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In this article, we consider computing expectations w.r.t. probability measures which are subject to discretization error. Examples include partially observed diffusion processes or inverse problems, where one may have to discretize time…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-25 Jeremy Heng , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Alexander Tarakanov

In the paper, the martingales and super-martingales relative to a regular set of measures are systematically studied. The notion of local regular super-martingale relative to a set of equivalent measures is introduced and the necessary and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-23 N. S. Gonchar

We introduce so-called super/sub-martingale projections as a family of endomorphisms defined on unions of Polish spaces. Such projections allow us to identify martingales as collections of transformations that relate path-valued random…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-04 Lane P. Hughston , Levent A. Mengütürk

The primary goal of this paper is to prove a near-martingale optional stopping theorem and establish solvability and large deviations for a class of anticipating linear stochastic differential equations. We prove the existence and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Hui-Hsiung Kuo , Pujan Shrestha , Sudip Sinha , Padmanabhan Sundar

Game-theoretic upper expectations are joint (global) probability models that mathematically describe the behaviour of uncertain processes in terms of supermartingales; capital processes corresponding to available betting strategies.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-14 Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

We develop a class of exponential bounds for the probability that a martingale sequence crosses a time-dependent linear threshold. Our key insight is that it is both natural and fruitful to formulate exponential concentration inequalities…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Steven R. Howard , Aaditya Ramdas , Jon McAuliffe , Jasjeet Sekhon

We consider a financial market in discrete time and study pricing and hedging conditional on the information available up to an arbitrary point in time. In this conditional framework, we determine the structure of arbitrage-free prices.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-15 Lars Niemann , Thorsten Schmidt

Sublinear functionals of random variables are known as sublinear expectations; they are convex homogeneous functionals on infinite-dimensional linear spaces. We extend this concept for set-valued functionals defined on measurable set-valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Ilya Molchanov , Anja Mühlemann

Classical distributed estimation scenarios typically assume timely and reliable exchanges of information over the sensor network. This paper, in contrast, considers single time-scale distributed estimation via a sensor network subject to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-08 Mohammadreza Doostmohammadian , Usman A. Khan , Mohammad Pirani , Themistoklis Charalambous

We develop a theory of optimal stopping problems under G-expectation framework. We first define a new kind of random times, called G-stopping times, which is suitable for this problem. For the discrete time case with finite horizon, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Hanwu Li

We construct a class of nonnegative martingale processes that oscillate indefinitely with high probability. For these processes, we state a uniform rate of the number of oscillations and show that this rate is asymptotically close to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-18 Jan Leike , Marcus Hutter

We show a decomposition into the sum of a martingale and a deterministic quantity for time averages of the solutions to non-autonomous SDEs and for discrete-time Markov processes. In the SDE case the martingale has an explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-08 Bob Pepin

We give concentration bounds for martingales that are uniform over finite times and extend classical Hoeffding and Bernstein inequalities. We also demonstrate our concentration bounds to be optimal with a matching anti-concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-03 Akshay Balsubramani

In this paper, we obtain stability results for martingale representations in a very general framework. More specifically, we consider a sequence of martingales each adapted to its own filtration, and a sequence of random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Antonis Papapantoleon , Dylan Possamai , Alexandros Saplaouras

In the infinite-horizon and discrete-time framework we establish maximum principles of Pontryagin under assumptions which weaker than these ones of existing results. We avoid several assumptions of continuity and of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-03 Joël Blot , Thoi-Nhan Ngo

In the present paper, we consider multidimensional nonlinear backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) with a driver depending on the martingale part $M$ of a solution. We assume that the nonlinear term is merely monotone…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-22 Tomasz Klimsiak , Maurycy Rzymowski

The central limit theorem of martingales is the fundamental tool for studying the convergence of stochastic processes. The central limit theorem and functional central limit theorem are obtained for martingale like random variables under…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-11 Li-Xin Zhang

The semimartingale stochastic approximation procedure, namely, the Robbins-Monro type SDE is introduced which naturally includes both generalized stochastic approximation algorithms with martingale noises and recursive parameter estimation…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 N. Lazrieva , T. Sharia , T. Toronjadze

This work is the first attempt to treat partial differential equations with discrete (concentrated) state-dependent delay. The main idea is to approximate the discrete delay term by a sequence of distributed delay terms (all with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-04-18 Alexander V. Rezounenko

Confidence sequences, anytime p-values (called p-processes in this paper), and e-processes all enable sequential inference for composite and nonparametric classes of distributions at arbitrary stopping times. Examining the literature, one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Aaditya Ramdas , Johannes Ruf , Martin Larsson , Wouter Koolen