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This note presents a method that provides optimal monotone conditional error functions for a large class of adaptive two stage designs. The presented method builds on a previously developed general theory for optimal adaptive two stage…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Werner Brannath , Morten Dreher , Martin Scharpenberg

Estimating boundary curves has many applications such as economics, climate science, and medicine. Bayesian trend filtering has been developed as one of locally adaptive smoothing methods to estimate the non-stationary trend of data. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Takahiro Onizuka , Fumiya Iwashige , Shintaro Hashimoto

Scenario decision making offers a flexible way of making decision in an uncertain environment while obtaining probabilistic guarantees on the risk of failure of the decision. The idea of this approach is to draw samples of the uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Guillaume O. Berger

We address the problem of optimizing a Brownian motion. We consider a (random) realization $W$ of a Brownian motion with input space in $[0,1]$. Given $W$, our goal is to return an $\epsilon$-approximation of its maximum using the smallest…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Jean-Bastien Grill , Michal Valko , Rémi Munos

Leveraging connections between diffusion-based sampling, optimal transport, and stochastic optimal control through their shared links to the Schr\"odinger bridge problem, we propose novel objective functions that can be used to transport…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-11 Qijia Jiang , David Nabergoj

We consider the model of branching Brownian motion with a single catalytic point at the origin and binary branching. We establish some fine results for the asymptotic behaviour of the numbers of particles travelling at different speeds and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-19 Sergey Bocharov

Bayesian change-point detection, together with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation over high-dimensional time-series. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer subsets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Lorena Romero-Medrano , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez

The scenario approach is widely used in robust control system design and chance-constrained optimization, maintaining convexity without requiring assumptions about the probability distribution of uncertain parameters. However, the approach…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Jaeseok Choi , Anand Deo , Constantino Lagoa , Anirudh Subramanyam

In this paper, we investigate two-sided bounds for the small ball probability of a mixed fractional Brownian motion with a general deterministic trend function, in terms of respective small ball probability of a mixed fractional Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-14 Anne MacKay , Alexander Melnikov , Yuliya Mishura

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for evaluating the effects of changes to real-world systems. Data in these tests may be difficult to collect and outcomes may have high variance, resulting in potentially large measurement error.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-27 Benjamin Letham , Brian Karrer , Guilherme Ottoni , Eytan Bakshy

A numerical implementation scheme is presented for the recently developed many-body diffusion approach for identical particles, in the case of harmonic potentials. The procedure is free of the sign problem, by the introduction of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 F. Luczak , F. Brosens , J. T. Devreese , L. F. Lemmens

We establish the existence of an optimal control for a general class of singular control problems with state constraints. The proof uses weak convergence arguments and a time rescaling technique. The existence of optimal controls for…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Amarjit Budhiraja , Kevin Ross

We consider a gas of independent Brownian particles on a bounded interval in contact with two particle reservoirs at the endpoints. Due to the Brownian nature of the particles, infinitely many particles enter and leave the system in each…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Lorenzo Bertini , Gustavo Posta

In the present paper, an expansion of the transition density of Hyperbolic Brownian motion with drift is given, which is potentially useful for pricing and hedging of options under stochastic volatility models. We work on a condition on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-03 Yuuki Ida , Yuri Imamura

The online increasing subsequence problem is a stochastic optimisation task with the objective to maximise the expected length of subsequence chosen from a random series by means of a nonanticipating decision strategy. We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Alexander Gnedin , Amirlan Seksenbayev

Motion planning under differential constraints is a classic problem in robotics. To date, the state of the art is represented by sampling-based techniques, with the Rapidly-exploring Random Tree algorithm as a leading example. Yet, the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-03-03 Edward Schmerling , Lucas Janson , Marco Pavone

We consider a group synchronization problem with multiple frequencies which involves observing pairwise relative measurements of group elements on multiple frequency channels, corrupted by Gaussian noise. We study the computational phase…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-06 Anastasia Kireeva , Afonso S. Bandeira , Dmitriy Kunisky

Motivated by the control of invasive biological populations, we consider a class of optimization problems for moving sets $t\mapsto \Omega(t)\subset\mathbb{R}^2$. Given an initial set $\Omega_0$, the goal is to minimize the area of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Alberto Bressan , Maria Teresa Chiri , Najmeh Salehi

The scope of this paper is to study the optimal stopping problems associated to a stochastic process, which may represent the gain of an investment, for which information on the final value is available a priori. This information may…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-09 Bernardo D'Auria , Alessandro Ferriero

Integrated task and motion planning problems describe a multi-modal state space, which is often abstracted as a set of smooth manifolds that are connected via sets of transitions states. One approach to solving such problems is to sample…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Rahul Shome , Daniel Nakhimovich , Kostas E. Bekris
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