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Continuous time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) describe structured stochastic processes with finitely many states that evolve over continuous time. A CTBN is a directed (possibly cyclic) dependency graph over a set of variables, each of which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Uri Nodelman , Christian R. Shelton , Daphne Koller

The Cross Entropy method is a well-known adaptive importance sampling method for rare-event probability estimation, which requires estimating an optimal importance sampling density within a parametric class. In this article we estimate an…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-15 Z. I. Botev , A. Ridder , L. Rojas-Nandayapa

We introduce a method for extracting meaningful entanglement measures of tensor network states in general dimensions. Current methods require the explicit reconstruction of the density matrix, which is highly demanding, or the contraction…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2022-07-28 Noa Feldman , Augustine Kshetrimayum , Jens Eisert , Moshe Goldstein

Given a sample of independent and identically distributed random variables, a novel nonparametric maximum entropy method is presented to estimate the underlying continuous univariate probability density function (pdf). Estimates are found…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Jenny Farmer , Donald J. Jacobs

We present a Bayesian sampling algorithm called adaptive importance sampling or Population Monte Carlo (PMC), whose computational workload is easily parallelizable and thus has the potential to considerably reduce the wall-clock time…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2009-09-02 Darren Wraith , Martin Kilbinger , Karim Benabed , Olivier Cappé , Jean-François Cardoso , Gersende Fort , Simon Prunet , Christian P. Robert

New notions of the complexity function C(epsilon;t,s) and entropy function S(epsilon;t,s) are introduced to describe systems with nonzero or zero Lyapunov exponents or systems that exhibit strong intermittent behavior with ``flights'',…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 V. Afraimovich , G. M. Zaslavsky

Cumulative probability models (CPMs) are a robust alternative to linear models for continuous outcomes. However, they are not feasible for very large datasets due to elevated running time and memory usage, which depend on the sample size,…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-15 Chun Li , Guo Chen , Bryan E. Shepherd

The electrical activity of external anal sphincter can be registered with surface electromyography. This signals are known to be highly complex and nonlinear. This work aims in characterisation of the information carried in the signals by…

Medical Physics · Physics 2018-12-31 Paulina Trybek , Michal Nowakowski , Jerzy Salowka , Lukasz Machura

A finite dimensional abstract approximation and convergence theory is developed for estimation of the distribution of random parameters in infinite dimensional discrete time linear systems with dynamics described by regularly dissipative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Melike Sirlanci , Susan E. Luczak , I. Gary Rosen

Based on the theory of stochastic chemical kinetics, the inherent randomness and stochasticity of biochemical reaction networks can be accurately described by discrete-state continuous-time Markov chains. The analysis of such processes is,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-10-14 Andreychenko Alexander , Mikeev Linar , Wolf Verena

The statistical properties of quantum transport through a chaotic cavity are encoded in the traces $\T={\rm Tr}(tt^\dag)^n$, where $t$ is the transmission matrix. Within the Random Matrix Theory approach, these traces are random variables…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2008-08-04 Marcel Novaes

We establish finite sample bounds for the error of standard and waste-free SMC samplers. Our results cover estimates of both expectations and normalising constants of the target distributions. We consider first an arbitrary sequence of…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-15 Yvann Le Fay , Nicolas Chopin , Matti Vihola

We provide guarantees for learning latent variable models emphasizing on the overcomplete regime, where the dimensionality of the latent space can exceed the observed dimensionality. In particular, we consider multiview mixtures, spherical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-12-18 Animashree Anandkumar , Rong Ge , Majid Janzamin

The parallel computational complexity of the quadratic map is studied. A parallel algorithm is described that generates typical pseudotrajectories of length t in a time that scales as log t and increases slowly in the accuracy demanded of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-26 J. Machta

In quantum chaos, the spectral statistics generally follows the predictions of Random Matrix Theory (RMT). A notable exception is given by scar states, that enhance probability density around unstable periodic orbits of the classical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2022-07-19 Domenico Lippolis

The time delay (or Sliding Window) embedding is a technique from dynamical systems to reconstruct attractors from time series data. Recently, descriptors from Topological Data Analysis (TDA) -- specifically, persistence diagrams -- have…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Luis Suarez Salas , Jose A. Perea

The efficiency of Monte Carlo samplers is dictated not only by energetic effects, such as large barriers, but also by entropic effects that are due to the sheer volume that is sampled. The latter effects appear in the form of an entropic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Cristian Predescu

Non-Markovian models have great expressive power, at the cost of complex analysis of the stochastic process. The method of Stochastic State Classes (SSCs) derives closed-form analytical expressions for the joint Probability Density…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Gabriel Dengler , Laura Carnevali , Carlos E. Budde , Enrico Vicario

We consider the statistics of the scattering coefficient S of a chaotic microwave cavity coupled to a single port. We remove the non-universal effects of the coupling from the experimental S data using the radiation impedance obtained…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Sameer Hemmady , Xing Zheng , Thomas M. Antonsen , Edward Ott , Steven M. Anlage

We study transport and escape in the Stochastic Web Map (SWM), an area-preserving system with phase-space structure controlled by a symmetry parameter $q$ and nonlinearity $K$. By analyzing the survival probability $P_{\text{S}}(n)$ and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-24 K. B. Hidalgo-Castro , J. A. Méndez-Bermúdez , Edson D. Leonel