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We consider a 2D stochastic modified Swift-Hohenberg equations with multiplicative noise and periodic boundary. First, we establish the existence of local and global martingale and pathwise solutions in the regular Sobolev space $H^{2m}$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Jintao Wang , Xiaoqian Zhang , Chunqiu Li

Bayesian inference for models that have an intractable partition function is known as a doubly intractable problem, where standard Monte Carlo methods are not applicable. The past decade has seen the development of auxiliary variable Monte…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-13 Richard G. Everitt , Dennis Prangle , Philip Maybank , Mark Bell

In this paper, we study Bessel processes of dimension $\delta\equiv2(1-\mu)$, with $0<\delta<2$, and some related martingales and random times. Our approach is based on martingale techniques and the general theory of stochastic processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-09 Ashkan Nikeghbali

Computation of the marginal likelihood from a simulated posterior distribution is central to Bayesian model selection but is computationally difficult. I argue that the marginal likelihood can be reliably computed from a posterior sample by…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2010-06-24 Martin D. Weinberg

The general applicability and ease of use of the pseudo-marginal Metropolis--Hastings (PMMH) algorithm, and particle Metropolis--Hastings in particular, makes it a popular method for inference on discretely observed Markovian stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Chris Sherlock

Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers are a class of stochastic algorithms for Monte Carlo integral estimation w.r.t. probability distributions, which combine elements of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and importance sampling/resampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

Assume a L\'evy process $X$ on the time interval $[0,1]$ that is an $L_2$-martingale and let $Y$ be either its stochastic exponential or $X$ itself. We consider Riemann-approximations of certain stochastic integrals driven by $Y$ and relate…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-04 Christel Geiss , Stefan Geiss , Eija Laukkarinen

We present local mappings that relate the marginal probabilities of a global probability mass function represented by its primal normal factor graph to the corresponding marginal probabilities in its dual normal factor graph. The mapping is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-11 Mehdi Molkaraie

We consider the problem of finding a real valued martingale fitting specified marginal distributions. For this to be possible, the marginals must be increasing in the convex order and have constant mean. We show that, under the extra…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-19 George Lowther

The main object of investigation in this paper is a very general regression model in optional setting - when an observed process is an optional semimartingale depending on an unknown parameter. It is well-known that statistical data may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Mohamed Abdelghani , Alexander Melnikov , Andrey Pak

The study of stochastic variational principles involves the problem of constructing fixed-endpoint and adapted variations of semimartingales. We provide a detailed construction of variations of semimartingales that are not only fixed at…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-09-11 Archishman Saha

We study the asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of bifurcating autoregressive processes. Under very weak assumptions on the driven noise of the process, namely conditional pair-wise independence…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Bernard Bercu , Benoite de Saporta , Anne Gegout-Petit

The martingale expansion provides a refined approximation to the marginal distributions of martingales beyond the normal approximation implied by the martingale central limit theorem. We develop a martingale expansion framework specifically…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Masaaki Fukasawa

We investigate the statistical properties of a piecewise smooth dynamical system by studying directly the action of the transfer operator on appropriate spaces of distributions. We accomplish such a program in the case of two-dimensional…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Mark F. Demers , Carlangelo Liverani

The diffraction of stochastic point sets, both Bernoulli and Markov, and of random tilings with crystallographic symmetries is investigated in rigorous terms. In particular, we derive the diffraction spectrum of 1D random tilings, of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 Michael Baake , Moritz Hoeffe

The qualitative properties of local random invariant manifolds for stochastic partial differential equations with quadratic nonlinearities and multiplicative noise is studied by a cut off technique. By a detail estimates on the Perron fixed…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-07-30 Dirk Blomker , Wei Wang

We characterize the event of convergence of a local supermartingale. Conditions are given in terms of its predictable characteristics and quadratic variation. The notion of stationarily local integrability plays a key role.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-16 Martin Larsson , Johannes Ruf

In an M-type 2 Banach space, firstly we explore some properties of the set-valued stochastic integral associated with the stationary Poisson point process. By using the Hahn decomposition theorem and bounded linear functional, we obtain the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-10 Jinping Zhang , Itaru Mitoma , Yoshiaki Okazaki

Consider the sum $Y=B+B(H)$ of a Brownian motion $B$ and an independent fractional Brownian motion $B(H)$ with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. Even though $B(H)$ is not a semimartingale, it was shown in [\textit{Bernoulli} \textbf{7} (2001)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Carsten H. Chong , Thomas Delerue , Fabian Mies

Lions and Musiela (2007) give sufficient conditions to verify when a stochastic exponential of a continuous local martingale is a martingale or a uniformly integrable martingale. Blei and Engelbert (2009) and Mijatovi\'c and Urusov (2012c)…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-10 Carole Bernard , Zhenyu Cui , Don McLeish