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The information entropy budget and the rate of information transfer between variables is studied in the context of a nonlinear reduced-order atmospheric model. The key ingredients of the dynamics are present in this model, namely the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-02 Stéphane Vannitsem , Carlos A. Pires , David Docquier

We consider stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) on the one-dimensional torus, driven by space-time white noise, and with a time-periodic drift term, which vanishes on two stable and one unstable equilibrium branches. Each of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Nils Berglund , Rita Nader

Atmospheric models used for weather and climate prediction are traditionally formulated in a deterministic manner. In other words, given a particular state of the resolved scale variables, the most likely forcing from the sub-grid scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Hannah M. Christensen , Salah Kouhen , Greta Miller , Raghul Parthipan

This work develops a stochastic model predictive controller~(SMPC) for uncertain linear systems with additive Gaussian noise subject to state and control constraints. The proposed approach is based on the recently developed finite-horizon…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Kazuhide Okamoto , Panagiotis Tsiotras

In this article we expand and develop the authors' recent proposed methodology for efficient stochastic superparameterization (SP) algorithms for geophysical turbulence. Geophysical turbulence is characterized by significant intermittent…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-10-08 Ian Grooms , Andrew J Majda

In this paper, an online multiscale model reduction method is presented for stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with multiplicative noise, where the diffusion coefficient is spatially multiscale and the noise perturbation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-26 Lijian Jiang , Mengnan Li , Meng Zhao

We consider the problem of estimating unknown parameters in stochastic differential equations driven by colored noise, which we model as a sequence of Gaussian stationary processes with decreasing correlation time. We aim to infer…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Sebastian Reich , Andrea Zanoni

Statistical modeling of physical laws connects experiments with mathematical descriptions of natural phenomena. The modeling is based on the probability density of measured variables expressed by experimental data via a kernel estimator. As…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Igor Grabec

Climate change poses significant challenges for accurate climate modeling due to the complexity and variability of non-Gaussian climate systems. To address the complexities of non-Gaussian systems in climate modeling, this thesis proposes a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-28 Yunjin Tong

Learning an energy-based model from data samples is a central problem in machine learning. Many recent and popular methods, such as denoising score matching for training energy-based diffusion models, use stochastic interpolants to corrupt…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Hanlin Yu , RuiKang OuYang , Partha Kaushik , Arto Klami , Michael U. Gutmann , Omar Chehab

In this paper we investigate general linear stochastic volatility models with correlated Brownian noises. In such models the asset price satisfies a linear SDE with coefficient of linearity being the volatility process. This class contains…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-16 Jacek Jakubowski , Maciej Wisniewolski

A system's internal dynamics and its interaction with the environment can be determined by tracking how external perturbations affect its transition rates between states. Quantitative measurements of these rates are crucial for optimizing…

Quantum stochastic methods based on effective wave functions form a framework for investigating the generally non-Markovian dynamics of a quantum-mechanical system coupled to a bath. They promise to be computationally superior to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-10-15 Robert Biele , Carsten Timm , Roberto D'Agosta

Current state-of-the-art generative models map noise to data distributions by matching flows or scores. A key limitation of these models is their inability to readily integrate available partial observations and additional priors. In…

Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) evaluates the integrity of a structure by observing its dynamic responses by an array of sensors over time to determine the current health state of the structure. The most important step of SHM is system…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-06 M. R. Davoodi , S. A. Mostafavian , S. R. Nabavian , GH. R. Jahangiri

Stochastic thermodynamics as reviewed here systematically provides a framework for extending the notions of classical thermodynamics like work, heat and entropy production to the level of individual trajectories of well-defined…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-05 Udo Seifert

The origin of the long-range memory in the non-equilibrium systems is still an open problem as the phenomenon can be reproduced using models based on Markov processes. In these cases a notion of spurious memory is introduced. A good example…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-01 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

Increasingly larger data sets of processes in space and time ask for statistical models and methods that can cope with such data. We show that the solution of a stochastic advection-diffusion partial differential equation provides a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-18 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

We propose a new method for spatio-temporal forecasting on arbitrarily distributed points. Assuming that the observed system follows an unknown partial differential equation, we derive a continuous-time model for the dynamics of the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

Differential equations based on physical principals are used to represent complex dynamic systems in all fields of science and engineering. Through repeated use in both academics and industry, these equations have been shown to represent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-08 Joshua S. North , Christopher K. Wikle , Erin M. Schliep