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Real causal processes may contain feedback loops and change over time. In this paper, we model cycles and non-stationary distributions using a mixture of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). We then study the conditional independence (CI)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Eric V. Strobl

Markov chains in random environments (MCREs) have recently attracted renewed interest, as these processes naturally arise in many applications, such as econometrics and machine learning. Although specific asymptotic results, such as the law…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-22 Attila Lovas , Lionel Truquet

This contribution extends linear models for feature vectors to sublinear models for graphs and analyzes their properties. The results are (i) a geometric interpretation of sublinear classifiers, (ii) a generic learning rule based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-03-11 Brijnesh J. Jain

Recursive max-linear vectors provide models for causal dependence between large values of random variables that are supported on directed acyclic graphs, but the standard assumption that all nodes of such a graph are observed can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Mario Krali , Anthony C. Davison , Claudia Klüppelberg

Margin-based classifiers have been popular in both machine learning and statistics for classification problems. Since a large number of classifiers are available, one natural question is which type of classifiers should be used given a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-19 Hanwen Huang , Qinglong Yang

In this paper, we study discrete Lyapunov models, which consist of steady-state distributions of first-order vector autoregressive models. The parameter matrix of such a model encodes a directed graph whose vertices correspond to the…

In this paper we consider the classification of dispersive linearizable partial difference equations defined on a quad-graph by the multiple scale reduction around their harmonic solution. We show that the A_1, A_2 and A_3 linearizability…

Exactly Solvable and Integrable Systems · Physics 2015-05-20 R. Hernandez Heredero , D. Levi , C. Scimiterna

We address the component-based regularisation of a multivariate Generalised Linear Mixed Model (GLMM) in the framework of grouped data. A set Y of random responses is modelled with a multivariate GLMM, based on a set X of explanatory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-13 Jocelyn Chauvet , Catherine Trottier , Xavier Bry

A new class of copulas, termed the MGL copula class, is introduced. The new copula originates from extracting the dependence function of the multivariate generalized log-Moyal-gamma distribution whose marginals follow the univariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-23 Zhengxiao Li , Jan Beirlant , Liang Yang

Automatic differentiation (AD) has driven recent advances in machine learning, including deep neural networks and Hamiltonian Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. Partially observed nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems have proved resistant…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-04 Kevin Tan , Giles Hooker , Edward L. Ionides

Distributed lag models (DLMs) express the cumulative and delayed dependence between pairs of time-indexed response and explanatory variables. In practical application, users of DLMs examine the estimated influence of a series of lagged…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-23 Alastair Rushworth

Conditional independence and Markov properties are powerful tools allowing expression of multidimensional probability distributions by means of low-dimensional ones. As multidimensional possibilistic models have been studied for several…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Jirina Vejnarova

We introduce a multivariate hidden Markov model to jointly cluster time-series observations with different support, i.e. circular and linear. Relying on the general projected normal distribution, our approach allows for bimodal and/or…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-27 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Antonello Maruotti , Giovanna Jona Lasinio

We establish conditions under which Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithms with a position-dependent proposal covariance matrix will or will not have the geometric rate of convergence. Some of the diffusions based MH algorithms like the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Vivekananda Roy , Lijin Zhang

Statistical relationships in observed data can arise for several different reasons: the observed variables may be causally related, they may share a latent common cause, or there may be selection bias. Each of these scenarios can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Ryan Carey , Marina Maciel Ansanelli , Elie Wolfe , Robin J. Evans

High-dimensional datasets are frequently subject to contamination by outliers and heavy-tailed noise, which can severely bias standard regularized estimators like the Lasso. While Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) has recently been introduced…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Xiaoning Kang , Lulu Kang

We consider an additive partially linear framework for modelling massive heterogeneous data. The major goal is to extract multiple common features simultaneously across all sub-populations while exploring heterogeneity of each…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-01 Binhuan Wang , Yixin Fang , Heng Lian , Hua Liang

Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) are stochastic optimization problems that model situations where a decision maker controls a system based on its state. Partially observed Markov decision processes (POMDPs) are generalizations of MDPs where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Victor Cohen , Axel Parmentier

Approximate linear programming (ALP) and its variants have been widely applied to Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with a large number of states. A serious limitation of ALP is that it has an intractable number of constraints, as a result…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-04-11 Chandrashekar Lakshminarayanan , Shalabh Bhatnagar , Csaba Szepesvari

We propose a covariate-dependent discrete graphical model for capturing dynamic networks among discrete random variables, allowing the dependence structure among vertices to vary with covariates. This discrete dynamic network encompasses…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Lyndsay Roach , Qiong Li , Nanwei Wang , Xin Gao