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We investigate a Poisson sampling design in the presence of unknown selection probabilities when applied to a population of unknown size for multiple sampling occasions. The fixed-population model is adopted and extended upon for inference.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-30 Kyle Vincent , Saman Muthukumarana

Capture-recapture methods aim to estimate the size of a closed population on the basis of multiple incomplete enumerations of individuals. In many applications, the individual probability of being recorded is heterogeneous in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-08 James E. Johndrow , Kristian Lum , Daniel Manrique-Vallier

In this paper we consider the estimation of population size from one-source capture--recapture data, that is, a list in which individuals can potentially be found repeatedly and where the question is how many individuals are missed by the…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-18 Dankmar Böhning , Peter G. M. van der Heijden

Estimates of population size for hidden and hard-to-reach individuals are of particular interest to health officials when health problems are concentrated in such populations. Efforts to derive these estimates are often frustrated by a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-02-01 Bilal Khan , Hsuan-Wei Lee , Kirk Dombrowski

The multivariate hypergeometric distribution describes sampling without replacement from a discrete population of elements divided into multiple categories. Addressing a gap in the literature, we tackle the challenge of estimating discrete…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Liam Hodgson , Danilo Bzdok

Population size estimates for hidden and hard-to-reach populations are particularly important when members are known to suffer from disproportion health issues or to pose health risks to the larger ambient population in which they are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-04 Bilal Khan , Hsuan-Wei Lee , Ian Fellows , Kirk Dombrowski

Binomial data with unknown sizes often appear in biological and medical sciences. The previous methods either use the Poisson approximation or the quasi-likelihood approach. A full likelihood approach is proposed by treating unknown sizes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wei Zhang

Estimating the unknown number of classes in a population has numerous important applications. In a Poisson mixture model, the problem is reduced to estimating the odds that a class is undetected in a sample. The discontinuity of the odds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Chang Xuan Mao , Bruce G. Lindsay

The network scale-up method enables researchers to estimate the size of hidden populations, such as drug injectors and sex workers, using sampled social network data. The basic scale-up estimator offers advantages over other size estimation…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-14 Dennis M. Feehan , Matthew J. Salganik

Plant-capture is a variant of classical capture-recapture methods used to estimate the size of a population. In this method, decoys referred to as "plants" are introduced into the population in order to estimate the capture probability. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-25 Yiran Wang , Martin Lysy , Audrey Béliveau

We develop methods for estimating the size of hard-to-reach populations from data collected using network-based questions on standard surveys. Such data arise by asking respondents how many people they know in a specific group (e.g., people…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-06 Rachael Maltiel , Adrian E. Raftery , Tyler H. McCormick , Aaron J. Baraff

Coalescent theory combined with statistical modeling allows us to estimate effective population size fluctuations from molecular sequences of individuals sampled from a population of interest. When sequences are sampled serially through…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-02 Michael D. Karcher , Marc A. Suchard , Gytis Dudas , Vladimir N. Minin

This work is concerned with the estimation of hard-to-reach population sizes using a single respondent-driven sampling (RDS) survey, a variant of chain-referral sampling that leverages social relationships to reach members of a hidden…

The problem of estimating the size of a population based on a subset of individuals observed across multiple data sources is often referred to as capture-recapture or multiple-systems estimation. This is fundamentally a missing data…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Serge Aleshin-Guendel , Mauricio Sadinle , Jon Wakefield

We contribute a general and flexible framework to estimate the size of a closed population in the presence of $K$ capture-recapture lists and heterogeneous capture probabilities. Our novel identifying strategy leverages the fact that it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Mateo Dulce Rubio , Edward Kennedy

We exploit a suitable moment-based characterization of the mixture of Poisson distribution for developing Bayesian inference for the unknown size of a finite population whose units are subject to multiple occurrences during an enumeration…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Danilo Alunni Fegatelli , Luca Tardella

The availability of high-throughput parallel methods for sequencing microbial communities is increasing our knowledge of the microbial world at an unprecedented rate. Though most attention has focused on determining lower-bounds on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-09-15 Manuel Lladser , Raúl Gouet , Jens Reeder

Population size estimation based on the capture-recapture experiment is an interesting problem in various fields including epidemiology, criminology, demography, etc. In many real-life scenarios, there exists inherent heterogeneity among…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Kiranmoy Chatterjee , Prajamitra Bhuyan

Populations of interest are often hidden from data for a variety of reasons, though their magnitude remains important in determining resource allocation and appropriate policy. One popular approach to population size estimation, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-27 Mallory J Flynn , Paul Gustafson

We consider the estimation of densities in multiple subpopulations, where the available sample size in each subpopulation greatly varies. This problem occurs in epidemiology, for example, where different diseases may share similar…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-15 Jiaming Qiu , Xiongtao Dai , Zhengyuan Zhu
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