcal{H}_{A}\otimes \mathcal{H}_{B}\otimes\mathcal{H}_{C} $ forms a Markov chain, i.e., quantum conditional independence, if it can be reconstructed from its marginal on $\mathcal{H}_{A}\otimes…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-15 Li Gao , Nengkun Yu
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