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We consider the problem of conditioning a Markov process on a rare event and of representing this conditioned process by a conditioning-free process, called the effective or driven process. The basic assumption is that the rare event used…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-17 Raphael Chetrite , Hugo Touchette

We study the speed of extinction of continuous state branching processes in a L\'evy environment, where the associated L\'evy process oscillates. Assuming that the L\'evy process satisfies the Spitzer's condition and the existence of some…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-26 Vincent Bansaye , Juan Carlos Pardo , Charline Smadi

Assume that $X$ is a continuous square integrable process with zero mean, defined on some probability space $(\Omega,\mathrm {F},\mathrm {P})$. The classical characterization due to P. L\'{e}vy says that $X$ is a Brownian motion if and only…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-15 Yuliya Mishura , Esko Valkeila

In this paper we study a family of nonlinear (conditional) expectations that can be understood as a stochastic process with uncertain parameters. We develop a general framework which can be seen as a version of the martingale problem method…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-04 David Criens

Using the Wiener-Hopf factorization, it is shown that it is possible to bound the path of an arbitrary Levy process above and below by the paths of two random walks. These walks have the same step distribution, but different random starting…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. A. Doney

We give an explicit construction of the increasing tree-valued process introduced by Abraham and Delmas using a random point process of trees and a grafting procedure. This random point process will be used in companion papers to study…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-27 Romain Abraham , Jean-François Delmas , Patrick Hoscheit

Modelling extreme events and heavy-tailed phenomena is central to building reliable predictive systems in domains such as finance, climate science, and safety-critical AI. While L\'evy processes provide a natural mathematical framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yaman Kindap , Manfred Opper , Benjamin Dupuis , Umut Simsekli , Tolga Birdal

Let (X_t, t>=0) be a Levy process started at 0, with Levy measure nu and T_x the first hitting time of level x>0: T_x:=inf{t>=0; X_t>x}. Let $F(theta, mu, rho,.) be the joint Laplace transform of (T_x, K_x, L_x): F(theta,mu,rho,x)…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Bernard Roynette , Pierre Vallois , Agnes Volpi

An $\al$-permanental process $\{X_{ t},t\in T \}$ is a stochastic process determined by a kernel $K=\{K(s,t),s,t\in T \}$, with the property that for all $t_{1},\ldots,t_{n}\in T $, $ |I+K( t_{1},\ldots,t_{n}) S|^{- \al} $ is the Laplace…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-18 Michael B. Marcus , Jay Rosen

Path decomposition is performed to analyze the pre-supremum, post-supremum, post-infimum and the intermediate processes of a spectrally negative Levy process taken up to an independent exponential time T as motivated by the aim of finding…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Ceren Vardar-Acar , Mine Caglar

We investigate the branching structure coded by the excursion above zero of a spectrally positive Levy process. The main idea is to identify the level of the Levy excursion as the time and count the number of jumps upcrossing the level. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Hui He , Zenghu Li , Xiaowen Zhou

We prove that the martingale problem is well posed for pure-jump L\'evy-type operators of the form $$ (\mathcal Lf)(x) = \int_{\mathbb R^d \setminus \{0\}} \left(f(x+h)-f(x) - (\nabla f(x) \cdot h)1_{\|h\| < 1}\right)K(x,h) dh, $$ where…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Sarvesh Ravichandran Iyer

In this paper we present some limit theorems for power variation of L\'evy semi-stationary processes in the setting of infill asymptotics. L\'evy semi-stationary processes, which are a one-dimensional analogue of ambit fields, are moving…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-17 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Claudio Heinrich , Mark Podolskij

We show some Chung-type $\liminf$ law of the iterated logarithm results at zero for a class of (pure-jump) Feller or L\'evy-type processes. This class includes all L\'evy processes. The norming function is given in terms of the symbol of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-02 V. Knopova , R. Schilling

We characterise, in terms of their transition laws, the class of one-dimensional L\'evy processes whose graph has a continuously differentiable (planar) convex hull. We show that this phenomenon is exhibited by a broad class of infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 David Bang , Jorge Ignacio González Cázares , Aleksandar Mijatović

We discuss an impact of various (path-wise) reflection-from-the barrier scenarios upon confining properties of a paradigmatic family of symmetric $\alpha $-stable L\'{e}vy processes, whose permanent residence in a finite interval on a line…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-07-19 Piotr Garbaczewski , Mariusz Żaba

In this paper, we will discuss an approximation of the characteristic function of the first passage time for a Levy process using the martingale approach. The characteristic function of the first passage time of the tempered stable process…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-04 Young Shin Kim

We analyze a specific class of random systems that are driven by a symmetric L\'{e}vy stable noise. In view of the L\'{e}vy noise sensitivity to the confining "potential landscape" where jumps take place (in other words, to environmental…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 M. Zaba , P. Garbaczewski , V. Stephanovich

For a one-dimensional L\'{e}vy process, we derive an explicit formula for the probability of first hitting a specified point among a fixed finite set. Moreover, using this formula, we obtain an explicit expression for each entry of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Kohki Iba

We construct a general stochastic process and prove weak convergence results. It is scaled in space and through the parameters of its distribution. We show that our simplified scaling is equivalent to time scaling used frequently. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-01 Mine Caglar