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Gaussian process regression is a powerful method for predicting states based on given data. It has been successfully applied for probabilistic predictions of structural systems to quantify, for example, the crack growth in mechanical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-20 Simon Pfingstl , Markus Zimmermann

The algorithm of modified wavelet analysis is discussed. It is based on the weighted least squares approximation. Contrary to the Gaussian as a weight function, we propose to use a compact weight function. The accuracy estimates using the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-05 Ivan L. Andronov , Violetta P. Kulynska

Centered Gaussian random fields (GRFs) indexed by compacta such as smooth, bounded Euclidean domains or smooth, compact and orientable manifolds are determined by their covariance operators. We consider centered GRFs given as variational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Helmut Harbrecht , Lukas Herrmann , Kristin Kirchner , Christoph Schwab

In this paper, we study a Markov chain-based stochastic gradient algorithm in general Hilbert spaces, aiming at approximating the optimal solution of a quadratic loss function. We establish probabilistic upper bounds on its convergence. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Priyanka Roy , Susanne Saminger-Platz

Gaussian random fields (GRF) are a fundamental stochastic model for spatiotemporal data analysis. An essential ingredient of GRF is the covariance function that characterizes the joint Gaussian distribution of the field. Commonly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Jie Chen , Michael L. Stein

Multivariate spatial-statistical models are often used when modeling environmental and socio-demographic processes. The most commonly used models for multivariate spatial covariances assume both stationarity and symmetry for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-11 Quan Vu , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Noel Cressie

The need to calibrate increasingly complex statistical models requires a persistent effort for further advances on available, computationally intensive Monte Carlo methods. We study here an advanced version of familiar Markov Chain Monte…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-20 Alexandros Beskos , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Erik Pazos

This paper introduces a matrix-variate regression model for analyzing multivariate data observed across spatial locations and over time. The model's design incorporates a mean structure that links covariates to the response matrix and a…

The Mat\'ern covariance function is ubiquitous in the application of Gaussian processes to spatial statistics and beyond. Perhaps the most important reason for this is that the smoothness parameter $\nu$ gives complete control over the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-05-11 Christopher J. Geoga , Oana Marin , Michel Schanen , Michael L. Stein

Discrete choice models are commonly used by applied statisticians in numerous fields, such as marketing, economics, finance, and operations research. When agents in discrete choice models are assumed to have differing preferences, exact…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-04 Michael Braun , Jon McAuliffe

Gaussian process (GP) models that combine both categorical and continuous input variables have found use in analysis of longitudinal data and computer experiments. However, standard inference for these models has the typical cubic scaling,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-10 Juho Timonen , Harri Lähdesmäki

Spatially varying coefficients (SVC) models allow for marginal effects to be non-stationary over space and thus offer a higher degree of flexibility with respect to standard geostatistical models with external drift. At the same time, SVC…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Yacine Mohamed Idir , Thomas Romary

Modelling spatio-temporal processes has become an important issue in current research. Since Gaussian processes are essentially determined by their second order structure, broad classes of covariance functions are of interest. Here, a new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-28 Martin Schlather

Varying coefficient models are popular for estimating nonlinear regression functions in functional data models. Their Bayesian variants have received limited attention in large data applications, primarily due to prohibitively slow…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Laura Baracaldo , Sudipto Banerjee

We propose an extension of Markov-switching generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape (MS-GAMLSS) that allows covariates to influence not only the parameters of the state-dependent distributions but also the state…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Katharina Ammann , Timo Adam , Jan-Ole Koslik

We present a new method for estimating multivariate, second-order stationary Gaussian Random Field (GRF) models based on the Sparse Precision matrix Selection (SPS) algorithm, proposed by Davanloo et al. (2015) for estimating scalar GRF…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-12 Sam Davanloo Tajbakhsh , Necdet Serhat Aybat , Enrique del Castillo

Gaussian Markov random fields (GMRFs) are probabilistic graphical models widely used in spatial statistics and related fields to model dependencies over spatial structures. We establish a formal connection between GMRFs and convolutional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-11 Per Sidén , Fredrik Lindsten

Covariance matrices are essential cosmological probes of fundamental physics, providing information on numerous fundamental physical parameters and varying with any change in the underlying cosmology. However, this cosmology dependence,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-21 Theodore Steele , Robert Smith , Roisin O'Connor

We propose a modification of a maximum likelihood procedure for tuning parameter values in models, based upon the comparison of their output to field data. Our methodology, which uses polynomial approximations of the sample space to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-07-03 Nusret Balci , Juan M. Restrepo , Shankar C. Venkataramani

The inverse problem of determining parameters in a model by comparing some output of the model with observations is addressed. This is a description for what hat to be done to use the Gauss-Markov-Kalman filter for the Bayesian estimation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Hermann G. Matthies , Alexander Litvinenko , Bojana V. Rosic , Elmar Zander