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We study a stochastic equation modeling the lay-down of fibers in the production process of nonwovens. The equation can be formulated as some manifold-valued Stratonovich stochastic differential equation. Especially, we study the long time…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-21 Martin Grothaus , Axel Klar , Johannes Maringer , Patrik Stilgenbauer

In situations where both extreme and non-extreme data are of interest, modelling the whole data set accurately is important. In a univariate framework, modelling the bulk and tail of a distribution has been extensively studied before.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-11 Lídia M. André , Jennifer L. Wadsworth , Adrian O'Hagan

This work develops a rigorous framework for analysing ergodicity and mixing in time-inhomogeneous quantum dynamics. It considers quantum evolutions generated by sequences of quantum channels and examines in detail the relationship between…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-03-25 Abdessatar Souissi

The basic question in perturbation analysis of Markov chains is: how do small changes in the transition kernels of Markov chains translate to chains in their stationary distributions? Many papers on the subject have shown, roughly, that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Na Lin , Yuanyuan Liu , Aaron Smith

In this paper, we outline a model of graph (or network) dynamics based on two ingredients. The first ingredient is a Markov chain on the space of possible graphs. The second ingredient is a semi-Markov counting process of renewal type. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Marco Raberto , Fabio Rapallo , Enrico Scalas

We investigate a geometric and distributional reinterpretation of Chatterjee's $\xi$-coefficient, which measures functional dependence between a response variable $Y$ and a predictor vector $\mathbf{X}$. For this purpose, we analyze the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Carsten Limbach

We study copula-based collective risk models when the dependence structure is defined by a Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM) copula. By leveraging a one-to-one correspondence between the class of FGM copulas and multivariate symmetric…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-04 Christopher Blier-Wong , Hélène Cossette , Etienne Marceau

We consider a stationary regularly varying time series which can be expressedas a function of a geometrically ergodic Markov chain. We obtain practical conditionsfor the weak convergence of the tail array sums and feasible estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-25 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier , Olivier Wintenberger , Rafa Kulik

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

It is common practice in Markov chain Monte Carlo to update the simulation one variable (or sub-block of variables) at a time, rather than conduct a single full-dimensional update. When it is possible to draw from each full-conditional…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-03 Alicia A. Johnson , Galin L. Jones , Ronald C. Neath

Modeling returns on large portfolios is a challenging problem as the number of parameters in the covariance matrix grows as the square of the size of the portfolio. Traditional correlation models, for example, the dynamic conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-25 Lupe Shun Hin Chan , Amanda Man Ying Chu , Mike Ka Pui So

Graphical Markov models combine conditional independence constraints with graphical representations of stepwise data generating processes.The models started to be formulated about 40 years ago and vigorous development is ongoing.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-12 Nanny Wermuth

We consider a general model of a heterogeneous polymer chain fluctuating in the proximity of an interface between two selective solvents. The heterogeneous character of the model comes from the fact that the monomer units interact with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Francesco Caravenna , Giambattista Giacomin , Lorenzo Zambotti

Consider time-homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains $X$, $Y$, and $Z$ on countable state spaces, considered as stochastic processes with specified initial distributions. Suppose for maps $f$ and $g$ that $(f(X_t))_{t \ge 0}$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Edward Crane , Alexander E. Holroyd , Erin Russell

When two Markov operators commute, it suggests that we can couple two copies of one of the corresponding processes. We explicitly construct a number of couplings of this type for a commuting family of Markov processes on the set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-20 Anthony P. Metcalfe , Neil O'Connell , Jon Warren

We study geometric ergodicity of the Gibbs sampler for linear latent non-Gaussian models (LLnGMs), a class of hierarchical models in which conditional Gaussian structure is preserved through generalized inverse Gaussian (GIG)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Elsiddig Awadelkarim , David Bolin , Xiaotian Jin , Alexandre B. Simas , Jonas Wallin

Motivated by recently investigated results on dependence measures and robust risk models, this paper provides an overview of dependence properties of many well-known bivariate copula families, where the focus is on the Schur order for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Jonathan Ansari , Marcus Rockel

We study the ergodic behaviour of a discrete-time process $X$ which is a Markov chain in a stationary random environment. The laws of $X_t$ are shown to converge to a limiting law in (weighted) total variation distance as $t\to\infty$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-29 Balazs Gerencser , Miklos Rasonyi

Perturbation theory for Markov chains addresses the question how small differences in the transitions of Markov chains are reflected in differences between their distributions. We prove powerful and flexible bounds on the distance of the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-27 Daniel Rudolf , Nikolaus Schweizer

Doeblin coefficients are a classical tool for analyzing the ergodicity and exponential convergence rates of Markov chains. Propelled by recent works on contraction coefficients of strong data processing inequalities, we investigate whether…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Anuran Makur , Japneet Singh