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Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) using a sequential Monte Carlo method provides a comprehensive platform for parameter estimation, model selection and sensitivity analysis in differential equations. However, this method, like other…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-21 Sanmitra Ghosh , Srinandan Dasmahapatra , Koushik Maharatna

We explore connections between two common methods for quantifying the uncertainty in parton distribution functions (PDFs), based on the Hessian error matrix and Monte-Carlo sampling. CT14 parton distributions in the Hessian representation…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-04-05 Tie-Jiun Hou , Jun Gao , Joey Huston , Pavel Nadolsky , Carl Schmidt , Daniel Stump , Bo-Ting Wang , Ke-Ping Xie , Sayipjamal Dulat , Jon Pumplin , C. -P. Yuan

We consider minimization of a smooth nonconvex function with inexact oracle access to gradient and Hessian (without assuming access to the function value) to achieve approximate second-order optimality. A novel feature of our method is that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Shuyao Li , Stephen J. Wright

Second-order partial differential equations in non-divergence form are considered. Equations of this kind typically arise as subproblems for the solution of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations in the context of stochastic optimal control, or…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-13 Jan Blechschmidt , Roland Herzog , Max Winkler

Standard chance constrained control algorithms typically rely on the assumption that uncertainties in vehicle states obey Gaussian statistics. Highly nonlinear systems tend to disrupt Gaussianity, challenging standard chance-constrained…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Ethan Burnett , Spencer Boone

Current statistics literature on statistical inference of random fields typically assumes that the fields are stationary or focuses on models of non-stationary Gaussian fields with parametric/semiparametric covariance families, which may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Yunyi Zhang , Zhou Zhou

The continuous extension of a discrete random variable is amongst the computational methods used for estimation of multivariate normal copula-based models with discrete margins. Its advantage is that the likelihood can be derived…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-10 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

We study an unbiased estimator for the density of a sum of random variables that are simulated from a computer model. A numerical study on examples with copula dependence is conducted where the proposed estimator performs favourably in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Patrick J. Laub , Robert Salomone , Zdravko I. Botev

For probability measures on countable spaces we derive distributional limits for empirical entropic optimal transport quantities. More precisely, we show that the empirical optimal transport plan weakly converges to a centered Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Shayan Hundrieser , Marcel Klatt , Axel Munk

We propose a new class of structured methods for Monte Carlo (MC) sampling, called DPPMC, designed for high-dimensional nonisotropic distributions where samples are correlated to reduce the variance of the estimator via determinantal point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Krzysztof Choromanski , Aldo Pacchiano , Jack Parker-Holder , Yunhao Tang

We simulate CMB maps including non-Gaussianity arising from cubic order perturbations of the primordial gravitational potential, characterized by the non-linearity parameter $g_{NL}$. The maps are used to study the characteristic nature of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 Pravabati Chingangbam , Changbom Park

We study a general framework of distributional computational graphs: computational graphs whose inputs are probability distributions rather than point values. We analyze the discretization error that arises when these graphs are evaluated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-13 Olof Hallqvist Elias , Michael Selby , Phillip Stanley-Marbell

Inference on an extreme-value copula usually proceeds via its Pickands dependence function, which is a convex function on the unit simplex satisfying certain inequality constraints. In the setting of an iid random sample from a multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-10-07 Gordon Gudendorf , Johan Segers

We are interested in creating statistical methods to provide informative summaries of random fields through the geometry of their excursion sets. To this end, we introduce an estimator for the length of the perimeter of excursion sets of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-31 Ryan Cotsakis , Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Opitz

We consider a type of nonnormal approximation of infinitely divisible distributions that incorporates compound Poisson, Gamma, and normal distributions. The approximation relies on achieving higher orders of cumulant matching, to obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-24 Zhiyi Chi

A \emph{double extrema form} of the calculus of variations is put forward in which only the smallest one of the finite differences is physically meaningful to represent the variational derivatives defined on the discrete points. The most…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-13 Q. H. Liu

We propose a novel method for estimating nonseparable selection models. We show that, for a given selection function, the potential outcome distributions are nonparametrically identified from the selected outcome distributions and can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-05 Fan Wu , Yi Xin

This paper presents novel method for distribution-free robust trajectory optimization and control of discrete-time, nonlinear, and non-Gaussian stochastic systems, with closed-loop guarantees on chance constraint satisfaction. Our framework…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-10 Rihan Aaron D'Silva , Hiroyasu Tsukamoto

The paper considers so-called adaptive estimations of regression, distribution density and spectral density of a Gaussian stationary sequence, asymptotically optimal in order at a growing number of observation on any regular subspace…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eugene Ostrovsky , Leonid Sirota

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation inference using a rescaled smooth Gaussian field as a prior for a multidimensional function. The rescaling is achieved using a Gamma variable and the procedure can be viewed as choosing an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten
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