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We develop a nonparametric test for deciding whether volatility of an asset follows a standard semimartingale process, with paths of finite quadratic variation, or a rough process with paths of infinite quadratic variation. The test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

This paper considers the problem of testing for the presence of a continuous part in a semimartingale sampled at high frequency. We provide two tests, one where the null hypothesis is that a continuous component is present, the other where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than a decade. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems is that of estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-03 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than two decades. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems has been the estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

This paper is concerned with tests for changes in the jump behaviour of a time-continuous process. Based on results on weak convergence of a sequential empirical tail integral process, asymptotics of certain tests statistics for breaks in…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-18 Axel Bücher , Michael Hoffmann , Mathias Vetter , Holger Dette

In this paper we present the asymptotic analysis of the realised quadratic variation for multivariate symmetric $\beta$-stable L\'evy processes, $\beta \in (0,2)$, and certain pure jump semimartingales. The main focus is on derivation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-07 Johannes Heiny , Mark Podolskij

We consider a stochastic process driven by a diffusion and jumps. We devise a technique, which is based on a discrete record of observations, for identifying the times when jumps larger than a suitably defined threshold occurred. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cecilia Mancini

For $n$ equidistant observations of a L\'evy process at time distance $\Delta_n$ we consider the problem of testing hypotheses on the volatility, the jump measure and its Blumenthal-Getoor index in a non- or semiparametric manner.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-05 Markus Reiß

We derive a nonparametric higher-order asymptotic expansion for small-time changes of conditional characteristic functions of It\^o semimartingale increments. The asymptotics setup is of joint type: both the length of the time interval of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-12 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is in the volatility of an It\^{o} semi-martingale, the latter being discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Mathias Vetter

We propose a new test to determine whether jumps are present in asset returns or other discretely sampled processes. As the sampling interval tends to 0, our test statistic converges to 1 if there are jumps, and to another deterministic and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-03 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

We provide a comprehensive analysis of spot volatility inference in pure-jump semimartingales under two asymptotic settings: fixed-$k$, where each local window uses a fixed number of observations, and large-$k$, where this number grows with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Chengxin Yan , Dachuan Chen , Jia Li

We study the properties of nonlinear Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs) driven by a Brownian motion and a martingale measure associated with a default jump with intensity process $(\lambda_t)$. We give a priori estimates for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-04 Roxana Dumitrescu , Marie-Claire Quenez , Agnès Sulem

In this paper we study a family of nonlinear (conditional) expectations that can be understood as a semimartingale with uncertain local characteristics. Here, the differential characteristics are prescribed by a time and path-dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 David Criens , Lars Niemann

Let $X$ be the unique normal martingale such that $X_0=0$ and \[\mathrm{d}[X]_t=(1-t-X_{t-}) \mathrm{d}X_t+\mathrm{d}t\] and let $Y_t:=X_t+t$ for all $t\geq 0$; the semimartingale $Y$ arises in quantum probability, where it is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-22 Alexander C. R. Belton

We provide a nonparametric method for the computation of instantaneous multivariate volatility for continuous semi-martingales, which is based on Fourier analysis. The co-volatility is reconstructed as a stochastic function of time by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Paul Malliavin , Maria Elvira Mancino

In this paper we study general nonlinear stochastic differential equations, where the usual Brownian motion is replaced by a L\'evy process. We also suppose that the coefficient multiplying the increments of this process is merely Lipschitz…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-19 Benjamin Jourdain , Sylvie Méléard , Wojbor Woyczynski

In this paper, we consider a piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP), with known flow and deterministic transition measure, and unknown jump rate $\lambda$. To estimate nonparametrically the jump rate, we first construct an adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Nathalie Krell , Emeline Schmisser

The jump behavior of an infinitely active It\^o semimartingale can be conveniently characterized by a jump activity index of Blumenthal-Getoor type, typically assumed to be constant in time. We study Markovian semimartingales with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-29 Fabian Mies
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