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We study the problem of out-of-sample risk estimation in the high dimensional regime where both the sample size $n$ and number of features $p$ are large, and $n/p$ can be less than one. Extensive empirical evidence confirms the accuracy of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-05 Kamiar Rahnama Rad , Wenda Zhou , Arian Maleki

The effectiveness of non-parametric, kernel-based methods for function estimation comes at the price of high computational complexity, which hinders their applicability in adaptive, model-based control. Motivated by approximation techniques…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-17 Anna Scampicchio , Elena Arcari , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Analysis of non-asymptotic estimation error and structured statistical recovery based on norm regularized regression, such as Lasso, needs to consider four aspects: the norm, the loss function, the design matrix, and the noise model. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-01 Arindam Banerjee , Sheng Chen , Farideh Fazayeli , Vidyashankar Sivakumar

Due to the drastic gap in complexity between sequential and batch statistical learning, recent work has studied a smoothed sequential learning setting, where Nature is constrained to select contexts with density bounded by 1/{\sigma} with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-27 Adam Block , Max Simchowitz

We study the performance of empirical risk minimization on the $p$-norm linear regression problem for $p \in (1, \infty)$. We show that, in the realizable case, under no moment assumptions, and up to a distribution-dependent constant,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Ayoub El Hanchi , Murat A. Erdogdu

We consider stochastic optimization problems with heavy-tailed noise with structured density. For such problems, we show that it is possible to get faster rates of convergence than $\mathcal{O}(K^{-2(\alpha - 1)/\alpha})$, when the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-18 Nikita Puchkin , Eduard Gorbunov , Nikolay Kutuzov , Alexander Gasnikov

We consider $L^2$-regularized linear (ridge) regression over a finite data sample $X$ with bounded covariance and linear prediction targets $y$ with additive isotropic noise of finite variance. We present an iterative procedure to compute…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Jack Timmermans , Sergio A. Alvarez

A conventional wisdom in statistical learning is that large models require strong regularization to prevent overfitting. Here we show that this rule can be violated by linear regression in the underdetermined $n\ll p$ situation under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-06 Dmitry Kobak , Jonathan Lomond , Benoit Sanchez

In this paper, we derive non-asymptotic error bounds for the Lasso estimator when the penalty parameter for the estimator is chosen using $K$-fold cross-validation. Our bounds imply that the cross-validated Lasso estimator has nearly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-07 Denis Chetverikov , Zhipeng Liao , Victor Chernozhukov

We present upper and lower bounds for the prediction error of the Lasso. For the case of random Gaussian design, we show that under mild conditions the prediction error of the Lasso is up to smaller order terms dominated by the prediction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Sara van de Geer

Isotonic regression is a shape-constrained nonparametric regression in which the regression is an increasing step function. For $n$ data points, the number of steps in the isotonic regression may be as large as $n$. As a result, standard…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-10 Janis Hardwick , Quentin F. Stout

We study a family of sparse estimators defined as minimizers of some empirical Lipschitz loss function -- which include the hinge loss, the logistic loss and the quantile regression loss -- with a convex, sparse or group-sparse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-23 Antoine Dedieu

Popular iterative algorithms such as boosting methods and coordinate descent on linear models converge to the maximum $\ell_1$-margin classifier, a.k.a. sparse hard-margin SVM, in high dimensional regimes where the data is linearly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-23 Stefan Stojanovic , Konstantin Donhauser , Fanny Yang

We study problem-dependent rates, i.e., generalization errors that scale near-optimally with the variance, the effective loss, or the gradient norms evaluated at the "best hypothesis." We introduce a principled framework dubbed "uniform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-25 Yunbei Xu , Assaf Zeevi

Machine learning (ML) methods are highly flexible, but their ability to approximate the true data-generating process is fundamentally constrained by finite samples. We characterize a universal lower bound, the Limits-to-Learning Gap (LLG),…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Zhimin Chen , Bryan Kelly , Semyon Malamud

Recent research has studied the role of sparsity in high dimensional regression and signal reconstruction, establishing theoretical limits for recovering sparse models from sparse data. This line of work shows that $\ell_1$-regularized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-01-11 Shuheng Zhou , John Lafferty , Larry Wasserman

We consider the problem of recovering the unknown noise variance in the linear regression model. To estimate the nuisance (a vector of regression coefficients) we use a family of spectral regularisers of the maximum likelihood estimator.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Yuri Golubev , Ekaterina Krymova

We propose a test of many zero parameter restrictions in a high dimensional linear iid regression model with $k$ $>>$ $n$ regressors. The test statistic is formed by estimating key parameters one at a time based on many low dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Jonathan B. Hill

We study the bias of the isotonic regression estimator. While there is extensive work characterizing the mean squared error of the isotonic regression estimator, relatively little is known about the bias. In this paper, we provide a sharp…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Ran Dai , Hyebin Song , Rina Foygel Barber , Garvesh Raskutti

In this paper, we study the problem of online sparse linear regression (OSLR) where the algorithms are restricted to accessing only $k$ out of $d$ attributes per instance for prediction, which was proved to be NP-hard. Previous work gave…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Junfan Li , Shizhong Liao , Zenglin Xu , Liqiang Nie