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Consider the problem on sequential change-point detection on multiple data streams. We provide the asymptotic lower bounds of the detection delays at all levels of change-point sparsity and we derive a smaller asymptotic lower bound of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Jingyan Huang

We study a controlled version of the Bayesian sequential testing problem for the drift of a Wiener process, in which the observer exercises discretion over the signal intensity. This control incurs a running cost that reflects the resource…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Steven Campbell , Georgy Gaitsgori , Richard Groenewald

The main message in this paper is that there are surprisingly many different Brownian bridges, some of them - familiar, some of them - less familiar. Many of these Brownian bridges are very close to Brownian motions. Somewhat loosely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-08 Estate Khmaladze

We establish the scaling limit of a class of boundary random walks to the full spectrum of Brownian-type processes on the half-line. By solving the associated martingale problem and employing weak convergence techniques, we prove that under…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-03 Juan Carlos Arroyave , Eldon Barros , Eduardo Pimenta

We study pathwise approximation of scalar stochastic differential equations at a single point. We provide the exact rate of convergence of the minimal errors that can be achieved by arbitrary numerical methods that are based (in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas Muller-Gronbach

Complex processes in science and engineering are often formulated as multistage decision-making problems. In this paper, we consider a type of multistage decision-making process called a cascade process. A cascade process is a multistage…

Selective classification is a powerful tool for automated decision-making in high-risk scenarios, allowing classifiers to act only when confident and abstain when uncertainty is high. Given a target accuracy, our goal is to minimize…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Mohamed Ndaoud , Peter Radchenko , Bradley Rava

Optimal designs minimize the number of experimental runs (samples) needed to accurately estimate model parameters, resulting in algorithms that, for instance, efficiently minimize parameter estimate variance. Governed by knowledge of past…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-03 Nicholas W. Barendregt , Emily G. Webb , Zachary P. Kilpatrick

We adapt ideas and concepts developed in optimal transport (and its martingale variant) to give a geometric description of optimal stopping times of Brownian motion subject to the constraint that the distribution of the stopping time is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-14 Mathias Beiglboeck , Manu Eder , Christiane Elgert , Uwe Schmock

We study the mixing properties of a Brownian motion whose movements are hindered by semipermeable barriers. Our setting assumes that the process takes values in a smooth planar domain and that the barriers are one-dimensional closed curves.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Alexander Van Werde , Jaron Sanders

Consider the all-time maximum of a Brownian motion with negative drift. Assume that this process is sampled at certain points in time, where the time between two consecutive points is rendered by an Erlang distribution with mean $1/\omega$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-18 A. J. E. M. Janssen , J. S. H. van Leeuwaarden

In this work we study the problem of asymptotically optimal control of a well-known multi-class queuing network, referred to as the ``crisscross network,'' in heavy traffic. We consider exponential inter-arrival and service times, linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Amarjit Budhiraja , Arka Prasanna Ghosh

We consider a new type of optimal stopping problems where the absorbing boundary moves as the state process X attains new maxima S. More specifically, we set the absorbing boundary as S-b where b is a certain constant. This problem is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-15 Masahiko Egami , Tadao Oryu

Suppose that a sequence of data points follows a distribution of a certain parametric form, but that one or more of the underlying parameters may change over time. This paper addresses various natural questions in such a framework. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Nils Lid Hjort , Alex J. Koning

We show that "full-bang" control is optimal in a problem that combines features of (i) sequential least-squares {\it estimation} with Bayesian updating, for a random quantity observed in a bath of white noise; (ii) bounded {\it control} of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Erik Ekström , Ioannis Karatzas

A framework for performant Brownian Dynamics (BD) many-body simulations with adaptive timestepping is presented. Contrary to the Euler-Maruyama scheme in common non-adaptive BD, we employ an embedded Heun-Euler integrator for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-11 Florian Sammüller , Matthias Schmidt

In this article, we present a general methodology for control problems driven by the Brownian motion filtration including non-Markovian and non-semimartingale state processes controlled by mutually singular measures. The main result of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-19 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Francys Souza

This paper is concerned with optimal control problems for systems governed by mean-field stochastic differential equation, in which the control enters both the drift and the diffusion coefficient. We prove that the relaxed state process,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Khaled Bahlali , Meriem Mezerdi , Brahim Mezerdi

This work is devoted to the investigation of the most probable transition time between metastable states for stochastic dynamical systems. Such a system is modeled by a stochastic differential equation with non-vanishing Brownian noise, and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-08-11 Yuanfei Huang , Ying Chao , Wei Wei , Jinqiao Duan

This paper addresses the problem of estimating drift parameter of the Ornstein - Uhlenbeck type process, driven by the sum of independent standard and fractional Brownian motions. The maximum likelihood estimator is shown to be consistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-03 Pavel Chigansky , Marina Kleptsyna