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This paper analyzes the macroeconomic consequences of military spending and militarization within a dynamic growth framework. Building on a Keynesian goods-market model, we examine how the allocation of government expenditure between…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-26 Arpan Chakraborty

This study rigorously investigates the Keynesian cross model of a national economy with a focus on the dynamic relationship between government spending and economic equilibrium. The model consists of two ordinary differential equations…

General Economics · Economics 2023-03-21 Xinyu Li

This article analytically describes the contributions of Keynesian theory in the post-World War I context, by means of a synoptic reading of the bibliographical sources indicated, the Keynesian theory within its own historical and…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-04 Gustavo Lima Moura

This paper analyzes the evolution of Keynesianism making use of concepts offered by Imre Lakatos. The Keynesian "hard core" lies in its views regarding the instability of the market economy, its "protective belt" in the policy strategy for…

General Economics · Economics 2020-06-23 Asahi Noguchi

We present a quantitative characterisation of the fluctuations of the annualized growth rate of the real US GDP per capita growth at many scales, using a wavelet transform analysis of two data sets, quarterly data from 1947 to 2015 and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-15 Sandro Lera , Didier Sornette

We consider the relationship between economic activity and intervention, including monetary and fiscal policy, using a universal dynamic framework. Central bank policies are designed for growth without excess inflation. However,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-01-01 Yaneer Bar-Yam , Jean Langlois-Meurinne , Mari Kawakatsu , Rodolfo Garcia

Decades of research has found that democratic dyads rarely exhibit violent tendencies, making the democratic peace arguably the principal finding of Peace Science. However, the democratic peace rests upon a dyadic understanding of conflict.…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-13 Benjamin Campbell , Skyler Cranmer , Bruce Desmarais

The existing theorization of development economics and transition economics is probably inadequate and perhaps even flawed to accurately explain and analyze a dual economic system such as that in China. China is a country in the transition…

General Economics · Economics 2021-10-06 Tianyong Zhou

Diversified economies are critical for cities to sustain their growth and development, but they are also costly because diversification often requires expanding a city's capability base. We analyze how cities manage this trade-off by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-20 Simone Daniotti , Matte Hartog , Frank Neffke

It has been shown that the long term evolution of the Gross Product of the World after World War II can be well portrayed by the exponential function with the crossover at the year 1973, cinsiding with the Oil Crisis onset. For the the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-20 Rzoska Agata Angelika

The American economy can be thought of as a highly connected random network in terms of both its technological and informational connections. The cumulative size of economic recessions, the fall in output from peak to trough, is analysed…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Paul Ormerod

We report empirical evidences on the existence of a conditional dynamics driving the evolution of financial assets which is found in several markets around the world and for different historical periods. In particular, we have analyzed the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Boguna , J. Masoliver

Accuracy of economic theories and efficiency of economic policy strictly depend on the choice of the economic variables and processes mostly liable for description of economic reality. That states the general problem of assessment of any…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-17 Victor Olkhov

The Keen model is a mathematical model that describes the dynamic evolution of wages, employment, and debt based on the known Minsky's Financial Instability Hypothesis. It consists of three first order nonlinear ordinary differential…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-12-18 Son Van , Teng Zhang

I devise a novel approach to evaluate the effectiveness of fiscal policy in the short run with multi-category treatment effects and inverse probability weighting based on the potential outcome framework. This study's main contribution to…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-11 Koiti Yano

This paper presents empirical evidence using recently developed techniques in econophysics suggesting that the degree of long-range dependence in interest rates depends on the conduct of monetary policy. We study the term structure of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Daniel O. Cajueiro , Benjamin M. Tabak

The existence of involuntary unemployment advocated by J. M. Keynes is a very important problem of the modern economic theory. Using a three-generations overlapping generations model, we show that the existence of involuntary unemployment…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-23 Yasuhito Tanaka

Do governments adjust budgetary policy to rising public debt, precluding fiscal unsustainability? Using budget data for 52 industrial and emerging economies since 1990, we apply panel methods accounting for cross-sectional dependence and…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-18 Paolo Canofari , Alessandro Piergallini , Marco Tedeschi

The paper analyzes the current state of the world economy and offers a short-term forecast of its development. Our analysis of log-periodic oscillations in the DJIA dynamics suggests that in the second half of 2017 the United States and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-30 Askar Akaev , Andrey Korotayev

The purpose of this paper is to provide a micro-economic foundation for an argument that the direct employment by the government is more desirable than the government purchase of private goods to eliminate unemployment. A general…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-01 Kensuke Ohtake
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