Related papers: Path decomposition of ruinous behavior for a gener…
Given an observation of the uniform empirical process $\alp_n$, its functional increments $\alp_n(u+a_n\cdot)-\alp_n(u)$ can be viewed as a single random process, when $u$ is distributed under the Lebesgue measure. We investigate the almost…
In this paper, we study finite-time ruin probabilities for the compound Markov binomial risk model - a discrete-time model where claim sizes are modulated by a finite-state ergodic Markov chain. In the classic (non-modulated) case, the risk…
Diffusion in a linear potential in the presence of position-dependent killing is used to mimic a default process. Different assumptions regarding transport coefficients, initial conditions, and elasticity of the killing measure lead to…
We provide a simple algorithm for construction of Brownian paths approximating those of a L\'evy process on a finite time interval. It requires knowledge of the L\'evy process trajectory on a chosen regular grid and the law of its endpoint,…
In this work, we introduce a modified (rescaled) likelihood for imbalanced logistic regression. This new approach makes easier the use of exponential priors and the computation of lasso regularization path. Precisely, we study a limiting…
We establish a new integral equation for the probability density of the exponential functional of a L\'evy process and provide a three-term (Wiener-Hopf type) factorisation of its law. We explain how these results complement the techniques…
Hazard and survival functions are natural, interpretable targets in time-to-event prediction, but their inherent non-additivity fundamentally limits standard additive explanation methods. We introduce Survival Functional Decomposition…
What limits how fast a Lyapunov function can decay under input bounds? We address this question by showing how the shape of Lyapunov comparison functions governs guaranteed decay for control affine systems. Using a windowed nominal…
In this paper, we present a comprehensive theory of generalized and weak generalized convolutions, illustrate it by a large number of examples, and discuss the related infinitely divisible distributions. We consider L\'{e}vy and additive…
We develop a novel approximate simulation algorithm for the joint law of the position, the running supremum and the time of the supremum of a general L\'evy process at an arbitrary finite time. We identify the law of the error in simple…
We consider a surplus process of drifted fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst index $H>1/2$, which appears as a functional limit of drifted compound Poisson risk models with correlated claims, and this is a kind of representation of a…
We prove that the convolution of a selfdecomposable distribution with its background driving law is again selfdecomposable if and only if the background driving law is s-selfdecomposable. We will refer to this as the \textit{factorization…
By killing a stable L\'{e}vy process when it leaves the positive half-line, or by conditioning it to stay positive, or by conditioning it to hit 0 continuously, we obtain three different positive self-similar Markov processes which…
In this text, we establish the risk model based on AR(1) series and propose the basic model which has a dependent structure under intensity of claim number. Considering some properties of the risk model, we take advantage of newton…
Let $X$ be a real valued random variable with an unbounded distribution $F$ and let $Y$ be a nonnegative valued random variable with a unbounded distribution $G$, which satisfy that \begin{eqnarray*} P(X>x|Y=y)\sim h(y)P(X>x)…
Consider an insurance company exposed to a stochastic economic environment that contains two kinds of risk. The first kind is the insurance risk caused by traditional insurance claims, and the second kind is the financial risk resulting…
Suppose $X_{t}$ is a one-dimensional and real-valued L\'evy process started from $X_0=0$, which ({\bf 1}) its nonnegative jumps measure $\nu$ satisfying $\int_{\Bbb R}\min\{1,x^2\}\nu(dx)<\infty$ and ({\bf 2}) its stopping time $\tau(q)$ is…
We consider a dual risk model with constant expense rate and i.i.d. exponentially distributed gains $C_i$ ($i=1,2,\dots$) that arrive according to a renewal process with general interarrival times. We add to this classical dual risk model…
In this paper we show a limit result for the reliability function of a system -- that is, the probability that the whole system is still operational after a certain given time -- when the number of components of the system grows to…
We propose a new family of regularized R\'enyi divergences parametrized not only by the order $\alpha$ but also by a variational function space. These new objects are defined by taking the infimal convolution of the standard R\'enyi…