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An approximation method is presented for probabilistic inference with continuous random variables. These problems can arise in many practical problems, in particular where there are "second order" probabilities. The approximation, based on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Ross D. Shachter

In many applications of the probabilistic method, one looks to study phenomena that occur ``with high probability''. More recently however, in an attempt to understand some of the most fundamental problems in combinatorics, researchers have…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Julian Sahasrabudhe

Attempts to replicate probabilistic reasoning in expert systems have typically overlooked a critical ingredient of that process. Probabilistic analysis typically requires extensive judgments regarding interdependencies among hypotheses and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Marvin S. Cohen

We derive an extended empirical likelihood for parameters defined by estimating equations which generalizes the original empirical likelihood for such parameters to the full parameter space. Under mild conditions, the extended empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-07 Min Tsao , Fan Wu

This paper presents a plausible reasoning system to illustrate some broad issues in knowledge representation: dualities between different reasoning forms, the difficulty of unifying complementary reasoning styles, and the approximate nature…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Wray L. Buntine

This is a short historical note concerning the evolution of Wetzel's problem and Erdos' solution.

History and Overview · Mathematics 2014-10-24 Stephan Ramon Garcia , Amy L. Shoemaker

The aim of this article is to promote the use of probabilistic methods in the study of problems in mathematical general relativity. Two new and simple singularity theorems, whose features are different from the classical singularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-21 Ismael Bailleul

This paper covers two topics: first an introduction to Algorithmic Complexity Theory: how it defines probability, some of its characteristic properties and past successful applications. Second, we apply it to problems in A.I. - where it…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Ray Solomonoff

After experimenting with a number of non-probabilistic methods for dealing with uncertainty many researchers reaffirm a preference for probability methods [1] [2], although this remains controversial. The importance of being able to form…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Thomas Slack

Recent decades have seen an interest in prediction problems for which Bayesian methodology has been used ubiquitously. Sampling from or approximating the posterior predictive distribution in a Bayesian model allows one to make inferential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-12 Giri Gopalan

The scheduling problem is a key class of optimization problems and has various kinds of applications both in practical and theoretical scenarios. In the scheduling problem, probabilistic analysis is a basic tool for investigating…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Daiki Suruga

Inference networks have a variety of important uses and are constructed by persons having quite different standpoints. Discussed in this paper are three different but complementary methods for generating and analyzing probabilistic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 David A. Schum

This paper is an attempt to bring together two approaches to language analysis. The possible use of probabilistic information in principle-based grammars and parsers is considered, including discussion on some theoretical and computational…

cmp-lg · Computer Science 2008-02-03 Andrew Fordham , Matthew Crocker

We establish an Ergodic Theorem for lower probabilities, a generalization of standard probabilities widely used in applications. As a by-product, we provide a version for lower probabilities of the Strong Law of Large Numbers.

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2015-08-07 Simone Cerreia-Vioglio , Fabio Maccheroni , Massimo Marinacci

Works, briefly surveyed here, are concerned with two basic methods: Maximum Probability and Bayesian Maximum Probability; as well as with their asymptotic instances: Relative Entropy Maximization and Maximum Non-parametric Likelihood.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-25 M. Grendar

General problems in analyzing information in a probabilistic database are considered. The practical difficulties (and occasional advantages) of storing uncertain data, of using it conventional forward- or backward-chaining inference…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Matthew L. Ginsberg

In this short note we present some remarks and conjectures on two of Erd\"os's open problems in number theory.

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Florentin Smarandache

A method for computing probabilistic propositions is presented. It assumes the availability of a single external routine for computing the probability of one instantiated variable, given a conjunction of other instantiated variables. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Gregory F. Cooper

Starting from considerations about meaning and subsequent use of asymmetric uncertainty intervals of experimental results, we review the issue of uncertainty propagation. We show that, using a probabilistic approach (the so-called Bayesian…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 G. D'Agostini , M. Raso

This article is geared towards theorists interested in estimating parameters of their theoretical models, and computing their own limits using available experimental data and elementary Mathematica code. The examples given can be useful…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2011-10-25 Georgios Choudalakis
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