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We study multidimensional Cram\'er-Lundberg risk processes where agents, located on a large sparse network, receive losses form their neighbors. To reduce the dimensionality of the problem, we introduce classification of agents according to…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-15 Hamed Amini , Zhongyuan Cao , Andreea Minca , Agnès Sulem

In this paper we study a spectrally negative L\'evy process which is refracted at its running maximum and at the same time reflected from below at a certain level. Such a process can for instance be used to model an insurance surplus…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-07 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

In this paper, we analyze some distributions involving the longest and shortest negative excursions of spectrally negative L\'evy processes using the binomial expansion approach. More specifically, we study the distributions of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-12 M. A. Lkabous , Z. Palmowski

Consider a multi-dimensional Brownian motion which models the surplus processes of multiple lines of business of an insurance company. Our main result gives exact asymptotics for the cumulative Parisian ruin probability as the initial…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Lanpeng Ji

Let $B(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$ be a standard Brownian motion. Define a risk process \label{Rudef} R_u^{\delta}(t)=e^{\delta t}\left(u+c\int^{t}_{0}e^{-\delta s}d s-\sigma\int_{0}^{t}e^{-\delta s}d B(s)\right), t\geq0, where $u\geq 0$ is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-14 Long Bai , Li Luo

We use Levy processes to generate joint prior distributions, and therefore penalty functions, for a location parameter as p grows large. This generalizes the class of local-global shrinkage rules based on scale mixtures of normals,…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-04-26 Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott

Let $\xi_i$, $i\in \mathbb {N}$, be independent copies of a L\'{e}vy process $\{\xi(t),t\geq0\}$. Motivated by the results obtained previously in the context of the random energy model, we prove functional limit theorems for the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-15 Zakhar Kabluchko

Let $\textbf{Z}(t)=(Z_1(t) ,\ldots, Z_d(t))^\top , t \in \mathbb{R}$ where $Z_i(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$, $i=1,...,d$ are mutually independent centered Gaussian processes with continuous sample paths a.s. and stationary increments. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Krzysztof Bisewski , Krzysztof Debicki , Nikolai Kriukov

This paper considers a variant of the classical Cram\'er-Lundberg model that is particularly appropriate in the credit context, with the distinguishing feature that it corresponds to a finite number of obligors. The focus is on computing…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes

L\'evy's Upward Theorem says that the conditional expectation of an integrable random variable converges with probability one to its true value with increasing information. In this paper, we use methods from effective probability theory to…

Logic · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Simon M. Huttegger , Sean Walsh , Francesca Zaffora Blando

In this paper, we derive identities for the upward and downward exit problems and resolvents for a process whose motion changes between two L\'evy processes if it is above (or below) a barrier $b$ and coincides with a Poissonian arrival…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Noah Beelders , Lewis Ramsden , Apostolos D. Papaioannou

This paper studies risk balancing features in an insurance market by evaluating ruin probabilities for single and multiple components of a multivariate compound Poisson risk process. The dependence of the components of the process is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Anita Behme , Claudia Klüppelberg , Gesine Reinert

In ruin theory, the net profit condition intuitively means that the incurred random claims on average do not occur more often than premiums are gained. The breach of the net profit condition causes guaranteed ruin in few but simple cases…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Andrius Grigutis , Arvydas Karbonskis , Jonas Šiaulys

This article establishes a universal robust limit theorem under a sublinear expectation framework. Under moment and consistency conditions, we show that, for $\alpha \in(1,2)$, the i.i.d. sequence \[ \left \{ \left(…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-31 Mingshang Hu , Lianzi Jiang , Gechun Liang , Shige Peng

We consider an insurance company in the case when the premium rate is a bounded non-negative random function $c_\zs{t}$ and the capital of the insurance company is invested in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-08 Serguei Pergamenchtchikov , Zeitouny Omar

We prove sharp two-sided estimates on the tail probability of the first hitting time of bounded interval as well as its asymptotic behaviour for general non-symmetric processes which satisfy an integral condition \[ \int_0^{\infty}…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-15 Tomasz Grzywny , Łukasz Leżaj , Maciej Miśta

In the paper [Hainaut, D. and Colwell, D.B., {\rm A structural model for credit risk with switching processes and synchronous jumps}, The European Journal of Finance 22(11) (2016): 1040-1062], the authors exploit a synchronous-jump…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Davood Damircheli , Mohsen Razzaghi , Seyed-Mohammad-Mahdi Kazemi , Ali Foroush Bastani

Following an article by Muller and Pflug, we study the adjustment coefficient of ruin theory in a context of temporal dependency. We provide a consistent estimator of this coefficient, and perform some simulations.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-05 H. Cossette , E. Marceau , V. Maume-Deschamps

We characterize the small-time asymptotic behavior of the exit probability of a L\'evy process out of a two-sided interval and of the law of its overshoot, conditionally on the terminal value of the process. The asymptotic expansions are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Peter Tankov

For a given L\'{e}vy process $X=(X_t)_{t\in\mathbb{R}_+}$ and for fixed $s\in \mathbb{R}_{+}\cup\{\infty\}$ and $t\in\mathbb{R}_+$ we analyse the {\it future drawdown extremes} that are defined as follows: \begin{eqnarray*} \overline…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-08 E. J. Baurdoux , Z. Palmowski , M. R. Pistorius
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