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A $k$-height on a graph $G=(V, E)$ is an assignment $V\to\{0, \ldots, k\}$ such that the value on ajacent vertices differs by at most $1$. We study the Markov chain on $k$-heights that in each step selects a vertex at random, and, if…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Stefan Felsner , Daniel Heldt , Sandro Roch , Peter Winkler

Constraint-based causal discovery algorithms utilize many statistical tests for conditional independence to uncover networks of causal dependencies. These approaches to causal discovery rely on an assumed correspondence between the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Bijan Mazaheri , Jiaqi Zhang , Caroline Uhler

The concepts of probability, statistics and stochastic theory are being successfully used in structural engineering. Markov Chain modelling is a simple stochastic process model that has found its application in both describing stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2007-08-14 K. Balaji Rao

We address asymptotic decoupling in the context of Markovian quantum dynamics. Asymptotic decoupling is an asymptotic property on a bipartite quantum system, and asserts that the correlation between two quantum systems is broken after a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-10-08 Yuuya Yoshida , Masahito Hayashi

Inspired by Jang et al. (2022), we propose a Granger causality-in-the-mean test for bivariate $k-$Markov stationary processes based on a recently introduced class of non-linear models, i.e., vine copula models. By means of a simulation…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-08 Roberto Fuentes-Martínez , Irene Crimaldi , Armando Rungi

Max-stable processes are central models for spatial extremes. In this paper, we focus on some space-time max-stable models introduced in Embrechts et al. (2016). The processes considered induce discrete-time Markov chains taking values in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-09 Erwan Koch , Christian Y. Robert

The standard coalescent is widely used in evolutionary biology and population genetics to model the ancestral history of a sample of molecular sequences as a rooted and ranked binary tree. In this paper, we present a representation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Mackenzie Simper , Julia A. Palacios

Markov chains are a class of probabilistic models that have achieved widespread application in the quantitative sciences. This is in part due to their versatility, but is compounded by the ease with which they can be probed analytically.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Eddie Seabrook , Laurenz Wiskott

In this paper, we give quantitative bounds on the $f$-total variation distance from convergence of an Harris recurrent Markov chain on an arbitrary under drift and minorisation conditions implying ergodicity at a sub-geometric rate. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Philippe Soulier

This paper develops a copula-based time-series framework for modelling sovereign credit rating activity and its dependence dynamics, with extensions incorporating climate risk. We introduce a mixed-difference transformation that maps…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Marina Palaisti

We introduce an statistical mechanical formalism for the study of discrete-time stochastic processes with which we prove: (i) General properties of extremal chains, including triviality on the tail $\sigma$-algebra, short-range…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Roberto Fernandez , Gregory Maillard

A Markov network characterizes the conditional independence structure, or Markov property, among a set of random variables. Existing work focuses on specific families of distributions (e.g., exponential families) and/or certain structures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Yujia Zheng , Ignavier Ng , Yewen Fan , Kun Zhang

In this paper, we study an online regularized learning algorithm in a reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS) based on a class of dependent processes. We choose such a process where the degree of dependence is measured by mixing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-09 Priyanka Roy , Susanne Saminger-Platz

The \emph{Mixed-Membership Stochastic Blockmodel (MMSB)} is a popular framework for modeling social network relationships. It can fully exploit each individual node's participation (or membership) in a social structure. Despite its powerful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-10-08 Xuhui Fan , Longbing Cao , Richard Yi Da Xu

Due to the fact that the numbers of annually published papers have witnessed a linear growth in some citation networks, a geometric model is thus proposed to predict some statistical features of those networks, in which the academic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-07 Qi Liu , Zheng Xie , Engming Dong , Jianping Li

The aim of this text is to establish some relations between Markov chains in Dirichlet Environments on directed graphs and certain hypergeometric integrals associated with a particular arrangement of hyperplanes. We deduce from these…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Christophe Sabot

Markov networks are popular models for discrete multivariate systems where the dependence structure of the variables is specified by an undirected graph. To allow for more expressive dependence structures, several generalizations of Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 Johan Pensar , Henrik Nyman , Jukka Corander

The bivariate copulas that describe the dependencies and partial dependencies of lagged variables in strictly stationary, first-order GARCH-type processes are investigated. It is shown that the copulas of symmetric GARCH processes are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-10 Alexandra Dias , Jialing Han , Alexander J. McNeil

We introduce graphical time series models for the analysis of dynamic relationships among variables in multivariate time series. The modelling approach is based on the notion of strong Granger causality and can be applied to time series…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-18 Michael Eichler

This article studies the convergence properties of trans-dimensional MCMC algorithms when the total number of models is finite. It is shown that, for reversible and some non-reversible trans-dimensional Markov chains, under mild conditions,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-18 Qian Qin