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We investigate a neutral model for speciation and extinction, the constant rate birth-death process. The process is conditioned to have $n$ extant species today, we look at the tree distribution of the reconstructed trees-- i.e. the trees…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-03-04 Tanja Gernhard

The homogeneous reconstructed evolutionary process is a birth-death process without observed extinct lineages. Each species evolves independently with the same diversification rates (speciation rate $\lambda(t)$ and extinction rate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-12 Sebastian Höhna

Phylogenetic trees represent the evolutionary relationships between extant lineages, where extinct or non-sampled lineages are omitted. Extending the work of Stadler and collaborators, this paper focuses on the branch lengths in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-16 Tobias Dieselhorst , Johannes Berg

We calculate the density and expectation for the number of lineages in a reconstructed tree with $n$ extant species. This is done with conditioning on the age of the tree as well as with assuming a uniform prior for the age of the tree.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-05 Tanja Gernhard , Dennis Wong

A popular line of research in evolutionary biology is the use of time-calibrated phylogenies for the inference of diversification processes. This requires computing the likelihood of a given ultrametric tree as the reconstructed tree…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-24 Amaury Lambert , Hélène Morlon , Rampal S. Etienne

A wide variety of stochastic models of cladogenesis (based on speciation and extinction) lead to an identical distribution on phylogenetic tree shapes once the edge lengths are ignored. By contrast, the distribution of the tree's edge…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-05 Mike Steel

Motivated as a null model for comparison with data, we study the following model for a phylogenetic tree on $n$ extant species. The origin of the clade is a random time in the past, whose (improper) distribution is uniform on $(0,\infty)$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David J. Aldous , Lea Popovic

The Yule (pure-birth) model is the simplest null model of speciation; each lineage gives rise to a new lineage independently with the same rate $\lambda$. We investigate the expected length of an edge chosen at random from the resulting…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-10-29 Mike Steel , Arne Mooers

The number of extant individuals within a lineage, as exemplified by counts of species numbers across genera in a higher taxonomic category, is known to be a highly skewed distribution. Because the sublineages (such as genera in a clade)…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-09 Panagis Moschopoulos , Max Shpak

We examine a discrete random recursive tree growth process that, at each time step, either adds or deletes a node from the tree with probability $p$ and $1-p$, respectively. Node addition follows the usual uniform attachment model. For node…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Arnold Saunders

Forward-time models of diversification (i.e., speciation and extinction) produce phylogenetic trees that grow "vertically" as time goes by. Pruning the extinct lineages out of such trees leads to natural models for reconstructed trees…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-07 Amaury Lambert , Tanja Stadler

In molecular systematics, evolutionary trees are reconstructed from sequences at the tips under simple models of site substitution. A central question is how much sequence data is required to reconstruct a tree accurately? The answer…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-18 Iain Martyn , Mike Steel

By introducing the notions of living and dead nodes a new model of random tree evolution with continuous time parameter has been constructed. It is assumed that two random variables, the lifetime and the offspring number of living nodes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. Pal

The evolution of aligned DNA sequence sites is generally modeled by a Markov process operating along the edges of a phylogenetic tree. It is well known that the probability distribution on the site patterns at the tips of the tree…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-10-15 Benny Chor , Mike Steel

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Manuel Mota , Inés del Puerto , Alfonso Ramos

Diversification is nested, and early models suggested this could lead to a great deal of evolutionary redundancy in the Tree of Life. This result is based on a particular set of branch lengths produced by the common coalescent, where…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-08-02 Arne Mooers , Olivier Gascuel , Tanja Stadler , Heyang Li , Mike Steel

Phylogenetic diversity is a measure for describing how much of an evolutionary tree is spanned by a subset of species. If one applies this to the (unknown) subset of current species that will still be present at some future time, then this…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2009-09-29 Beata Faller , Fabio Pardi , Mike Steel

The problem of reconstructing evolutionary trees or phylogenies is of great interest in computational biology. A popular model for this problem assumes that we are given the set of leaves (current species) of an unknown binary tree and the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Eshwar Ram Arunachaleswaran , Anindya De , Sampath Kannan

We propose the following simple stochastic model for phylogenetic trees. New types are born and die according to a birth and death chain. At each birth we associate a fitness to the new type sampled from a fixed distribution. At each death…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-29 T. M. Liggett , R. B. Schinazi

For many taxa, the current high rates of extinction are likely to result in a significant loss of biodiversity. The evolutionary heritage of biodiversity is frequently quantified by a measure called phylogenetic diversity (PD). We predict…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-06-13 Amaury Lambert , Mike Steel
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