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The study of the extreme weather space events is important for a technological dependent society. Extreme Value Theory could be decisive to characterize those extreme events in order to have the knowledge to make decisions in technological,…

Space Physics · Physics 2024-02-02 F. J. Acero , J. M. Vaquero , M. C. Gallego , J. A. García

This article presents methods for estimating extreme probabilities, beyond the range of the observations. These methods are model-free and applicable to almost any sample size. They are grounded in order statistics theory and have a wide…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-03 Joan del Castillo , Pedro Puig

This theoretical work considers the following conundrum: linear response theory is successfully used by scientists in numerous fields, but mathematicians have shown that typical low-dimensional dynamical systems violate the theory's…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Caroline L. Wormell , Georg A. Gottwald

The vanilla method in univariate extreme-value theory consists of fitting the three-parameter Generalized Extreme-Value (GEV) distribution to a sample of block maxima. Despite claims to the contrary, the asymptotic normality of the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-16 Axel Bücher , Johan Segers

We explore the phenomenon of emergent Lorentz invariance in strongly coupled theories. The strong dynamics is handled using the gauge/gravity correspondence. We analyze how the renormalization group flow towards Lorentz invariance is…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2015-06-15 Grigory Bednik , Oriol Pujolas , Sergey Sibiryakov

Efficient handover (HO) strategies are essential for maintaining the stringent performance requirements of ultra-reliable communication (URC) systems. This work introduces a novel HO framework designed from a physical-layer perspective,…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Dian Echevarría Pérez , Onel L. Alcaraz López , Hirley Alves

In many complex systems, large events are believed to follow power-law, scale-free probability distributions, so that the extreme, catastrophic events are unpredictable. Here, we study coupled chaotic oscillators that display extreme…

We theoretically and numerically investigated the threshold network model with a generic weight function where there were a large number of nodes and a high threshold. Our analysis was based on extreme value theory, which gave us a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-20 A. Fujihara , M. Uchida , H. Miwa

Recent developments in extreme value statistics have established the so-called geometric approach as a powerful modelling tool for multivariate extremes. We tailor these methods to the case of spatial modelling and examine their efficacy at…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Lydia Kakampakou , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Extreme value theory for univariate and low-dimensional observations has been explored in considerable detail, but the field is still in an early stage regarding high-dimensional settings. This paper focuses on H\"usler-Reiss models, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Johannes Lederer , Marco Oesting

This paper unifies and extends results on a class of multivariate Extreme Value (EV) models studied by Hougaard, Crowder, and Tawn. In these models both unconditional and conditional distributions are EV, and all lower-dimensional marginals…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-30 Anne-Laure Fougères , John P. Nolan , Holger Rootzén

We study a convex optimization framework for bounding extreme events in nonlinear dynamical systems governed by ordinary or partial differential equations (ODEs or PDEs). This framework bounds from above the largest value of an observable…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-06-25 Giovanni Fantuzzi , David Goluskin

General hyperbolic systems of balance laws with inhomogeneity in space and time in all constitutive functions are studied in the context of relative entropy. A framework is developed in this setting that contributes to a measure-valued weak…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Cleopatra Christoforou

The aim of this paper is to study asymptotic geometric properties almost surely or/and in probability of extreme order statistics of an i.i.d. random field (potential) indexed by sites of multidimensional lattice cube, the volume of which…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-05 Arvydas Astrauskas

We study the extremes for a class of a symmetric stable random fields with long range dependence. We prove functional extremal theorems both in the space of sup measures and in the space of cadlag functions of several variables. The limits…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Zaoli Chen , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We discuss how an eigenvalue perturbation formula for transfer operators of dynamical systems is related to exponential hitting time distributions and extreme value theory for processes generated by chaotic dynamical systems. We also list a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-01-16 Gerhard Keller

After the justification of the maximum entropy approach for equilibrium thermodynamic system, and of a maximum path entropy algorithm for nonequilibrium thermodynamic systems by virtue of the principle of virtual work, we present in this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-12-18 Qiuping A. Wang

Extremes play a special role in Anomaly Detection. Beyond inference and simulation purposes, probabilistic tools borrowed from Extreme Value Theory (EVT), such as the angular measure, can also be used to design novel statistical learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-01 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

We review here {\it Maximum Caliber} (Max Cal), a general variational principle for inferring distributions of paths in dynamical processes and networks. Max Cal is to dynamical trajectories what the principle of {\it Maximum Entropy} (Max…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-17 Purushottam D. Dixit , Jason Wagoner , Corey Weistuch , Steve Pressé , Kingshuk Ghosh , Ken A. Dill

The asymptotic results that underlie applications of extreme random fields often assume that the variables are located on a regular discrete grid, identified with $\mathbb{Z}^2$, and that they satisfy stationarity and isotropy conditions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Helena Ferreira , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins