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We present a new approach to noncommutative stochastic calculus that is, like the classical theory, based primarily on the martingale property. Using this approach, we introduce a general theory of stochastic integration and quadratic…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2025-10-28 David A. Jekel , Todd A. Kemp , Evangelos A. Nikitopoulos

This paper is a survey of recent results on the adaptive robust non parametric methods for the continuous time regression model with the semi - martingale noises with jumps. The noises are modeled by the L\'evy processes, the Ornstein --…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Evgeny Pchelintsev , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

Conditional independence and graphical models are crucial concepts for sparsity and statistical modeling in higher dimensions. For L\'evy processes, a widely applied class of stochastic processes, these notions have not been studied. By the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-13 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Jakob D. Thøstesen

We propose a new class of unit root tests that exploits invariance properties in the Locally Asymptotically Brownian Functional limit experiment associated to the unit root model. The invariance structures naturally suggest tests that are…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-18 Bo Zhou , Ramon van den Akker , Bas J. M. Werker

We construct an estimator of the L\'evy density of a pure jump L\'evy process, possibly of infinite variation, from the discrete observation of one trajectory at high frequency. The novelty of our procedure is that we directly estimate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-06 Céline Duval , Ester Mariucci

This paper proposes novel tests for the absence of jumps in a univariate semimartingale and for the absence of common jumps in a bivariate semimartingale. Our methods rely on ratio statistics of power variations based on irregular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-21 Ole Martin , Mathias Vetter

A piecewise-deterministic Markov process is a stochastic process whose behavior is governed by an ordinary differential equation punctuated by random jumps occurring at random times. We focus on the nonparametric estimation problem of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Romain Azaïs , Aurélie Muller-Gueudin

Given discrete time observations over a growing time interval, we consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the L\'evy density of a L\'evy process belonging to a flexible class of infinite activity subordinators. Posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Denis Belomestny , Shota Gugushvili , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

The typical central limit theorems in high-frequency asymptotics for semimartingales are results on stable convergence to a mixed normal limit with an unknown conditional variance. Estimating this conditional variance usually is a hard…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Mathias Vetter

Dzhaparidze and Spreij [5] showed that the quadratic variation of a semimartingale can be approximated using a randomized periodogram. We show that the same approximation is valid for a special class of continuous stochastic processes. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-07 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Esko Valkeila

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes form a general class of non-diffusion stochastic models that involve both deterministic trajectories and random jumps at random times. In this paper, we state a new characterization of the jump rate…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-03 Romain Azaïs , Alexandre Genadot

The linear fractional stable motion generalizes two prominent classes of stochastic processes, namely stable L\'evy processes, and fractional Brownian motion. For this reason it may be regarded as a basic building block for continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Fabian Mies , Mark Podolskij

This paper is concerned with asymptotic behavior of a variety of functionals of increments of continuous semimartingales. Sampling times are assumed to follow a rather general discretization scheme. If an underlying semimartingale is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-04 Michael Levine , Xiaoguang Wang , Jian Frank Zou

This paper deals with a projection least squares estimator of the function $J_0$ computed from multiple independent observations on $[0,T]$ of the process $Z$ defined by $dZ_t = J_0(t)d\langle M\rangle_t + dM_t$, where $M$ is a continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Nicolas Marie

We propose methods to infer jumps of a semi-martingale, which describes long-term price dynamics, based on discrete, noisy, high-frequency observations. Different to the classical model of additive, centered market microstructure noise, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Alexander Ristig

In this paper we introduce the notion of fractional martingale as the fractional derivative of order $\alpha$ of a continuous local martingale, where $\alpha\in(-{1/2},{1/2})$, and we show that it has a nonzero finite variation of order…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-09 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart , Jian Song

The martingale comparison method is extended to derive comparison results for path-independent functions for general semimartingales. Our approach allows to dismiss with the Markovian assumption on one of the processes made in previous…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-28 Benedikt Köpfer , Ludger Rüschendorf

In the present paper we obtain sufficient conditions for the existence of equivalent martingale measures for L\'{e}vy-driven moving averages and other non-Markovian jump processes. The conditions that we obtain are, under mild assumptions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-28 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Mikkel Slot Nielsen , Jan Pedersen

We provide a new non-parametric Fourier procedure to estimate the trajectory of the instantaneous covariance process (from discrete observations of a multidimensional price process) in the presence of jumps extending the seminal work…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-23 Christa Cuchiero , Josef Teichmann

This paper introduces test and estimation procedures for abrupt and gradual changes in the entire jump behaviour of a discretely observed Ito semimartingale. In contrast to existing work we analyse jumps of arbitrary size which are not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-08 Michael Hoffmann , Holger Dette