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We investigate the theoretical performances of the Partial Least Square (PLS) algorithm in a high dimensional context. We provide upper bounds on the risk in prediction for the statistical linear model when considering the PLS estimator.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Luca Castelli , Irène Gannaz , Clément Marteau

This paper provides a finite-time analysis of linear stochastic approximation (LSA) algorithms with fixed step size, a core method in statistics and machine learning. LSA is used to compute approximate solutions of a $d$-dimensional linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-30 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Alexey Naumov , Sergey Samsonov

Features in predictive models are not exchangeable, yet common supervised models treat them as such. Here we study ridge regression when the analyst can partition the features into $K$ groups based on external side-information. For example,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-05 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Panagiotis Lolas

We study the choice of the regularisation parameter for linear ill-posed problems in the presence of noise that is possibly unbounded but only finite in a weaker norm, and when the noise-level is unknown. For this task, we analyse several…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Stefan Kindermann , Kemal Raik

Variance estimation in the linear model when $p > n$ is a difficult problem. Standard least squares estimation techniques do not apply. Several variance estimators have been proposed in the literature, all with accompanying asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-30 Stephen Reid , Robert Tibshirani , Jerome Friedman

We unify and extend the semigroup and the PDE approaches to stochastic maximal regularity of time-dependent semilinear parabolic problems with noise given by a cylindrical Brownian motion. We treat random coefficients that are only…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-02-12 Pierre Portal , Mark Veraar

In this paper, we consider a linear regression model with AR(p) error terms with the assumption that the error terms have a t distribution as a heavy tailed alternative to the normal distribution. We obtain the estimators for the model…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-13 Yetkin Tuaç , Yeşim Güney Birdal Şenoğlu , Olcay Arslan

This note develops an analysis of the Lasso \( \hat b\) in linear models without any sparsity or L1 assumption on the true regression vector, in the proportional regime where dimension \( p \) and sample \( n \) are of the same order. Under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Pierre C. Bellec

Double Machine Learning is often justified by nuisance-rate conditions, yet finite-sample reliability also depends on the conditioning of the orthogonal-score Jacobian. This conditioning is typically assumed rather than tracked. When…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Gabriel Saco

Forward regression is a statistical model selection and estimation procedure which inductively selects covariates that add predictive power into a working statistical regression model. Once a model is selected, unknown regression parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-12 Damian Kozbur

We study theoretical predictive performance of ridge and ridge-less least-squares regression when covariate vectors arise from evaluating $p$ random, means-square continuous functions over a latent metric space at $n$ random and unobserved…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-20 Andrew Jones , Nick Whiteley

We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-09 Alexandre Belloni , Abhishek Kaul , Mathieu Rosenbaum

For normal canonical models with $X \sim N_p(\theta, \sigma^{2} I_{p}), \;\; S^{2} \sim \sigma^{2}\chi^{2}_{k}, \;{independent}$, we consider the problem of estimating $\theta$ under scale invariant squared error loss $\frac{\|d-\theta…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-30 Othmane Kortbi , Éric Marchand

Transformers trained in low precision can suffer forward-error amplification. We give a first-order, module-wise theory that predicts when and where errors grow. For self-attention we derive a per-layer bound that factorizes into three…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Jinwoo Baek

This paper explores the validity of the two-stage estimation procedure for sparse linear models in high-dimensional settings with possibly many endogenous regressors. In particular, the number of endogenous regressors in the main equation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-18 Ying Zhu

The sharpest known high probability generalization bounds for uniformly stable algorithms (Feldman, Vondr\'{a}k, 2018, 2019), (Bousquet, Klochkov, Zhivotovskiy, 2020) contain a generally inevitable sampling error term of order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-19 Yegor Klochkov , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

Prior work (Klochkov $\&$ Zhivotovskiy, 2021) establishes at most $O\left(\log (n)/n\right)$ excess risk bounds via algorithmic stability for strongly-convex learners with high probability. We show that under the similar common assumptions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Bowei Zhu , Shaojie Li , Mingyang Yi , Yong Liu

This paper studies linear overparameterized models in economic forecasting and highlights that including noise variables (regressors with no predictive power) regularizes the estimator. We consider a setting where both the outcome variable…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-16 Yuan Liao , Xinjie Ma , Andreas Neuhierl , Zhentao Shi

The Lasso is a computationally efficient regression regularization procedure that can produce sparse estimators when the number of predictors (p) is large. Oracle inequalities provide probability loss bounds for the Lasso estimator at a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-21 Cheryl J. Flynn , Clifford M. Hurvich , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

The effect of errors in variables in empirical minimization is investigated. Given a loss $l$ and a set of decision rules $\mathcal{G}$, we prove a general upper bound for an empirical minimization based on a deconvolution kernel and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-09 Sébastien Loustau