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An emerging way of tackling the dimensionality issues arising in the modeling of a multivariate process is to assume that the inherent data structure can be captured by a graph. Nevertheless, though state-of-the-art graph-based methods have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-13 Andreas Loukas , Nathanael Perraudin

The aim of this paper is to give a simpler, more usable sufficient condition to the regularity of generic weakly stationary time series. Also, this condition is used to show how regular processes satisfying these sufficient conditions can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Tamás Szabados

Ranking data are frequently obtained nowadays but there are still scarce methods for treating these data when temporally observed. The present paper contributes to this topic by proposing and developing novel models for handling time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-10 Luiza Piancastelli , Wagner Barreto-Souza

This contribution is a follow-up of a recent paper by the authors on adaptive, non-linear time-frequency transforms, focusing on the STFT based transforms. The adaptivity is provided by a focus function, that depends on the analyzed…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2025-06-11 Pierre Warion , Bruno Torrésani

Modeling functions that are sequentially observed as functional time series is becoming increasingly common. In such models, it is often crucial to ensure data homogeneity. We investigate the sensitivity of graph-based change point…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Jeremy VanderDoes , Shojaeddin Chenouri

The discrete-time GARCH methodology which has had such a profound influence on the modelling of heteroscedasticity in time series is intuitively well motivated in capturing many `stylized facts' concerning financial series, and is now…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-18 Ross A. Maller , Gernot Müller , Alex Szimayer

One of the most important features of financial time series data is volatility. There are often structural changes in volatility over time, and an accurate estimation of the volatility of financial time series requires careful…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-24 Huaiyu Hu , Ashis Gangopadhyay

Over the last decade, nonparametric methods have gained increasing attention for modeling complex data structures due to their flexibility and minimal structural assumptions. In this paper, we study a general multivariate nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Kunal Rai , Archi Roy , Itai Dattner , Soudeep Deb

In complex systems, crucial parameters are often subject to unpredictable changes in time. Climate, biological evolution and networks provide numerous examples for such non-stationarities. In many cases, improved statistical models are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-09 Frederik Meudt , Martin Theissen , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

Volatility clustering and spillovers are key features of real-world financial time series when there are a lot of cross-sectional financial assets. While network analysis helps connect stocks that are 'similar' or 'correlated', which is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Peiyi Zhou

We consider the strongly consistent question for model selection in a large class of causal time series models, including AR($\infty$), ARCH($\infty$), TARCH($\infty$), ARMA-GARCH and many classical others processes. We propose a penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-21 William Kengne

We suggest a new method, called Functional Additive Regression, or FAR, for efficiently performing high-dimensional functional regression. FAR extends the usual linear regression model involving a functional predictor, $X(t)$, and a scalar…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Yingying Fan , Gareth M. James , Peter Radchenko

Time series of counts are frequently analyzed using generalized integer-valued autoregressive models with conditional heteroskedasticity (INGARCH). These models employ response functions to map a vector of past observations and past…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-04 Malte Jahn

Using a time series model to mimic an observed time series has a long history. However, with regard to this objective, conventional estimation methods for discrete-time dynamical models are frequently found to be wanting. In fact, they are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yingcun Xia , Howell Tong

HYGARCH model is basically used to model long-range dependence in volatility. We propose Markov switch smooth-transition HYGARCH model, where the volatility in each state is a time-dependent convex combination of GARCH and FIGARCH. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-05 Ferdous Mohammadi Basatini , Saeid Rezakhah

A general class of time-varying regression models is considered in this paper. We estimate the regression coefficients by using local linear M-estimation. For these estimators, weak Bahadur representations are obtained and are used to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Sayar Karmakar , Stefan Richter , Wei Biao Wu

Accelerated failure time (AFT) models are used widely in medical research, though to a much lesser extent than proportional hazards models. In an AFT model, the effect of covariates act to accelerate or decelerate the time to event of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-15 Michael J. Crowther , Patrick Royston , Mark Clements

We introduce and study a new model for functional data. The ARHD is an autoregressive model in which the first order derivative of the random curves appears explicitely. Convergent estimates are obtained through a double penalization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 André Mas , Besnik Pumo

Designing a financial market that works well is very important for developing and maintaining an advanced economy, but is not easy because changing detailed rules, even ones that seem trivial, sometimes causes unexpected large impacts and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-08 Takanobu Mizuta

HYGARCH process is the commonly used long memory process in modeling the long-rang dependence in volatility. Financial time series are characterized by transition between phases of different volatility levels. The smooth transition HYGARCH…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-24 Ferdous Mohammadi , Saeid Rezakhah
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