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The applicability of machine learning for predicting chaotic dynamics relies heavily upon the data used in the training stage. Chaotic time series obtained by numerically solving ordinary differential equations embed a complicated noise of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-10-13 Igor A Khovanov

We investigate the properties of a Block Decomposition Method (BDM), which extends the power of a Coding Theorem Method (CTM) that approximates local estimations of algorithmic complexity based upon Solomonoff-Levin's theory of algorithmic…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-20 Hector Zenil , Santiago Hernández-Orozco , Narsis A. Kiani , Fernando Soler-Toscano , Antonio Rueda-Toicen

We prove finite sample complexities for sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms which require only local mixing times of the associated Markov kernels. Our bounds are particularly useful when the target distribution is multimodal and global…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-16 Joseph Mathews , Scott C. Schmidler

The ultimate purpose of the statistical analysis of ordinal patterns is to characterize the distribution of the features they induce. In particular, knowing the joint distribution of the pair Entropy-Statistical Complexity for a large class…

The synthetic control method (SCM) is a popular approach for estimating the impact of a treatment on a single unit with panel data. Two challenges arise with higher frequency data (e.g., monthly versus yearly): (1) achieving excellent…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-16 Liyang Sun , Eli Ben-Michael , Avi Feller

We derive the sampling probability density function (pdf) of an ideal localized random electromagnetic field, its amplitude and intensity in an electromagnetic environment that is quasi-statically time-varying statistically homogeneous or…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 L. R. Arnaut

We consider $N$-way data arrays and low-rank tensor factorizations where the time mode is coded as a sparse linear combination of temporal elements from an over-complete library. Our method, Shape Constrained Tensor Decomposition (SCTD) is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-17 Bethany Lusch , Eric C. Chi , J. Nathan Kutz

Entropy measures have become increasingly popular as an evaluation metric for complexity in the analysis of time series data, especially in physiology and medicine. Entropy measures the rate of information gain, or degree of regularity in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-03 Chee Chun Gan , Gerard Learmonth

Fractional statistical moments are utilized for various tasks of uncertainty quantification, including the estimation of probability distributions. However, an estimation of fractional statistical moments of costly mathematical models by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-05 Lukáš Novák , Marcos Valdebenito , Matthias Faes

We consider reinforcement learning in parameterized Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), where the parameterization may induce correlation across transition probabilities or rewards. Consequently, observing a particular state transition might…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-01 Aditya Gopalan , Shie Mannor

Projective measurements of a single two-level quantum mechanical system (a qubit) evolving under a time-independent Hamiltonian produce a probability distribution that is periodic in the evolution time. The period of this distribution is an…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-06-05 Christopher Ferrie , Christopher E. Granade , D. G. Cory

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms represent a suite of robust computational methodologies utilized for state estimation and parameter inference within dynamical systems, particularly in real-time or online environments where data…

We consider $S$-matrix correlation functions for a chaotic cavity having $M$ open channels, in the absence of time-reversal invariance. Relying on a semiclassical approximation, we compute the average over $E$ of the quantities ${\rm…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-07-21 Marcel Novaes

A new approach to analysis of the synchronization of chaotic oscillations in two (or more) coupled oscillators is described that makes it possible to reveal changes in the structure of attractors and detect the appearance of intermittency.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-12-13 A. V. Makarenko

Purpose: Chaotic diffusion in the non-linear systems is commonly studied in the action framework. In this paper, we show that the study in the frequency domain provides good estimates of the sizes of the chaotic regions in the phase space,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-03-05 Gabriel Teixeira Guimarães , Tatiana Alexandrovna Michtchenko

In this paper we examine the implications of the statistical large sample theory for the computational complexity of Bayesian and quasi-Bayesian estimation carried out using Metropolis random walks. Our analysis is motivated by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-26 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov

We test a Markov chain approximation to the segment description (Li, 2007) of chaos (and turbulence) on a tent map, the Minea system, the H\'enon map, and the Lorenz system. For the tent map, we compute the probability transition matrix of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-02-05 Alexander Labovsky , Y. Charles Li

Monte Carlo sampling of any system may be analyzed in terms of an associated glass model -- a variant of the Random Energy Model -- with, whenever there is a sign problem, complex fields. This model has three types of phases (liquid, frozen…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-01-17 Gustavo During , Jorge Kurchan

We study spectral statistics in spatially extended chaotic quantum many-body systems, using simple lattice Floquet models without time-reversal symmetry. Computing the spectral form factor $K(t)$ analytically and numerically, we show that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-15 Amos Chan , Andrea De Luca , J. T. Chalker

Reconstructing 4D or 6D phase space distributions from 1D or 2D measurements is a challenging inverse problem encountered in particle accelerators. Entropy maximization is an established method to incorporate prior information in the…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2025-08-18 Austin Hoover
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