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This article extends the hypotheses assessment method to the case with two competing simple hypotheses. In doing so we further clarify the benefits that hypotheses assessments can bring to classical statistical analyses. Given that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Graham N. Bornholt

This is a survey article in algebraic logic, where we take a magical tour from old concepts due to Henkin, Monk and Tarski like neat embeddings, to modern views and perspectives, culminating in the use of Erdos graphs in settling important…

Logic · Mathematics 2013-02-07 Tarek Sayed Ahmed

Bayesian methods are useful for statistical inference. However, real-world problems can be challenging using Bayesian methods when the data analyst has only limited prior knowledge. In this paper we consider a class of problems, called…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-20 Yixuan Qiu , Lingsong Zhang , Chuanhai Liu

Probabilistic graphical models allow us to encode a large probability distribution as a composition of smaller ones. It is oftentimes the case that we are interested in incorporating in the model the idea that some of these smaller…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Jesus Cerquides

An expert classification system having statistical information about the prior probabilities of the different classes should be able to use this knowledge to reduce the amount of additional information that it must collect, e.g., through…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Yuping Qiu , Louis Anthony Cox, , Lawrence Davis

The problem of assigning probabilities when little is known is analized in the case where the quanities of interest are physical observables, i.e. can be measured and their values expressed by numbers. It is pointed out that the assignment…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-08-29 Vesselin I. Dimitrov

We discuss some aspects of Extrapolation theory. The presentation includes many examples and open problems.

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Sergey Astashkin , Mario Milman

A general piecewise (including pointwise) probability distribution with space-saving notation and its hierarchical particular cases are considered. The explicit closed-form normalization, expectation, and variance formulas along with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Lev Gelimson

Automated reasoning about uncertain knowledge has many applications. One difficulty when developing such systems is the lack of a completely satisfactory integration of logic and probability. We address this problem directly. Expressive…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-09-13 Marcus Hutter , John W. Lloyd , Kee Siong Ng , William T. B. Uther

Possibilistic logic, an extension of first-order logic, deals with uncertainty that can be estimated in terms of possibility and necessity measures. Syntactically, this means that a first-order formula is equipped with a possibility degree…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Bernhard Hollunder

In this paper we will provide an introductory understanding of random graph models, and matchings in the case of Erdos-Renyi random graphs. We will provide a synthesis of background theory to this end. We will further examine pertinent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Lucas Rooney

This paper considers the problem of making statistical inferences about a parameter when a narrow interval centred at a given value of the parameter is considered special, which is interpreted as meaning that there is a substantial degree…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Russell J. Bowater , Ludmila E. Guzmán-Pantoja

The following three sections and appendices are taken from my thesis "The Foundations of Inference and its Application to Fundamental Physics" from 2021, in which I construct a theory of entropic inference from first principles. The…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-07-19 Nicholas Carrara

We derive an efficient method to calculate exceedance probabilities (EP) for the Dirichlet distribution when the number of event types is larger than two. Also, we present an intuitive application of Dirichlet EPs and compare our method to…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-07 Joram Soch , Carsten Allefeld

Previously, we have introduced a very small number of examples of what we call Ouroboros functions. Using our already established theory of Ouroboros spaces and their functions, we will provide a set of families of Ouroboros functions that…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-10 Nathan Thomas Provost

We introduce the notion of an approximation system as a generalization of Taylor approximation, and we give some first examples. Next we develop the general theory, including error bounds and a sufficient criterion for convergence. More…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2017-10-20 Victor A. Pessers , Tom H. Koornwinder

The aim of this paper is to present a self contained introduction to the Hubbard model and some of its applications.The paper consists of two parts: the first will introduce the basic notions of the Hubbard model starting from the…

Materials Science · Physics 2010-02-16 V. Celebonovic

These lectures deal with the problem of inductive inference, that is, the problem of reasoning under conditions of incomplete information. Is there a general method for handling uncertainty? Or, at least, are there rules that could in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 Ariel Caticha

This paper discusses a method for implementing a probabilistic inference system based on an extended relational data model. This model provides a unified approach for a variety of applications such as dynamic programming, solving sparse…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Michael S. K. M. Wong , C. J. Butz , Yang Xiang

The main purpose of this note is to pose a couple of problems which are easily formulated thought some seem to be not yet solved. These problems are of general interest for discrete mathematics including a new twig of a bough of theory of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-11-16 A. K. Kwasniewski